Jarrod Cande

P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	A+COL	19	19	105	3.25	3.50	25.3%	6.0%	—	K 19.5% · BB 6.9% · FIP 4.46
2024	24	AACOL	23	21	106	4.15	4.44	20.6%	10.0%	—	K 16.7% · BB 11.0% · FIP 5.42
2026	26	MIX3 levels	17	0	25	5.76	5.30	15.7%	14.9%	—	K 11.7% · BB 15.3% · FIP 5.72
2027PROJ	27	MLBCOL	3	3	21	5.44	5.44	15.8%	12.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBCOL	1	1	8	5.38	5.41	16.4%	12.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsClay Condrey (age 27) · Alfonso Sanchez (age 27) · Luis Niebla (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%15.8%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	4	0	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.99	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	4	0	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.92	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	19	15	80	356	92	22	9	79%	4.2	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.5%	4.93	4.31	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	19	15	80	356	92	22	9	79%	4.2	25.8%	6.2%	19.7%	2.5%	4.93	3.09	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	19	19	105	431	109	26	14	100%	5.5	19.5%	6.9%	12.5%	3.9%	3.25	4.46	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	19	19	105	431	109	26	14	100%	5.5	25.3%	6.0%	19.3%	3.2%	3.25	3.50	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	4.3%	4.15	5.42	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	4.3%	4.15	5.42	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.3%	4.15	4.44	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	25	121	19	18	3	0%	1.5	11.7%	15.3%	-3.6%	3.0%	5.76	5.72	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	25	121	19	18	3	0%	1.5	11.7%	15.3%	-3.6%	3.0%	5.76	5.72	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	0	25	121	19	18	3	0%	1.5	15.7%	14.9%	0.8%	2.5%	5.76	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	COL	3	3	21	89	14	11	3	100%	7.0	15.8%	12.7%	3.1%	3.1%	5.44	5.44	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	3	3	20	85	14	11	3	100%	6.7	16.4%	12.5%	3.9%	3.2%	5.38	5.41	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	1	1	8	34	6	4	1	100%	8.0	16.4%	12.5%	3.9%	3.2%	5.38	5.41	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	8	32	5	4	1	100%	7.6	16.4%	12.5%	3.9%	3.2%	5.38	5.03	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	132	105	26	100%	6.2	16.4%	12.5%	3.9%	3.2%	5.38	5.03	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		82	55	321	1385	247	125	52	67%	3.9	17.8%	9.0%	8.8%	3.8%	4.15	4.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	34	200	864	154	78	33	67%	3.9	17.8%	9.0%	8.8%	3.8%	4.15	4.81	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarrod Cande (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	15.8%	12.7%	3.1%	—	5.41	16.4%	3.9%	20	-0.03	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	82
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	77
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	77
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	77
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	77
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	76
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	76
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	74
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	74
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	74
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	73
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	72
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	72
Ernesto Zaragoza R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	26	SP-	4.35	13.1%	10.9%	1.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	239	70
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	70
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	70
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	70
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	69
Jim Brower R 2000 · 5.54 FIP	27	SP-	5.54	10.9%	10.2%	3.8%	.314	4.22	16.4%	7.2%	310	-1.32	3.67	571	69