Jake Garland
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 260 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.43
FIP5.43
K%10.5%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%1.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 5.9% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 12.00 | 1.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 5.9% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 12.00 | 1.43 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 117 | 517 | 90 | 35 | 6 | 79% | 4.9 | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 5.40 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 117 | 517 | 90 | 35 | 6 | 79% | 4.9 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 5.40 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 108 | 462 | 70 | 38 | 11 | 59% | 4.0 | 11.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.82 | 5.06 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 108 | 462 | 70 | 38 | 11 | 59% | 4.0 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 3.82 | 4.18 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 20 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 55 | 22 | 7 | 60% | 3.9 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.19 | 4.75 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 20 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 55 | 22 | 7 | 60% | 3.9 | 17.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.19 | 3.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 26 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 2.63 | 3.52 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 108 | 458 | 62 | 38 | 11 | — | — | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 4.45 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 10.5% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.43 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 39 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.18 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.18 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 74 | 51 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.20 | 4.82 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 117 | 81 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.20 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 48 | 343 | 1482 | 192 | 120 | 33 | 48% | 3.4 | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 4.38 | 4.25 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 28 | 200 | 864 | 112 | 70 | 19 | 48% | 3.4 | 12.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 4.38 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Garland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.43 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 5.19 | 13.8% | 4.3% | 206 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 86 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 86 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.47 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 120 | +0.19 | 4.28 | 205 | 82 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 80 |
| LJ Brewster R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 80 |
| Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 9.5% | 0.1% | 39 | +0.16 | 3.25 | 225 | 80 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 183 | +0.73 | 3.41 | 390 | 80 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 80 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 80 |
| Drasen Johnson R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 110 | 80 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 79 |
| Abel Amaya R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | .264 | 6.31 | 8.5% | 5.1% | 12 | +2.06 | 4.25 | 109 | 78 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 78 |
| Kyle Miller R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 78 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 78 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 77 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 77 |
| Geno Encina R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.84 | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 200 | 77 |
| Michael Ross R 2025 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 12.9% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 5.26 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |