Jordan DiValerio prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jordan DiValerio P Greenville Drive

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%20.4%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP50

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	31	1	72	315	72	15	8	3%	2.3	16.9%	5.6%	11.3%	3.8%	5.72	4.50	—
2021	23	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	31	1	72	315	72	15	8	3%	2.3	22.9%	4.8%	18.1%	2.5%	5.72	3.17	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	69	307	68	16	12	0%	2.3	17.3%	5.8%	11.5%	5.0%	5.77	5.14	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	69	307	68	16	12	0%	2.3	22.1%	5.2%	16.9%	3.9%	5.77	4.09	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	30	5	73	328	68	15	19	17%	2.4	16.0%	5.3%	10.7%	7.8%	5.08	6.69	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	30	5	73	328	68	15	19	17%	2.4	16.0%	5.3%	10.7%	7.8%	5.08	6.69	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	30	5	73	328	68	15	19	17%	2.4	20.7%	4.6%	16.2%	5.8%	5.08	5.25	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.4%	7.1%	13.4%	3.2%	4.42	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BOS	46	0	48	203	42	15	7	0%	1.0	20.5%	7.5%	13.0%	3.3%	4.48	4.54	+0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	BOS	43	0	45	191	39	15	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	8.0%	12.4%	3.5%	4.60	4.70	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	BOS	40	0	42	178	36	15	7	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.4%	11.8%	3.7%	4.76	4.88	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	BOS	14	0	15	63	13	5	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	7.5%	13.0%	3.3%	4.48	4.54	+0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	BOS	22	0	23	97	20	8	3	0%	1.0	20.4%	8.0%	12.4%	3.5%	4.60	4.70	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	BOS	26	0	27	114	23	10	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.4%	11.8%	3.7%	4.76	4.88	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	273	55	22	10	0%	1.0	20.3%	8.0%	12.3%	3.6%	4.64	4.36	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	68	31	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.0%	12.3%	3.6%	4.64	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		91	6	214	950	159	53	53	7%	2.3	16.7%	5.5%	11.2%	5.6%	5.52	5.46	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	6	200	889	148	49	50	7%	2.3	16.7%	5.5%	11.2%	5.6%	5.52	5.46	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan DiValerio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	20.4%	7.1%	3.2%	—	4.70	20.3%	12.4%	135	+0.28	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	87
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	83
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	82
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	81
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	80
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	79
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	79
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	79
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	78
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	78
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	78
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	77
Cristhian Martinez R 2010 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	20.0%	4.5%	2.9%	.312	3.43	19.8%	14.6%	151	-0.18	3.09	204	77
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	27	SU	4.76	23.0%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.18	3.73	223	77
Lou Pote R 2000 · 3.34 FIP	28	SU	3.34	20.6%	7.5%	1.9%	.320	4.49	16.7%	7.9%	137	+1.15	3.31	217	77
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	77
Geoff Geary R 2005 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	17.0%	6.9%	2.0%	.268	3.57	15.1%	9.0%	223	-0.08	3.16	345	77
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	46	20.4%	7.7%	1.33	4.56
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82