Kyle Dernedde — OGILVIE

Kyle DerneddeSS Lake County Captains

Age 26 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .244 / .257

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%6

BABIP259

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	49	43	11	1	0	0	5	16	0	1	0	256	333	279	612	23	393	33	10	282	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	188	162	25	6	0	2	14	62	8	2	0	154	255	228	484	74	225	33	7	228	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	49	44	10	1	0	0	4	21	0	1	0	227	292	250	542	23	374	43	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	188	166	18	4	0	1	10	77	8	2	0	108	196	151	346	42	176	41	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	237	211	28	5	0	1	13	98	8	3	0	133	211	171	382	38	231	41	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	237	205	36	7	0	2	19	78	8	3	0	176	272	239	511	63	262	33	8	239	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	237	214	28	5	0	1	13	98	8	3	0	131	211	168	379	37	217	41	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	237	214	28	5	0	1	13	98	8	3	0	131	211	168	379	37	217	41	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	287	264	48	9	1	3	17	86	4	5	1	184	244	258	502	75	259	30	6	231	42	-20	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	184	244	257	502	73	259	0	0	230	42	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	26%	232	213	40	8	1	2	14	69	3	4	1	186	247	263	510	77	260	30	6	234	44	-15	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	26%	60	55	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	186	247	262	510	76	260	30	7	234	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	55	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	182	250	273	523	91	250	30	7	234	31	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	109	22	0	11	43	195	11	11	0	183	251	275	526	92	251	30	7	234	31	-43	+2	+0	+7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	664	602	101	19	2	5	39	226	14	10	2	168	235	231	466	63	254	34	6	214	31	-29	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	99	19	2	5	38	221	14	10	2	168	236	233	468	65	254	34	6	214	31	-44	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Dernedde (OGILVIE)	26	20	30	45	30	182/242/256	74	259	2	3	30%	6%	42	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	41	190/249/248	58	270	3	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	210/277/282	72	282	5	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→37	38→40	45→50	44	193/265/267	75	277	6	14	31%	8%	53	-2.1	192/252/281	89	266	10	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	192/246/276	84	282	5	5	32%	4%	48	-2.5	189/239/268	79	291	6	6	35%	5%	43	-2.8	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	179/267/255	76	302	6	11	39%	7%	53	-2.1	178/274/281	103	290	9	15	38%	8%	61	-1.5	153/258/253	100	252	9	18	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	36	172/214/248	76	250	5	4	33%	5%	29	-3.8	180/221/240	60	267	5	3	33%	5%	29	-3.8	163/200/201	38	244	3	0	33%	4%	10	-1.7
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2011 · AAA	26	38	37→40	42→40	35	186/225/261	75	257	5	5	29%	3%	36	-3.4	199/234/290	91	267	7	4	28%	4%	46	-2.6	198/229/289	90	263	8	2	27%	3%	41	-1.2
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	43	36→30	44→30	46	203/264/270	67	270	3	5	25%	7%	53	-2.1	210/273/292	82	277	6	7	24%	8%	61	-1.5	194/260/241	47	255	2	0	23%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	185/228/263	78	252	7	15	29%	5%	37	-3.3	204/242/303	99	290	8	11	31%	4%	52	-2.2	197/221/298	101	278	7	9	31%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Eric Yang 2024 · AAA	26	41	39→40	47→40	43	194/269/277	83	288	6	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	203/280/276	73	313	5	6	34%	8%	61	-1.5	175/267/227	52	282	5	2	36%	9%	44	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	196/253/290	94	252	9	7	26%	6%	54	-2.0	209/269/304	95	283	10	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/273	76	269	9	10	29%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Chad Noble 2013 · AA	25	37	35→30	43→30	39	181/223/236	55	250	2	4	28%	5%	29	-3.8	198/242/268	70	261	4	6	24%	5%	43	-2.8	190/227/244	54	241	2	2	21%	4%	30	-1.4
✕Beau Seabury 2011 · A	26	40	35→30	40→45	36	191/240/247	56	290	2	5	34%	5%	38	-3.2	214/265/307	93	307	8	6	31%	5%	62	-1.4	223/262/337	114	303	11	0	29%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6