Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 2.3 | 27.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 6.43 | 2.51 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 2.3 | 27.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 6.43 | 2.39 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 106 | 452 | 91 | 33 | 13 | 92% | 4.4 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.68 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 106 | 452 | 91 | 33 | 13 | 92% | 4.4 | 20.1% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 3.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 15 | 8 | 55 | 245 | 58 | 22 | 11 | 53% | 3.7 | 18.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.04 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 74 | 313 | 42 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.7 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.13 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 130 | 558 | 100 | 51 | 20 | — | — | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.48 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 74 | 313 | 48 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 73 | 309 | 49 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 71 | 299 | 48 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 68 | 286 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 15.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 31 | 187 | 788 | 125 | 74 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.00 | 4.65 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 134 | 79 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.00 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 31 | 168 | 733 | 123 | 69 | 28 | 74% | 4.0 | 16.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.76 | 5.00 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 37 | 200 | 871 | 146 | 82 | 34 | 74% | 4.0 | 16.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.76 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Highfill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.98 | 15.7% | 6.5% | 218 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 87 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 86 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 85 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 85 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 84 |
| Frank Batista R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 83 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Braden Olthoff R 2024 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.57 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 108 | 83 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .276 | 5.13 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 40 | +0.72 | 4.13 | 405 | 82 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 82 |
| Mike Augliera R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 81 |
| Luke Irvine R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 81 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 81 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 81 |
| Rafael Sanchez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 362 | 80 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 80 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 80 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 79 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 79 |
| Logan Shore R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.27 | 11.5% | 10.5% | 1.5% | .274 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 125 | +0.54 | 2.92 | 386 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 72 | 15.3% | 9.3% | 1.18 | 5.03 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |