Andrew Saalfrank
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 28
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.31
FIP4.49
K%20.0%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%9.4%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.2
Whiff%
p6727.9%
K%
p1316.8%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+6.5 (55%)
SI (42%)
CU (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 70 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 3.52 | 4.08 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 70 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.2% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 1.7% | 3.52 | 2.97 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 74 | 310 | 99 | 37 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 0.8% | 2.18 | 2.80 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 74 | 310 | 99 | 37 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.9% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 0.6% | 2.18 | 2.28 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 103 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 3.96 | 3.33 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 103 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 3.96 | 3.46 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 42 | 173 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 0.8% | 3.64 | 3.15 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 42 | 173 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 3.64 | 3.60 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.31 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 41 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 131 | 0 | 136 | 568 | 104 | 59 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 3.76 | 4.05 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 832 | 153 | 87 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 3.76 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 153 | 0 | 196 | 830 | 202 | 99 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 3.31 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 206 | 101 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 3.31 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Saalfrank (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 20.0% | 10.6% | 2.5% | — | 4.73 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 101 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Tim Hill L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .304 | 3.69 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 147 | +0.30 | 2.53 | 587 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 71 |
| Tom Cosgrove L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.34 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .313 | 4.12 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 109 | -0.22 | 3.22 | 433 | 70 |
| Sean Nolin L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .339 | 4.86 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 170 | +1.24 | 3.62 | 309 | 70 |
| Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 69 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.55 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .355 | 4.08 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 129 | +0.53 | 3.55 | 188 | 69 |
| Matt Grace L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .296 | 4.04 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 106 | +0.42 | 2.69 | 289 | 68 |
| Dean Kiekhefer L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.64 | 18.0% | 8.7% | 1.7% | .350 | 3.04 | 17.5% | 14.1% | 58 | -0.60 | 3.04 | 219 | 68 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 68 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 68 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 67 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 66 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.91 | 26.4% | 11.5% | 4.7% | .311 | 4.24 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 141 | -0.67 | 3.94 | 470 | 66 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 4.73 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.31 | 3.33 | 228 | 65 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 65 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 65 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.22 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .253 | 2.74 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 57 | -1.48 | 2.22 | 487 | 65 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.67 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .268 | 4.83 | 23.6% | 13.5% | 50 | +1.16 | 2.83 | 155 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 46 | 19.7% | 10.7% | 1.05 | 4.51 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |