Zach McCambley

P Louisville Bats

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #625

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	AAMIA	18	0	23	3.97	4.16	28.6%	18.4%	—	K 23.1% · BB 20.2% · FIP 4.97
2025	26	MIX2 levels	47	0	62	2.90	2.02	33.1%	8.0%	—	K 27.8% · BB 7.7% · FIP 2.50
2026	27	MIX2 levels	46	2	78	2.90	3.60	26.4%	12.3%	0.9	K 23.3% · BB 11.2% · FIP 3.82
2027PROJ	28	MLBCIN	64	0	67	4.35	4.28	23.8%	11.2%	0.2
2028PROJ61% MLB	29	MLBCIN	37	0	39	4.41	4.45	23.2%	11.2%	0.0
2029PROJ72% MLB	30	MLBCIN	41	0	43	4.55	4.64	22.5%	11.4%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%74

K%56

FB Velo41

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsMatt Ramsey (age 28) · Daniel Robert (age 28) · Josh Lueke (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA4.35

FIP4.28

K%23.8%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%12.6%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6050

CTRL—50

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p7429.1%

p5623.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.367

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	97	409	120	26	21	100%	4.8	23.1%	7.1%	16.0%	6.0%	4.36	5.35	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	97	409	120	26	21	100%	4.8	29.3%	6.4%	23.0%	5.1%	4.36	4.24	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	19	19	94	421	101	52	12	100%	4.9	19.4%	13.6%	5.8%	3.3%	5.65	4.97	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	19	19	94	421	101	52	12	100%	4.9	24.0%	12.4%	11.6%	2.9%	5.65	4.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	45	191	51	24	1	3%	1.5	21.0%	14.2%	6.7%	0.6%	3.22	3.49	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	1	45	191	51	24	1	3%	1.5	26.7%	12.6%	14.1%	0.5%	3.22	2.72	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	23.1%	20.2%	2.9%	2.3%	3.97	4.97	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	23.1%	20.2%	2.9%	2.3%	3.97	4.97	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	18	0	23	98	28	18	2	0%	1.3	28.6%	18.4%	10.2%	2.0%	3.97	4.16	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	27.8%	7.7%	20.1%	1.4%	2.90	2.50	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	27.8%	7.7%	20.1%	1.4%	2.90	2.50	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	62	251	83	20	3	0%	1.3	33.1%	8.0%	25.1%	1.2%	2.90	2.02	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	2	78	326	86	40	7	4%	1.7	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	2.3%	2.90	3.82	+0.7
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	2	78	326	86	40	7	4%	1.7	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	2.3%	2.90	3.82	+0.7
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	2	78	326	86	40	7	4%	1.7	26.4%	12.3%	14.1%	2.1%	2.90	3.60	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			11	0	13	60	14	5	1	0%	1.2	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	1.7%	4.05	3.10	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CIN	64	0	67	283	67	32	7	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.2%	12.6%	2.5%	4.35	4.28	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	61	0	64	270	63	30	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.2%	11.9%	2.7%	4.41	4.45	+0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	57	0	60	254	57	29	8	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.64	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	37	0	39	165	38	18	5	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.2%	11.9%	2.7%	4.41	4.45	+0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	41	0	43	182	41	21	5	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		89	0	95	406	93	44	11	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.9%	12.0%	2.7%	4.42	4.01	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	852	195	92	23	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.9%	12.0%	2.7%	4.42	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		180	42	398	1696	385	189	53	23%	2.2	22.7%	11.1%	11.5%	3.1%	4.00	4.31	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	21	200	852	193	95	27	23%	2.2	22.7%	11.1%	11.5%	3.1%	4.00	4.31	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach McCambley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	23.8%	11.2%	2.5%	—	4.54	22.8%	11.5%	124	+0.26	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	76
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	76
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	76
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	75
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	75
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	75
Zach Franklin R 2024 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	26.4%	10.9%	1.8%	.301	4.15	27.5%	18.3%	117	+0.91	3.24	158	75
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	75
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	74
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	74
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	74
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	74
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	74
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	73
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	73
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73
Peter Tago R 2021 · 3.91 FIP	29	SU	3.91	21.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	207	73
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	23.2%	11.2%	1.03	4.41
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Kelso ('64-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.09*	4.19*
Jim Hughes ('52-'57, 2 WAR*)	1.5	74	22.2%*	11.1%*	1.05*	3.99*