Andrew Saalfrank

Andrew Saalfrank P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 28 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.33

FIP4.51

K%19.7%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.2

Whiff%

p6727.9%

p1316.8%

xwOBA vs

p500.312

FB+6.5 (55%)

SI (42%)

CU (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	240	70	27	4	0%	1.4	22.7%	12.8%	10.0%	2.1%	3.52	3.97	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	240	70	27	4	0%	1.4	29.2%	11.2%	17.9%	1.7%	3.52	2.97	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	74	310	99	37	2	0%	1.4	28.4%	12.9%	15.5%	0.8%	2.18	2.78	+1.6
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	74	310	99	37	2	0%	1.4	28.4%	12.9%	15.5%	0.8%	2.18	2.78	+1.6
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	54	0	74	310	99	37	2	0%	1.4	31.9%	11.9%	20.0%	0.6%	2.18	2.28	+2.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	103	28	13	2	0%	1.2	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.1%	3.96	3.36	+0.4
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	103	28	13	2	0%	1.2	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.1%	3.96	3.36	+0.4
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	25	103	28	13	2	0%	1.2	27.2%	12.6%	14.6%	1.9%	3.96	3.46	+0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	42	173	34	21	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	0.9%	3.64	3.20	+0.7
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	42	173	34	21	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	0.9%	3.64	3.20	+0.7
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	42	173	34	21	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.1%	7.5%	1.2%	3.64	3.60	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	0	40	162	25	15	1	0%	1.0	15.4%	9.3%	6.2%	0.6%	1.79	3.30	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	2.5%	4.33	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	50	0	52	220	43	23	6	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.52	4.65	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	47	0	49	207	39	22	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.3%	2.9%	4.70	4.83	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	47	0	49	207	40	22	6	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.52	4.65	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	45	0	47	198	38	21	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.3%	2.9%	4.70	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		131	0	136	568	103	58	12	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	2.2%	3.77	4.06	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	0	200	832	151	85	18	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	2.2%	3.77	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		153	0	196	830	198	95	11	0%	1.3	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	1.4%	3.08	3.29	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	0	200	847	202	97	12	0%	1.3	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	1.4%	3.08	3.29	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Saalfrank (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.51	19.7%	10.4%	2.5%	—	4.74	19.3%	8.7%	101	+0.23	—	—	—
Tim Hill L 2018 · 3.40 FIP	28	SU	3.40	21.2%	7.1%	2.2%	.304	3.60	23.1%	16.5%	147	+0.20	2.57	606	73
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	70
Sean Nolin L 2018 · 3.79 FIP	28	SU	3.79	20.7%	9.4%	2.3%	.339	4.88	19.4%	11.0%	170	+1.09	3.79	309	70
Christian Friedrich L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	28	SU	3.67	16.7%	8.5%	1.6%	.355	3.96	17.6%	8.8%	129	+0.29	3.67	188	69
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	69
Matt Grace L 2017 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	16.4%	7.4%	1.7%	.296	4.04	18.3%	13.7%	106	+0.43	2.68	289	68
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	68
Dean Kiekhefer L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	28	SU	3.60	18.0%	8.7%	1.7%	.350	3.03	17.5%	14.1%	58	-0.57	3.03	219	68
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	68
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	68
Evan Kravetz L 2023 · 4.62 FIP	26	SU	4.62	20.6%	11.5%	3.3%	.300	5.43	19.5%	8.7%	68	+0.81	2.79	269	67
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	66
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	66
Caleb Thielbar L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	11.8%	10.8%	1.2%	.253	2.68	19.0%	16.6%	57	-1.47	2.22	505	65
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	65
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	65
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	65
Buddy Baumann L 2016 · 3.83 FIP	28	SU	3.83	23.3%	10.8%	2.4%	.268	4.73	23.6%	13.5%	50	+0.90	2.92	155	65
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	65
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	153	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	19.4%	10.6%	1.05	4.52
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58