Walker Powell
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 30
RHP
6'8" / 210 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%20.2%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 1.58 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 1.48 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 5 | 95 | 369 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 18.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 1.0% | 2.76 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 5 | 95 | 369 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 23.6% | 5.4% | 18.2% | 0.8% | 2.76 | 2.31 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 21 | 120 | 475 | 109 | 25 | 23 | 84% | 4.8 | 18.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 3.67 | 5.00 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 21 | 120 | 475 | 109 | 25 | 23 | 84% | 4.8 | 22.9% | 5.3% | 17.7% | 4.8% | 3.67 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.04 | 5.63 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 5.4% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 22 | 92 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 7.2 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.43 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 59 | 29 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 40 | 278 | 1113 | 194 | 68 | 38 | 53% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 3.33 | 4.27 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 29 | 200 | 801 | 139 | 49 | 27 | 53% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 3.33 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Walker Powell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | — | 4.81 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 22 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 77 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 71 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 67 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 67 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 67 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 67 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 66 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 66 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 66 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 66 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 65 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 65 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 65 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 64 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 64 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 64 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 64 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 63 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 62 |
| Paul Clemens R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 62 |