Walker Powell — OGILVIE

Walker Powell P Knoxville Smokies

Age 30 RHP 6'8" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%16.7%

BB%6.5%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.1	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	5.62	1.58	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.1	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	5.62	1.48	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	5	95	369	87	20	3	17%	3.2	18.4%	6.1%	12.3%	1.0%	2.76	2.87	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	5	95	369	87	20	3	17%	3.2	23.6%	5.4%	18.2%	0.8%	2.76	2.31	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	21	120	475	109	25	23	84%	4.8	18.6%	5.8%	12.8%	5.4%	3.67	5.21	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	21	120	475	109	25	23	84%	4.8	18.6%	5.8%	12.8%	5.4%	3.67	5.21	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	25	21	120	475	109	25	23	84%	4.8	22.9%	5.3%	17.7%	4.8%	3.67	4.40	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.83	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.83	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	4.10	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	12.1%	5.8%	6.3%	4.6%	3.04	5.35	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	12.1%	5.8%	6.3%	4.6%	3.04	5.35	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	17.6%	5.4%	12.3%	2.0%	3.04	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CHC	1	1	2	8	1	1	0	100%	2.0	16.7%	6.5%	10.2%	3.4%	4.75	4.75	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	3	3	22	92	16	6	3	100%	7.2	17.0%	7.1%	9.9%	3.6%	4.82	4.91	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	1	1	7	30	5	2	1	100%	7.0	17.0%	7.1%	9.9%	3.6%	4.82	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	29	5	2	1	100%	6.8	17.0%	7.1%	9.9%	3.6%	4.82	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	147	59	29	100%	6.4	17.0%	7.1%	9.9%	3.6%	4.82	4.53	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		76	40	278	1113	194	68	39	53%	3.7	17.4%	6.1%	11.3%	3.5%	3.33	4.31	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	29	200	801	139	49	28	53%	3.7	17.4%	6.1%	11.3%	3.5%	3.33	4.31	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Walker Powell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	16.7%	6.5%	3.4%	—	4.91	17.0%	9.9%	22	+0.16	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	78
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	74
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	69
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	493	69
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	68
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	68
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	68
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	68
Tyler Cloyd R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	30	SP-	4.51	16.0%	6.8%	3.5%	.293	4.99	17.2%	9.8%	170	+0.48	3.89	250	67
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	67
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	66
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	66
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	65
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	65
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	65
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	65
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	65
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	65
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	65
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	64