Brody Jessee
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 217 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145136vR 127
ERA5.61
FIP5.61
K%15.2%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%1.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.80 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 34 | 150 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.9% | 19.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 1.83 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 34 | 150 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 36.7% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 0.7% | 1.83 | 2.28 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 32 | 0 | 63 | 286 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 6.11 | 3.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 32 | 0 | 63 | 286 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 2.0 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 6.11 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 28 | 1 | 48 | 231 | 46 | 28 | 9 | 4% | 1.7 | 15.3% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 7.17 | 5.71 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 28 | 1 | 48 | 231 | 46 | 28 | 9 | 4% | 1.7 | 19.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 7.17 | 5.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 19 | 0 | 30 | 134 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.10 | 6.14 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 38 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.61 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 90 | 385 | 75 | 53 | 13 | — | — | 19.5% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.44 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.2% | 14.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.43 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.37 | 5.38 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.37 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 46 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.41 | 5.02 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 115 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.41 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 1 | 177 | 807 | 154 | 110 | 22 | 1% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 5.39 | 4.69 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 1 | 200 | 912 | 174 | 124 | 24 | 1% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 5.39 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brody Jessee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.61 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.41 | 16.9% | 3.4% | 118 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 90 |
| Tyler Burch R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 87 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 87 |
| Justin Camp R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 86 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 86 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 85 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 85 |
| Rob Huber R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.6% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.26 | 4.02 | 328 | 85 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 188 | 85 |
| Billy Seidl R 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 84 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 84 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 84 |
| Michael Mertz R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.12 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 2.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 133 | 84 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.65 | 15.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 113 | 84 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 84 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 84 |
| Tanner Duncan R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 123 | 83 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 16.3% | 13.7% | 1.16 | 5.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |