Sergio Tapia

C Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ADET	150	.230/.286/.385	5	0	49	—	.194/.238/.338
2026	23	ADET	95	.202/.280/.310	2	0	25	—	.161/.215/.253
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBDET	200	.203/.252/.319	4	3	59	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBDET	50	.202/.252/.317	1	1	62	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBDET	116	.203/.255/.321	2	1	64	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%80

Max EV69

Z-Con%68

Whiff%67

BB%28

Speed20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTrent Giambrone (age 24) · Greg Thissen (age 25) · Jared Foster (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .250 / .317

PA97

HR2

K%27

BB%5

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	16	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	114	99	25	7	0	0	8	21	3	2	5	253	327	323	651	71	312	18	7	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	41	32	9	1	0	0	6	5	2	1	0	281	425	312	738	31	321	12	15	346	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	78	66	19	5	1	1	10	10	0	2	1	288	382	439	821	152	316	13	13	358	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	124	102	18	5	0	2	17	21	4	1	1	176	317	284	601	108	203	17	14	285	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	102	89	21	4	1	3	11	14	1	0	0	236	327	404	731	169	250	14	11	325	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	135	31	6	0	5	9	21	2	0	0	230	286	385	671	156	232	14	6	293	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	84	17	3	0	2	9	17	0	0	0	202	280	310	589	107	224	18	9	265	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	114	101	16	4	0	0	6	26	3	2	5	158	227	198	425	40	200	23	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	41	34	8	1	0	0	4	7	2	1	0	235	350	265	615	29	249	17	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	78	70	16	4	1	1	6	15	0	2	1	229	289	357	647	129	244	19	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	124	108	15	4	0	1	11	29	4	1	1	139	244	204	448	65	181	23	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	102	94	16	3	1	2	6	20	1	0	0	170	228	287	515	117	184	20	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	139	27	5	0	5	6	29	2	0	0	194	238	338	576	144	193	19	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	87	14	2	0	2	6	23	0	0	0	161	215	253	468	92	188	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	114	101	16	4	0	0	6	26	3	2	5	158	227	198	425	40	208	23	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	114	99	25	7	0	0	8	21	3	2	5	253	327	323	651	71	312	18	7	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	41	34	8	1	0	0	4	7	2	1	0	235	350	265	615	29	286	17	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	—	41	32	9	1	0	0	6	5	2	1	0	281	425	312	738	31	321	12	15	346	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	78	70	16	4	1	1	6	15	0	2	1	229	289	357	647	129	268	19	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	78	66	19	5	1	1	10	10	0	2	1	288	382	439	821	152	316	13	13	358	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	124	108	15	4	0	1	11	29	4	1	1	139	244	204	448	65	179	23	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	124	102	18	5	0	2	17	21	4	1	1	176	317	284	601	108	203	17	14	285	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	102	94	16	3	1	2	6	20	1	0	0	170	228	287	515	117	194	20	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	102	89	21	4	1	3	11	14	1	0	0	236	327	404	731	169	250	14	11	325	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	139	27	5	0	5	6	29	2	0	0	194	238	338	576	144	204	19	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	135	31	6	0	5	9	21	2	0	0	230	286	385	671	156	232	14	6	293	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	87	14	2	0	2	6	23	0	0	0	161	215	253	468	92	188	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	84	17	3	0	2	9	17	0	0	0	202	280	310	589	107	224	18	9	265	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	114	104	16	4	0	0	6	26	3	2	5	154	227	192	420	38	200	23	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	41	35	8	1	0	0	4	7	2	1	0	229	350	257	607	29	249	17	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	78	72	16	4	1	1	6	15	0	2	1	222	289	347	637	125	244	19	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	124	108	15	4	0	1	11	29	4	1	1	139	244	204	448	65	181	23	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	102	94	16	3	1	2	6	20	1	0	0	170	228	287	515	117	184	20	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	141	27	5	0	5	6	29	2	0	0	191	238	333	571	142	193	19	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	89	14	2	0	2	6	23	0	0	0	157	215	247	462	90	188	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	102	94	16	3	1	2	6	20	1	0	0	170	228	287	515	117	184	20	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	150	141	27	5	0	5	6	29	2	0	0	191	238	333	571	142	193	19	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	95	89	14	2	0	2	6	23	0	0	0	157	215	247	462	90	188	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	0%	200	186	38	7	1	4	10	54	2	3	1	203	252	319	571	116	259	27	5	255	59	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	30%	167	155	33	6	1	4	9	44	1	2	1	205	256	325	581	119	260	26	5	260	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	44%	262	243	50	9	1	6	15	69	2	3	1	207	259	329	587	121	262	26	6	263	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	49%	317	293	61	11	2	7	18	83	3	4	1	208	261	330	591	122	262	26	6	264	65	-13	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	51%	352	325	68	12	2	8	21	93	3	3	1	208	262	329	591	121	263	26	6	265	65	-15	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	51%	367	339	71	13	2	8	22	97	3	2	1	208	262	327	589	119	263	26	6	264	65	-15	+0	-1	+7	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	30%	50	47	9	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	202	252	317	570	115	256	26	6	255	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	44%	116	107	22	4	1	2	7	31	1	1	0	203	255	321	576	117	257	27	6	258	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	49%	155	144	29	5	1	3	9	41	1	2	1	204	258	322	580	118	258	26	6	260	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	51%	181	166	34	6	1	4	11	48	2	2	1	204	258	321	580	117	259	27	6	260	65	-8	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	51%	189	174	35	6	1	4	11	50	2	1	1	204	259	319	578	115	259	26	6	259	65	-8	-0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	691	638	129	23	4	14	41	183	6	7	3	202	257	317	574	114	258	26	6	259	56	-29	+0	-1	+12	+15	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	122	22	4	13	39	172	6	7	3	203	259	318	578	115	260	26	6	259	56	-27	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2266	2079	413	77	11	46	135	561	25	21	12	199	256	313	569	114	246	25	6	251	56	-67	+1	-2	+28	+34	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	118	22	3	13	39	161	7	6	3	198	255	310	566	112	246	25	6	251	56	-28	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	788	17	8	208	258	329	+14	+12	0.3	0.3
/162	664	15	7	+11.9	+10.1	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sergio Tapia (OGILVIE)	24	40	40	40	25	201/250/317	115	259	2	1	27%	5%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trent Giambrone 2018 · A	24	40→41	42→50	41→55	39	203/247/298	95	266	12	7	28%	5%	53	-2.1	206/259/344	138	268	17	17	29%	6%	69	-0.9	184/245/316	132	241	16	19	31%	7%	54	-1.3
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	38	43→45	40→45	39	195/244/303	108	262	11	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	202/268/295	93	268	8	7	26%	8%	60	-1.6	194/271/275	80	255	7	7	25%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Jared Foster 2017 · A	24	43→46	42→45	44→50	39	213/248/316	103	269	9	9	24%	4%	57	-1.8	206/244/302	96	274	9	9	27%	4%	53	-2.1	181/213/259	78	239	9	9	28%	3%	28	-0.9
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	41→36	43→45	46→45	40	206/255/316	110	267	10	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	197/247/320	123	252	13	8	27%	5%	58	-1.7	178/226/306	128	217	16	7	26%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Brady Whalen 2022 · A	24	41→49	42→45	42→40	42	205/259/306	101	264	11	5	26%	6%	59	-1.6	220/275/338	118	274	11	8	23%	6%	72	-0.7	213/272/330	117	262	10	7	22%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Zach Remillard 2018 · A	24	40→49	41→40	44→55	33	200/229/295	96	279	9	5	32%	3%	45	-2.7	203/247/291	88	305	9	7	35%	5%	51	-2.2	206/275/287	81	280	8	21	27%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	180/250/288	107	273	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	203/275/296	93	275	9	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	199/276/282	82	260	9	14	26%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	41→40	44→45	37	189/252/280	92	280	9	5	34%	5%	52	-2.2	205/257/297	92	299	7	7	32%	5%	56	-1.9	209/257/292	83	303	6	6	32%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Darlin Moquete 2024 · A	24	38	44→45	45→55	41	196/250/307	112	252	13	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/258/321	115	275	13	19	29%	6%	63	-1.4	200/253/312	112	267	14	26	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Greg Hopkins 2013 · A	24	42→44	41→40	44→45	37	209/239/300	92	261	9	8	24%	3%	50	-2.3	202/245/289	87	261	8	8	25%	5%	50	-2.3	190/237/268	78	245	7	8	25%	5%	39	-2.2
✕Danny Hudzina 2018 · A	24	41	44→45	45→30	42	209/251/318	110	256	12	4	24%	5%	59	-1.6	197/241/310	113	274	12	5	32%	5%	54	-2.0	134/172/240	106	188	14	0	37%	3%	11	-1.4
✕Dallas Morris 2006 · A	24	43→45	43→45	45→50	38	214/249/330	116	267	10	5	24%	4%	61	-1.5	212/245/300	88	264	7	11	22%	4%	52	-2.2	209/239/288	79	256	6	14	20%	3%	46	-1.4
✕Josh Adams 2013 · A	24	42→41	41→40	42→45	42	207/257/307	99	270	8	3	26%	6%	59	-1.7	190/238/281	91	258	8	5	28%	6%	46	-2.6	156/202/228	72	210	8	3	29%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Taylor Gushue 2018 · A	24	36	44→45	44→30	39	186/237/293	107	250	13	2	31%	5%	49	-2.4	206/257/332	126	279	14	3	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/260/326	127	276	15	0	32%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Jonah Arenado 2019 · AA	24	40→46	44→45	40→30	38	203/236/319	116	256	11	2	26%	4%	53	-2.1	209/250/298	89	273	7	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	208/245/279	70	272	5	2	24%	4%	45	-1.9
✕Dennis Ortega 2021 · A	24	41	39→45	46→45	41	199/245/278	79	259	7	6	26%	5%	47	-2.5	207/259/286	79	313	6	7	34%	6%	54	-2.0	197/249/264	66	305	5	5	35%	6%	42	-0.9
✕L.J. Jones 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	45→30	40	215/263/338	124	272	11	3	25%	5%	69	-0.9	224/270/355	131	276	14	4	24%	5%	75	-0.5	220/261/351	131	259	17	1	22%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Leivi Ventura 2007 · A	24	40→44	42→40	36→40	38	200/258/301	101	282	10	4	32%	5%	58	-1.7	206/255/307	101	272	9	4	27%	5%	58	-1.7	201/246/298	97	255	9	2	24%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Joey Pankake 2017 · A	24	39→45	42→40	45	41	195/249/290	95	263	10	5	30%	6%	52	-2.2	188/249/277	89	279	8	9	33%	7%	49	-2.4	151/221/213	62	235	5	12	35%	8%	23	-2.1
✕Scott White 2007 · A	23	38→37	43→50	39→40	39	193/243/304	111	246	11	4	26%	5%	53	-2.1	208/272/351	143	259	16	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	199/271/360	161	236	21	3	26%	7%	76	-0.4

Sergio Tapia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps