Nate Fisher prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Nate Fisher P Charlotte Knights

Age 30 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%17.7%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

CH+0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	23	A MLE	West Virginia Power	5	5	25	114	17	5	3	100%	5.1	11.0%	5.2%	5.9%	3.4%	5.33	4.67	—
2019	23	A RAW	West Virginia Power	5	5	25	114	17	5	3	100%	5.1	14.9%	4.4%	10.5%	2.6%	5.33	3.89	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	2	37	148	47	11	3	10%	1.8	25.7%	3.8%	21.8%	0.0%	2.89	1.42	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	2	37	148	47	11	3	10%	1.8	31.8%	7.4%	24.3%	2.0%	2.89	2.51	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	13	88	375	81	36	9	42%	2.8	18.6%	10.0%	8.6%	2.9%	4.00	4.36	+0.2
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	13	88	375	81	36	9	42%	2.8	21.6%	9.6%	12.0%	2.4%	4.00	3.82	+0.8
2023	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	26	20	104	483	85	49	23	77%	4.0	15.1%	9.1%	6.0%	4.5%	6.51	5.47	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	26	20	104	483	85	49	23	77%	4.0	15.1%	9.1%	6.0%	4.5%	6.51	5.47	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	26	20	104	483	85	49	23	77%	4.0	17.6%	10.1%	7.5%	4.8%	6.51	5.76	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	3	11	1	2	0	0%	3.0	9.1%	18.2%	-9.1%	0.0%	0.00	4.43	+0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.7%	9.2%	8.5%	3.2%	4.91	4.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CWS	62	0	66	277	49	26	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	9.5%	8.3%	3.4%	4.97	5.05	-0.4
2028	32	MLB MLE	CWS	58	0	61	256	46	25	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.9%	7.9%	3.6%	5.10	5.22	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	CWS	23	0	24	101	18	10	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.5%	8.3%	3.4%	4.97	5.05	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	CWS	31	0	33	139	25	14	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	9.9%	7.9%	3.6%	5.10	5.22	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	61	254	44	26	9	0%	1.1	17.4%	10.1%	7.3%	3.4%	4.80	4.77	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	0	200	839	145	86	30	0%	1.1	17.4%	10.1%	7.3%	3.4%	4.80	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		83	40	254	1120	193	93	37	48%	3.1	17.3%	8.3%	9.0%	3.3%	5.00	4.48	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	31	200	882	152	73	29	48%	3.1	17.3%	8.3%	9.0%	3.3%	5.00	4.48	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nate Fisher (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	17.7%	9.2%	3.2%	—	5.13	17.8%	8.1%	126	+0.22	—	—	—
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	71
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	70
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	68
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	67
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	66
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	65
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	65
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	63
Andy Otero L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	30	SW	4.36	14.5%	8.9%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	200	63
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	62
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	62
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	61
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	60
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	60
Mike Kickham L 2019 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.311	5.98	18.8%	8.7%	61	+1.86	3.00	397	60
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	59
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	58
Daniel Camarena L 2023 · 4.94 FIP	30	SP-	4.94	14.0%	5.6%	4.2%	.342	6.81	13.2%	2.4%	51	+1.87	3.76	674	58
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	57
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	57

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	67	17.7%	9.6%	1.30	4.91
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98