Sergio Tapia

C Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ROKDET102.236/.327/.4043038—.170/.228/.287
202522ADET150.230/.286/.3855049—.194/.238/.338
202623ADET95.202/.280/.3102025—.161/.215/.253
2027PROJMLE24MLBDET200.203/.252/.31943590.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBDET31.202/.252/.3171062-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBDET71.203/.255/.3212164-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%80
Max EV69
Z-Con%68
Whiff%67
BB%28
Speed20
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJosh Richmond (age 24) · Nick Basto (age 22) · Nick Flair (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .250 / .317
PA60
HR1
K%27
BB%5
ISO116
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.00.0272829
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201916 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 11499 25700 8213 25 253327323651 71312 187 290 16 — — — — — —
202118 ROKFCL Tigers East — 4132 9100 652 10 281425312738 31321 1215 346 61 — — — — — —
202219 ROKFCL Tigers — 7866 19511 10100 21 288382439821 152316 1313 358 67 — — — — — —
202320 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 124102 18502 17214 11 176317284601 108203 1714 285 31 — — — — — —
202421 ROKFCL Tigers — 10289 21413 11141 00 236327404731 169250 1411 325 38 — — — — — —
202522 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 150135 31605 9212 00 230286385671 156232 146 293 49 — — — — — —
202623 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 9584 17302 9170 00 202280310589 107224 189 265 25 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201916 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 114101 16400 6263 25 158227198425 40200 235 192 16 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers East — 4134 8100 472 10 235350265615 29249 1710 259 61 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 7870 16411 6150 21 229289357647 129244 198 267 67 — — — — — —
202320 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 124108 15401 11294 11 139244204448 65181 239 214 31 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 10294 16312 6201 00 170228287515 117184 206 224 38 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 150139 27505 6292 00 194238338576 144193 194 241 49 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 9587 14202 6230 00 161215253468 92188 246 205 25 — — — — — —
201916 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 114101 16400 6263 25 158227198425 40208 235 192 16 — — — — — —
201916 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 1 — 11499 25700 8213 25 253327323651 71312 187 290 16 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers East — 4134 8100 472 10 235350265615 29286 1710 259 61 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWFCL Tigers East — 4132 9100 652 10 281425312738 31321 1215 346 61 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 7870 16411 6150 21 229289357647 129268 198 267 67 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 7866 19511 10100 21 288382439821 152316 1313 358 67 — — — — — —
202320 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 124108 15401 11294 11 139244204448 65179 239 214 31 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 124102 18502 17214 11 176317284601 108203 1714 285 31 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 10294 16312 6201 00 170228287515 117194 206 224 38 — — — — — —
202421 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 10289 21413 11141 00 236327404731 169250 1411 325 38 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 150139 27505 6292 00 194238338576 144204 194 241 49 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 150135 31605 9212 00 230286385671 156232 146 293 49 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 9587 14202 6230 00 161215253468 92188 246 205 25 — — — — — —
202623 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 9584 17302 9170 00 202280310589 107224 189 265 25 — — — — — —
201916 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 114104 16400 6263 25 154227192420 38200 235 192 16 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers East — 4135 8100 472 10 229350257607 29249 1710 259 61 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 7872 16411 6150 21 222289347637 125244 198 267 67 — — — — — —
202320 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 124108 15401 11294 11 139244204448 65181 239 214 31 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 10294 16312 6201 00 170228287515 117184 206 224 38 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 150141 27505 6292 00 191238333571 142193 194 241 49 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 9589 14202 6230 00 157215247462 90188 246 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 10294 16312 6201 00 170228287515 117184 206 224 38 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 150141 27505 6292 00 191238333571 142193 194 241 49 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 9589 14202 6230 00 157215247462 90188 246 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEDET 0% 200186 38714 10542 31 203252319571 116259 275 255 59 -10 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEDET 30% 10496 20412 6281 10 205256325581 119260 276 260 62 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB MLEDET 44% 162151 32614 9431 21 207259329587 121262 276 263 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
202825 MLB CTXDET 30% 3129 6101 280 00 202252317570 115256 266 255 62 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXDET 44% 7166 13202 4191 10 203255321576 117257 276 258 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10295 19303 6271 10 200255326581 126246 266 257 46 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 12119019 381726 60 200254326579 126246 266 257 46 -28 +1 +0 +12 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 1030936 17535418 6323615 108 187250291540 104226 236 236 46 -15 +0 +0 +6 +7 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 11022311 401499 65 186249289538 103226 236 236 46 -29 +1 +0 +12 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 95 PAwOBA .264 → .205 (−58)K% 17.9% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.89%÷1.000×1.360——24.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.47%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9806.41%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP17.91%÷1.000×0.920×0.959×0.98015.48%
Doubles /BIP4.48%÷1.000×0.830×0.959×0.9803.49%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.959×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9802.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .264 → .205; ISO .107 → .082; BABIP .224 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 150 PAwOBA .291 → .241 (−49)K% 14.0% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.00%÷0.998×1.360——19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.00%÷0.945×0.690—×0.9904.34%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.780—×0.9901.03%
Singles /BIP17.54%÷1.051×0.920×0.967×0.99014.70%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.971×0.830×0.967×0.9904.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.967×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP4.39%÷0.864×0.800—×0.9904.02%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .291 → .241; ISO .156 → .137; BABIP .232 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Tigers · 102 PAwOBA .317 → .224 (−93)K% 13.7% → 19.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.73%÷0.991×1.440——19.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.78%÷1.040×0.620—×0.9756.27%
HBP% /PA0.98%—×0.720—×0.9750.69%
Singles /BIP17.33%÷0.993×0.820×0.950×0.97513.26%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷0.981×0.720×0.950×0.9753.63%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷0.947×0.720×0.950×0.9750.94%
Home runs /BIP4.00%÷0.952×0.780—×0.9753.20%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .317 → .224; ISO .169 → .126; BABIP .250 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 124 PAwOBA .278 → .214 (−64)K% 16.9% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.94%÷0.975×1.360——23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.71%÷1.089×0.690—×1.0158.82%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.780—×1.0152.55%
Singles /BIP13.58%÷0.957×0.920×0.979×1.01512.97%
Doubles /BIP6.17%÷1.056×0.830×0.979×1.0154.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.910×0.979×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP2.47%÷1.216×0.800—×1.0151.65%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 104, K 95, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .278 → .214; ISO .108 → .077; BABIP .203 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Tigers · 78 PAwOBA .359 → .267 (−92)K% 12.8% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.82%÷0.973×1.440——18.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.82%÷0.978×0.620—×0.9958.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.018×0.820×0.985×0.99516.91%
Doubles /BIP8.93%÷0.941×0.720×0.985×0.9956.69%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷0.990×0.720×0.985×0.9951.27%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷0.990×0.780—×0.9951.40%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 98, K 95, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .359 → .267; ISO .152 → .116; BABIP .316 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Tigers East · 41 PAwOBA .347 → .259 (−88)K% 12.2% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.20%÷0.992×1.440——17.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.63%÷1.025×0.620—×1.0088.92%
HBP% /PA4.88%—×0.720—×1.0083.54%
Singles /BIP29.63%÷1.056×0.820—×1.00823.18%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷1.026×0.720—×1.0082.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.040×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.920×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 111, 2B 105, 3B 108, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .259; ISO .031 → .023; BABIP .321 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 114 PAwOBA .288 → .192 (−96)K% 18.4% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.42%÷1.000×1.220——22.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.02%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0225.02%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.700—×1.0221.88%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.02215.24%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0225.23%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .288 → .192; ISO .071 → .043; BABIP .312 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).