Edgar Barclay

P Somerset Patriots

Age 29 LHP 5'10" / 234 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX2 levels	21	10	78	3.91	4.22	29.0%	12.8%	—	K 24.2% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.67
2024	26	AAAScranton/Wilk…	29	29	143	5.98	5.65	18.2%	10.8%	—	K 15.7% · BB 9.7% · FIP 5.68
2025	27	MIX2 levels	5	4	17	3.12	3.56	22.2%	12.5%	—	K 21.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.18
2027PROJ	29	MLBNYY	26	0	27	5.08	5.08	18.0%	10.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBNYY	8	0	8	5.11	5.18	18.2%	10.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsTyler Alexander (age 29) · John Rheinecker (age 28) · Everett Teaford (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 130

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%18.0%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%7.7%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	26	111	29	8	0	0%	2.2	17.9%	6.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.46	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	26	111	29	8	0	0%	2.2	26.1%	7.2%	18.9%	0.0%	2.08	1.79	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	6	77	316	112	25	7	21%	2.7	26.6%	9.3%	17.3%	2.8%	3.49	3.56	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	6	77	316	112	25	7	21%	2.7	35.4%	7.9%	27.5%	2.2%	3.49	2.35	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	28	4	67	257	86	20	0	14%	2.4	25.8%	8.9%	16.8%	0.0%	1.74	2.06	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	28	4	67	257	86	20	0	14%	2.4	33.5%	7.8%	25.7%	0.0%	1.74	1.44	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	10	78	345	100	44	12	48%	3.7	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	3.8%	3.91	4.67	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	10	78	345	100	44	12	48%	3.7	29.0%	12.8%	16.2%	3.5%	3.91	4.22	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	15.7%	9.7%	5.9%	4.9%	5.98	5.68	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	15.7%	9.7%	5.9%	4.9%	5.98	5.68	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	4.6%	5.98	5.65	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	1.9%	3.12	4.18	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	1.9%	3.12	4.18	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	22.2%	12.5%	9.7%	1.4%	3.12	3.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	NYY	26	0	27	114	21	12	4	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.4%	7.7%	3.3%	5.08	5.08	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYY	24	0	26	108	20	11	4	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.5%	5.11	5.18	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYY	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.5%	5.11	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.5%	5.11	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	100	25	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.5%	5.11	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		124	53	409	1749	370	175	55	43%	3.3	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.05	4.30	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	26	200	855	181	86	27	43%	3.3	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.05	4.30	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Barclay (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	18.0%	10.4%	3.3%	—	5.18	18.2%	7.7%	26	+0.10	—	—	—
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	75
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	73
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	73
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	72
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	70
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	69
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	69
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	68
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	65
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	295	65
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	65
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	65
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	64
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	63
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	63
Jordan Carr L 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SW	4.42	13.1%	8.8%	2.4%	.295	6.61	11.8%	-1.7%	47	+2.19	3.49	269	63
Kyle Hart L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	29	SW	5.24	17.4%	9.9%	4.3%	.286	4.29	18.4%	9.5%	196	-0.95	3.60	886	63
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	62
Colten Schmidt L 2023 · 5.23 FIP	27	SW	5.23	14.4%	8.0%	4.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	163	61
Scott Downs L 2005 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	18.4%	8.4%	2.9%	.283	3.29	20.5%	12.9%	206	-0.93	2.68	748	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.1%	10.4%	1.30	5.09
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*