Andrew Saalfrank
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 28
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2027
ERA2.96
FIP4.11
xFIP4.61
SIERA4.54
K%21.8%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.6%
IP26
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
STUF6060
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p1089.2
Whiff%
p6727.9%
K%
p1316.8%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+6.5 (55%)
SI (42%)
CU (45%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 38 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 70 | 27 | 4 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 3.52 | 3.96 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54 | 0 | 74 | 310 | 99 | 37 | 2 | 29.3% | 13.6% | 0.8% | 2.18 | 2.80 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 20 | 0 | 25 | 103 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 25.9% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 3.96 | 3.43 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40 | 0 | 42 | 173 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 3.64 | 3.20 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 8 | — | 8 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 3.09 | 4.57 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 26 | — | 26 | 108 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 18.9% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 4.00 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 153 | 0 | 196 | 830 | 202 | 99 | 11 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 3.30 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 206 | 101 | 11 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 3.30 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Saalfrank (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 18.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | — | 4.62 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 26 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Tim Hill L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.42 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 147 | +0.15 | 2.56 | 551 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 71 |
| Sean Nolin L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .339 | 4.89 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 170 | +1.04 | 3.85 | 309 | 70 |
| Tom Cosgrove L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.28 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .313 | 3.88 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 50 | -0.40 | 3.21 | 373 | 70 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 69 |
| Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 69 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.77 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .355 | 3.86 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 129 | +0.09 | 3.77 | 188 | 68 |
| Dean Kiekhefer L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.59 | 18.0% | 8.7% | 1.7% | .350 | 3.03 | 17.5% | 14.1% | 58 | -0.56 | 3.03 | 219 | 68 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .253 | 2.66 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 57 | -1.50 | 2.22 | 459 | 67 |
| Matt Grace L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.62 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .296 | 3.89 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 106 | +0.27 | 2.68 | 289 | 67 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 67 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.16 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.04 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.12 | 3.29 | 228 | 66 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 66 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 66 |
| Zach Muckenhirn L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.48 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 377 | 66 |
| Colt Hynes L 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.82 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 244 | 65 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 64 |
| James Russell L 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.20 | 14.1% | 8.7% | 111 | +0.61 | 2.65 | 233 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.