Brett Standlee prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brett Standlee P Eugene Emeralds

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 223 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

K%20.8%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	9	0	9	34	9	2	0	0%	1.0	26.5%	5.9%	20.6%	0.0%	1.00	1.61	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	9	0	9	34	9	2	0	0%	1.0	26.5%	5.9%	20.6%	0.0%	1.00	1.77	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	40	1	53	238	61	23	5	2%	1.3	19.7%	11.1%	8.6%	2.3%	4.75	4.13	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	40	1	53	238	61	23	5	2%	1.3	25.6%	9.7%	16.0%	2.1%	4.75	3.33	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	39	2	75	327	72	23	9	5%	1.9	17.0%	8.1%	8.9%	3.2%	4.68	4.45	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	39	2	75	327	72	23	9	5%	1.9	17.0%	8.1%	8.9%	3.2%	4.68	4.45	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	39	2	75	327	72	23	9	5%	1.9	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	2.8%	4.68	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.8%	8.6%	12.2%	3.0%	4.46	4.46	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	48	0	51	215	45	19	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	8.8%	12.2%	3.1%	4.50	4.53	+0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	46	0	49	205	43	19	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.58	4.65	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	18	0	19	80	17	7	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	8.8%	12.2%	3.1%	4.50	4.53	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	26	0	27	114	24	10	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.58	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	192	40	17	6	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.55	4.22	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	75	26	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.0%	12.0%	3.2%	4.55	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		88	3	137	599	111	55	16	3%	1.6	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.16	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	4	200	874	163	80	23	3%	1.6	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.16	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brett Standlee (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.46	20.8%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.59	21.0%	12.0%	100	+0.13	—	—	—
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	90
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	87
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	87
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	86
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	86
Ricky Stone R 2002 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	18.8%	9.3%	2.7%	.297	4.96	13.7%	7.4%	165	+0.80	4.16	243	86
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	86
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	86
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	86
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	86
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	85
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	85
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	85
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	85
Jason Frasor R 2005 · 3.90 FIP	27	SU	3.90	20.3%	8.5%	2.6%	.282	3.66	22.9%	13.0%	154	-0.24	2.71	647	85
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.38	554	84
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	51	20.9%	8.8%	1.21	4.51
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
John Johnstone ('00)	1.4	56	19.4%	9.5%	1.23	4.01