Donovan Benoit

P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	MIX2 levels	22	0	32	3.38	3.04	27.7%	14.9%	—	K 21.8% · BB 16.6% · FIP 3.83
2024	25	AACIN	31	0	58	4.97	4.12	18.1%	11.3%	—	K 14.7% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.58
2025	26	MIX2 levels	19	1	51	4.41	3.92	23.0%	11.9%	—	K 18.2% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.64
2027PROJ	28	MLBCIN	56	0	59	5.27	5.27	17.4%	13.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBCIN	17	0	18	5.26	5.31	17.8%	12.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBCIN	26	0	27	5.32	5.41	17.8%	12.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control40Command40

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Luis Mateo (age 27) · Beck Wheeler (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%17.4%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%4.4%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	6	1	10	45	23	3	1	17%	1.7	51.1%	6.7%	44.4%	2.2%	2.70	0.85	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	6	1	10	45	23	3	1	17%	1.7	51.1%	6.7%	44.4%	2.2%	2.70	0.70	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	33	0	45	186	61	20	3	0%	1.4	25.3%	12.4%	12.9%	1.9%	4.00	3.58	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	33	0	45	186	61	20	3	0%	1.4	32.8%	10.8%	22.0%	1.6%	4.00	2.59	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	32	141	39	21	1	0%	1.5	21.8%	16.6%	5.1%	0.8%	3.38	3.83	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	32	141	39	21	1	0%	1.5	27.7%	14.9%	12.8%	0.7%	3.38	3.04	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	14.7%	12.5%	2.2%	2.1%	4.97	4.58	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	14.7%	12.5%	2.2%	2.1%	4.97	4.58	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	18.1%	11.3%	6.8%	1.9%	4.97	4.12	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.8%	4.41	4.64	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.8%	4.41	4.64	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	23.0%	11.9%	11.1%	2.2%	4.41	3.92	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CIN	56	0	59	249	43	32	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	13.0%	4.4%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	54	0	56	237	42	31	7	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.26	5.31	-0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	50	0	53	223	40	29	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.3%	5.32	5.41	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	17	0	18	76	13	10	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.26	5.31	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	26	0	27	114	20	15	4	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.3%	5.32	5.41	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	189	34	24	6	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.2%	5.30	4.99	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	107	27	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	3.2%	5.30	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		111	2	196	863	181	110	18	2%	1.8	20.9%	12.7%	8.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.06	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	2	200	881	184	112	18	2%	1.8	20.9%	12.7%	8.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.06	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Donovan Benoit (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	17.4%	13.0%	2.9%	—	5.36	17.8%	4.9%	109	+0.09	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	89
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	85
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	84
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	83
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	82
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	81
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	81
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	80
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	80
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	80
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.49	15.9%	4.6%	79	+0.29	4.46	215	80
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	17.7%	12.9%	1.20	5.28
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*