Brendan White — OGILVIE

Brendan White P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.39

FIP4.41

K%20.7%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p7529.2%

p6524.9%

xwOBA vs

p380.326

FB+5.8

SL-6.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers West	14	5	31	144	29	11	1	36%	2.2	13.7%	9.5%	4.1%	1.0%	3.77	3.69	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers West	14	5	31	144	29	11	1	36%	2.2	20.1%	7.6%	12.5%	0.7%	3.77	2.71	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	18	101	447	107	27	9	69%	3.9	18.4%	6.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.17	4.07	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	26	18	101	447	107	27	9	69%	3.9	23.9%	6.0%	17.9%	2.0%	4.17	2.94	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	48	0	67	269	73	17	3	0%	1.4	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	1.4%	2.67	2.92	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	48	0	67	269	73	17	3	0%	1.4	27.1%	6.3%	20.8%	1.1%	2.67	2.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	2	78	339	94	26	8	3%	1.3	25.2%	7.3%	17.9%	2.7%	4.64	3.37	+1.1
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	2	78	339	94	26	8	3%	1.3	25.2%	7.3%	17.9%	2.7%	4.64	3.37	+1.1
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	2	78	339	94	26	8	3%	1.3	27.7%	7.7%	20.1%	2.4%	4.64	3.02	+1.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	6.98	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	6.98	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	8	1	7	37	6	11	1	12%	0.9	16.2%	29.7%	-13.5%	2.7%	7.36	7.74	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	14.1%	9.6%	4.5%	2.4%	7.24	4.44	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	14.1%	9.6%	4.5%	2.4%	7.24	4.44	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	27	0	32	159	27	17	3	0%	1.2	17.0%	10.7%	6.3%	1.9%	7.24	4.21	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			33	2	41	177	44	15	4	6%	1.2	24.9%	8.5%	16.4%	2.3%	5.09	3.32	+0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	13.8%	13.5%	0.3%	1.8%	7.30	4.65	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	13.8%	13.5%	0.3%	1.8%	7.30	4.65	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	SEA	8	0	12	60	10	9	1	0%	1.5	16.7%	15.0%	1.7%	1.7%	7.30	4.51	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	SEA	5	0	5	23	5	2	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.6%	12.1%	2.9%	4.39	4.41	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	18	83	15	11	2	—	—	17.8%	13.2%	4.6%	2.0%	6.40	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	60	0	63	266	55	24	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	57	0	60	254	52	23	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.56	4.64	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	26	0	27	114	24	10	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	8.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	34	0	36	152	31	14	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.56	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		93	2	104	442	99	39	12	2%	1.1	22.3%	8.8%	13.5%	2.8%	4.74	3.84	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		179	4	200	855	191	75	23	2%	1.1	22.3%	8.8%	13.5%	2.8%	4.74	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		193	26	329	1455	283	123	34	13%	1.7	19.5%	8.4%	11.0%	2.3%	4.43	3.79	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	16	200	884	172	75	20	13%	1.7	19.5%	8.4%	11.0%	2.3%	4.43	3.79	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brendan White (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	20.7%	8.6%	2.9%	—	4.56	20.7%	11.7%	123	+0.15	—	—	—
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	88
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	84
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	84
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	83
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	83
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	83
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	83
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	83
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	82
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	82
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	82
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	82
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	82
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	82
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	20.7%	8.9%	1.17	4.46
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38