Adam Stone

P South Bend Cubs

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ANYY	20	20	7.20	5.60	17.5%	19.4%	—	K 12.9% · BB 22.9% · FIP 6.19
2026	25	A+CHC	27	49	2.20	3.34	20.3%	13.4%	—	K 15.6% · BB 15.4% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	28	29	5.22	5.22	17.8%	14.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBCHC	15	16	5.16	5.17	18.3%	13.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDerek Eitel (age 27) · Justin Courtney (age 26) · David Holman (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%17.8%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%3.5%

Proj IP29

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	20	0	20	103	18	20	2	0%	1.0	12.9%	22.9%	-10.0%	2.3%	7.20	6.19	—
2023	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	20	0	20	103	18	20	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	19.4%	-1.9%	1.9%	7.20	5.60	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	27	0	49	217	44	29	1	0%	1.8	15.6%	15.4%	0.2%	0.6%	2.20	4.04	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	27	0	49	217	44	29	1	0%	1.8	15.6%	15.4%	0.2%	0.6%	2.20	4.04	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	27	0	49	217	44	29	1	0%	1.8	20.3%	13.4%	6.9%	0.5%	2.20	3.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	28	0	29	122	22	17	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	2.6%	5.22	5.22	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	41	0	43	183	34	25	5	0%	1.1	18.3%	13.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.16	5.17	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	15	0	16	68	12	9	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	13.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.16	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	12	9	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	13.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.16	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	113	25	0%	1.1	18.3%	13.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.16	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		47	0	69	320	47	57	4	0%	1.5	14.8%	17.8%	-3.0%	1.1%	3.65	4.73	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	0	200	928	137	165	11	0%	1.5	14.8%	17.8%	-3.0%	1.1%	3.65	4.73	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Stone (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	17.8%	14.3%	2.6%	—	5.17	18.3%	4.5%	43	-0.05	—	—	—
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	89
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	88
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	86
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	86
Jake Johansen R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	15.9%	12.1%	2.5%	.273	3.65	12.8%	4.9%	48	-1.00	3.65	162	86
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	85
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	85
Rene Coss R 2015 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	16.7%	13.9%	1.2%	.250	4.79	13.0%	2.1%	82	+0.68	3.84	123	85
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	85
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	84
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	84
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	84
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	84
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	18.1%	14.0%	1.03	5.18
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*