Michael Brewer

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	32	41	2.61	2.33	27.9%	7.8%	—	K 21.2% · BB 9.1% · FIP 3.14
2023	22	MIX2 levels	44	53	5.47	4.54	22.2%	12.8%	—	K 15.8% · BB 15.8% · FIP 6.19
2024	23	MIX2 levels	22	30	5.70	3.33	32.3%	13.5%	—	K 23.3% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.71
2027PROJ	26	MLBTEX	17	18	4.63	4.63	23.1%	11.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBTEX	7	7	4.62	4.63	23.1%	11.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJosh Zeid (age 26) · Jesus Pirela (age 26) · Jason Stoffel (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%23.1%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%11.7%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	30	128	43	17	2	0%	1.7	23.7%	16.2%	7.5%	2.1%	3.56	4.30	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	30	128	43	17	2	0%	1.7	33.6%	13.3%	20.3%	1.6%	3.56	2.80	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	41	179	50	14	2	0%	1.3	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	1.2%	2.61	3.14	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	41	179	50	14	2	0%	1.3	27.9%	7.8%	20.1%	1.1%	2.61	2.33	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	243	54	31	7	0%	1.2	15.8%	15.8%	-0.0%	4.4%	5.47	6.19	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	53	243	54	31	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	12.8%	9.5%	2.9%	5.47	4.54	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	23.3%	16.2%	7.1%	2.8%	5.70	4.71	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	23.3%	16.2%	7.1%	2.8%	5.70	4.71	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	32.3%	13.5%	18.8%	2.3%	5.70	3.33	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TEX	17	0	18	76	18	9	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.4%	11.7%	3.0%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	20	10	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.3%	11.9%	3.1%	4.62	4.63	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.3%	11.9%	3.1%	4.62	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.3%	11.9%	3.1%	4.62	4.25	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.3%	11.9%	3.1%	4.62	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		116	0	154	683	138	97	19	0%	1.3	20.1%	14.2%	6.0%	2.8%	4.37	4.75	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	885	178	126	25	0%	1.3	20.1%	14.2%	6.0%	2.8%	4.37	4.75	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Brewer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	23.1%	11.4%	3.0%	—	4.63	23.1%	11.9%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	89
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	88
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	88
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	88
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	88
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	86
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	86
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	86
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	85
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	84
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	83
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	83
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	83
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	83
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	83
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	83