Jacob Wallace

P Knoxville Smokies

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	45	0	64	4.10	3.35	32.5%	10.6%	—	K 26.5% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.66
2025	26	AAAKC	26	1	42	4.46	3.64	26.2%	9.3%	—	K 22.5% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.01
2026	27	MIX3 levels	21	0	26	5.13	2.57	25.9%	5.4%	—	K 21.1% · BB 6.0% · FIP 3.50
2027PROJ	28	MLBCHC	56	0	59	4.22	4.22	22.7%	7.8%	0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBCHC	17	0	18	4.30	4.36	22.6%	8.2%	0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBCHC	26	0	27	4.44	4.53	22.3%	8.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRyan Brasier (age 28) · Matt Ramsey (age 28) · Neil Wagner (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%22.7%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%14.9%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	39	0	49	220	76	25	5	0%	1.2	26.6%	13.1%	13.5%	3.2%	5.92	4.26	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	39	0	49	220	76	25	5	0%	1.2	34.5%	11.4%	23.2%	2.3%	5.92	2.85	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	47	0	57	250	76	49	7	0%	1.2	24.6%	21.6%	3.1%	3.3%	3.81	5.59	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	47	0	57	250	76	49	7	0%	1.2	30.4%	19.6%	10.8%	2.8%	3.81	4.62	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	49	0	49	238	57	37	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.1%	2.3%	0.6%	4.20	3.95	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	49	0	49	238	57	37	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	15.5%	8.4%	0.4%	4.20	3.30	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	64	265	86	28	8	0%	1.4	26.5%	12.1%	14.3%	4.1%	4.10	4.66	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	64	265	86	28	8	0%	1.4	26.5%	12.1%	14.3%	4.1%	4.10	4.66	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	64	265	86	28	8	0%	1.4	32.5%	10.6%	21.9%	3.0%	4.10	3.35	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	26	1	42	172	45	16	5	4%	1.6	22.5%	8.4%	14.1%	3.2%	4.46	4.01	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	26	1	42	172	45	16	5	4%	1.6	22.5%	8.4%	14.1%	3.2%	4.46	4.01	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	26	1	42	172	45	16	5	4%	1.6	26.2%	9.3%	16.9%	2.9%	4.46	3.64	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	26	112	29	6	2	0%	1.3	21.1%	6.0%	15.2%	2.6%	5.13	3.50	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	26	112	29	6	2	0%	1.3	21.1%	6.0%	15.2%	2.6%	5.13	3.50	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	0	26	112	29	6	2	0%	1.3	25.9%	5.4%	20.5%	1.8%	5.13	2.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CHC	56	0	59	249	57	19	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	7.8%	14.9%	3.0%	4.22	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CHC	54	0	56	237	54	19	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	8.2%	14.4%	3.2%	4.30	4.36	+0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	CHC	50	0	53	223	50	19	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.6%	13.7%	3.4%	4.44	4.53	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	CHC	17	0	18	76	17	6	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.2%	14.4%	3.2%	4.30	4.36	+0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	CHC	26	0	27	114	25	10	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.6%	13.7%	3.4%	4.44	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	189	42	16	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.4%	14.0%	3.3%	4.38	4.08	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	72	27	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.4%	14.0%	3.3%	4.38	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		227	1	287	1257	299	177	36	0%	1.3	23.8%	14.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.52	4.45	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	1	200	876	208	123	25	0%	1.3	23.8%	14.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.52	4.45	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Wallace (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	22.7%	7.8%	3.0%	—	4.44	22.4%	14.1%	109	+0.22	—	—	—
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	92
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	91
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	89
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	86
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	85
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	85
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	84
Ryan Tepera R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.81	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.70	2.35	445	84
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	84
Jason Motte R 2010 · 3.24 FIP	28	SU	3.24	26.0%	7.2%	2.6%	.269	2.69	27.3%	21.8%	140	-0.55	2.22	387	84
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	84
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	84
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	83
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	83
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	83
Taylor Williams R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	21.9%	8.4%	3.3%	.275	3.85	22.1%	12.1%	103	-0.30	2.51	309	83
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2012 · 3.90 FIP	28	SU	3.90	25.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.299	3.34	26.5%	16.9%	75	-0.56	3.34	335	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	22.5%	8.2%	1.23	4.32
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*