Brendan White

P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX4 levels	8	1	7	7.36	7.74	16.2%	29.7%	—	K 16.2% · BB 29.7% · FIP 6.98
2025	26	AAADET	27	0	32	7.24	4.21	17.0%	10.7%	—	K 14.6% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.39
2026	27	AAASEA	8	0	12	7.30	4.72	16.7%	15.0%	—	K 14.3% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.61
2027PROJ	28	MLBSEA	115	0	121	4.97	4.79	18.9%	10.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBSEA	41	0	43	4.90	4.90	18.6%	10.4%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBSEA	57	0	60	4.97	5.05	18.2%	10.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023

Whiff%75

K%65

FB Velo48

xwOBA vs38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEmmanuel Chapman (age 25) · Cody Satterwhite (age 28) · Jose Pina (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.97

FIP4.79

K%18.9%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP121

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 121 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p7529.2%

p6524.9%

xwOBA vs

p380.326

FB+5.8

SL-6.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers West	14	5	31	144	29	11	1	36%	2.2	13.7%	9.5%	4.1%	1.0%	3.77	3.69	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers West	14	5	31	144	29	11	1	36%	2.2	20.1%	7.6%	12.5%	0.7%	3.77	2.71	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	18	101	447	107	27	9	69%	3.9	18.4%	6.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.17	4.07	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	18	101	447	107	27	9	69%	3.9	23.9%	6.0%	17.9%	2.0%	4.17	2.94	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	48	0	67	269	73	17	3	0%	1.4	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	1.4%	2.67	2.92	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	48	0	67	269	73	17	3	0%	1.4	27.1%	6.3%	20.8%	1.1%	2.67	2.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	2	78	339	94	26	8	3%	1.3	25.7%	7.3%	18.3%	2.7%	4.64	3.33	+1.1
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	2	78	339	94	26	8	3%	1.3	27.7%	7.7%	20.1%	2.4%	4.64	3.02	+1.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	6.98	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	6.98	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	7.74	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	14.6%	9.6%	5.0%	2.4%	7.24	4.39	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	14.6%	9.6%	5.0%	2.4%	7.24	4.39	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	17.0%	10.7%	6.3%	1.9%	7.24	4.21	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	14.3%	13.5%	0.8%	1.8%	7.30	4.61	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	14.3%	13.5%	0.8%	1.8%	7.30	4.61	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	16.7%	15.0%	1.7%	1.7%	7.30	4.72	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			33	2	41	177	44	15	4	6%	1.2	24.9%	8.5%	16.4%	2.3%	5.09	3.32	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SEA	115	0	121	511	97	53	15	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.4%	8.5%	2.9%	4.97	4.79	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	110	0	116	489	91	51	15	0%	1.1	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	3.0%	4.90	4.90	-0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	SEA	104	0	109	460	83	48	15	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.2%	4.97	5.05	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	41	0	43	182	34	19	6	0%	1.0	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	3.0%	4.90	4.90	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57	0	60	253	46	27	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	3.2%	4.97	5.05	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		131	2	143	610	123	60	18	2%	1.1	20.2%	9.9%	10.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.23	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	3	200	852	172	84	25	2%	1.1	20.2%	9.9%	10.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.23	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		193	26	329	1455	286	123	34	13%	1.7	19.7%	8.4%	11.2%	2.3%	4.43	3.78	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	16	200	884	174	75	20	13%	1.7	19.7%	8.4%	11.2%	2.3%	4.43	3.78	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brendan White (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	18.9%	10.4%	2.9%	—	4.97	18.4%	8.0%	225	+0.18	—	—	—
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	79
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	78
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	78
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	76
Brian Bass R 2009 · 4.70 FIP	27	SU	4.70	13.5%	9.8%	2.8%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	176	75
Logan Bawcom R 2017 · 4.06 FIP	28	SU	4.06	18.2%	10.7%	2.1%	.298	5.19	15.0%	6.4%	164	+1.13	3.73	399	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	75
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.49	15.9%	4.6%	79	+0.29	4.46	215	74
Ricky Stone R 2003 · 4.67 FIP	28	SU	4.67	13.4%	7.7%	3.1%	.245	5.26	14.0%	9.2%	82	+0.59	4.16	243	73
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	73
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	73
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	73
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	18.3%	9.0%	2.4%	.255	4.23	15.9%	2.3%	20	+0.20	4.03	254	73
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	73
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	73
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	72
J.J. Putz R 2005 · 4.36 FIP	28	SU	4.36	17.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.270	2.24	31.4%	25.1%	196	-2.12	1.43	563	72
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	97	19.2%	10.2%	1.15	4.96
Roy Walker ('12-'22, -0 WAR*)	1.9	96	20.8%*	10.8%*	1.25*	5.07*
Myles Thomas ('26-'30, -1 WAR*)	2.2	87	16.5%*	9.7%*	1.08*	4.91*
Felipe Paulino ('14)	2.0	101	20.7%	9.5%	1.14	5.22
Zack Godley ('21)	2.8	95	22.1%	9.6%	1.16	4.92
Alan Benes ('03)	2.5	99	18.6%	10.2%	1.07	4.59
Jim Mooney ('31-'34, 1 WAR*)	1.8	89	17.5%*	10.4%*	1.30*	4.76*