Walker Powell
P Knoxville Smokies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | AATennessee Smo… | 25 | 21 | 120 | 3.67 | 4.40 | 22.9% | 5.3% | — | K 18.6% · BB 5.8% · FIP 5.21 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAACHC | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5.40 | 4.10 | 17.2% | 17.2% | — | K 17.2% · BB 17.2% · FIP 3.83 | |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 3.04 | 3.36 | 17.6% | 5.4% | — | K 12.1% · BB 5.8% · FIP 5.35 | |
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 31 | MLBCHC | — | — | 0 | 4.63 | 4.63 | 17.7% | 7.3% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 32 | MLBCHC | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4.73 | 4.82 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 1.58 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 5.62 | 1.48 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 30 | 5 | 95 | 369 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 18.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 1.0% | 2.76 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 30 | 5 | 95 | 369 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 23.6% | 5.4% | 18.2% | 0.8% | 2.76 | 2.31 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 21 | 120 | 475 | 109 | 25 | 23 | 84% | 4.8 | 18.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 3.67 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 21 | 120 | 475 | 109 | 25 | 23 | 84% | 4.8 | 22.9% | 5.3% | 17.7% | 4.8% | 3.67 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX MLE | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.04 | 5.35 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX MLE | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.04 | 5.35 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX RAW | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 50 | 204 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 5.4% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | CHC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | CHC | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.44 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 64 | 32 | 100% | 6.9 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.44 | +2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 76 | 40 | 278 | 1113 | 194 | 68 | 39 | 53% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 3.33 | 4.31 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 55 | 29 | 200 | 801 | 139 | 49 | 28 | 53% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 3.33 | 4.31 | +1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 27 IPFIP 4.43 → 5.35 (+0.92)K% 14.9% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.91% | — | ×0.810 | 12.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.26% | — | ×1.100 | 5.79% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.51% | ÷0.911 | ×1.200 | 4.62% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 4.43 → 5.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 9 IPFIP 2.98 → 3.48 (+0.49)K% 13.9% → 10.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 13.89% | — | ×0.740 | 10.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.33% | — | ×1.180 | 9.83% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).
Result: FIP 2.98 → 3.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Cubs · 8 IPFIP 1.56 → 2.49 (+0.93)K% 27.3% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.27% | — | ×0.680 | 18.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.06% | — | ×1.250 | 7.58% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.868 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 74).
Result: FIP 1.56 → 2.49, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAIowa Cubs · 6 IPFIP 1.09 → 1.37 (+0.28)K% 23.8% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.81% | — | ×0.860 | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 0.00% | — | ×0.900 | 0.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.125 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 125).
Result: FIP 1.09 → 1.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 5 IPFIP 3.83 → 3.81 (−0.01)K% 17.2% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 17.24% | — | ×0.860 | 14.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.24% | — | ×0.900 | 15.52% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 3.83 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATennessee Smokies · 120 IPFIP 4.49 → 5.21 (+0.72)K% 22.9% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.95% | — | ×0.810 | 18.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.26% | — | ×1.100 | 5.79% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.84% | ÷1.082 | ×1.200 | 5.37% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 4.49 → 5.21, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATennessee Smokies · 41 IPFIP 2.81 → 3.42 (+0.61)K% 23.5% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.46% | — | ×0.810 | 19.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.02% | — | ×1.100 | 8.83% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.23% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | 1.47% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).
Result: FIP 2.81 → 3.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 34 IPFIP 2.47 → 3.03 (+0.56)K% 17.9% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 17.91% | — | ×0.770 | 13.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.73% | — | ×1.150 | 4.29% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.75% | ÷0.938 | ×1.250 | 0.99% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 88).
Result: FIP 2.47 → 3.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).