Shaddon Peavyhouse

P Everett AquaSox

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	A+SEA	29	13	83	5.75	3.82	21.1%	10.3%	—	K 16.2% · BB 11.8% · FIP 4.43
2025	26	A+SEA	28	3	54	6.17	5.58	16.3%	11.4%	—	K 12.6% · BB 13.1% · FIP 6.41
2027PROJ	28	MLBSEA	—	—	0	5.96	5.96	12.7%	14.4%	—
2028PROJ30% MLB	29	MLBSEA	14	0	15	5.88	5.93	13.5%	14.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBSEA	19	0	20	5.89	5.98	13.9%	14.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command30

CompsDennis O'Grady (age 26) · Chris Jensen (age 27) · Alex Caldera (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.96

FIP5.96

K%12.7%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%-1.8%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	26	23	133	600	119	63	10	88%	5.1	14.7%	12.4%	2.3%	2.5%	4.94	4.78	—
2023	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	26	23	133	600	119	63	10	88%	5.1	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	1.7%	4.94	3.71	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	29	13	83	389	82	40	8	45%	2.9	16.2%	11.8%	4.4%	2.2%	5.75	4.43	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	29	13	83	389	82	40	8	45%	2.9	16.2%	11.8%	4.4%	2.2%	5.75	4.43	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	29	13	83	389	82	40	8	45%	2.9	21.1%	10.3%	10.8%	2.1%	5.75	3.82	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	28	3	54	245	40	28	10	11%	1.9	12.6%	13.1%	-0.6%	4.9%	6.17	6.41	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	28	3	54	245	40	28	10	11%	1.9	12.6%	13.1%	-0.6%	4.9%	6.17	6.41	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	28	3	54	245	40	28	10	11%	1.9	16.3%	11.4%	4.9%	4.1%	6.17	5.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.7%	14.4%	-1.8%	3.1%	5.96	5.96	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	46	0	48	203	27	29	7	0%	1.0	13.5%	14.1%	-0.6%	3.3%	5.88	5.93	-0.7
2029	30	MLB MLE	SEA	37	0	39	164	23	23	6	0%	1.0	13.9%	14.1%	-0.2%	3.5%	5.89	5.98	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	14	0	15	63	9	9	2	0%	1.1	13.5%	14.1%	-0.6%	3.3%	5.88	5.93	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	SEA	19	0	20	84	12	12	3	0%	1.1	13.9%	14.1%	-0.2%	3.5%	5.89	5.98	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		33	0	34	144	20	20	5	0%	1.0	13.7%	14.1%	-0.4%	3.4%	5.89	5.58	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	117	117	29	0%	1.1	13.7%	14.1%	-0.4%	3.4%	5.89	5.58	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		83	39	270	1234	182	153	35	47%	3.3	14.7%	12.4%	2.4%	2.9%	5.43	4.99	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	29	200	914	135	113	26	47%	3.3	14.7%	12.4%	2.4%	2.9%	5.43	4.99	-3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 54 IPFIP 5.41 → 6.41 (+1.00)K% 16.3% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.33%	—	×0.770	12.57%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.43%	—	×1.150	13.14%
HR / BF /BF	4.08%	÷1.036	×1.250	4.92%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).

Result: FIP 5.41 → 6.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 83 IPFIP 3.75 → 4.43 (+0.68)K% 21.1% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.08%	—	×0.770	16.23%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.28%	—	×1.150	11.83%
HR / BF /BF	2.06%	÷1.175	×1.250	2.19%

Result: FIP 3.75 → 4.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AModesto Nuts · 133 IPFIP 3.67 → 4.78 (+1.11)K% 19.8% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.83%	—	×0.740	14.68%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.50%	—	×1.180	12.39%
HR / BF /BF	1.67%	÷0.883	×1.300	2.45%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 77).

Result: FIP 3.67 → 4.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shaddon Peavyhouse (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.96	12.7%	14.4%	3.1%	—	5.95	13.7%	-0.4%	87	-0.01	—	—	—
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	80
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	76
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	76
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	75
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	73
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	72
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	70
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	70
Mike McCarthy R 2016 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	6.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	153	69
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	69
Jake Walters R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SW	5.85	15.2%	13.9%	4.2%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	261	69
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	68
Victor Mateo R 2016 · 5.45 FIP	27	SW	5.45	10.2%	12.2%	3.0%	.370	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	199	68
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	68
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	68
David Holman R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	28	SW	5.28	10.0%	8.3%	3.6%	.284	5.80	8.9%	-1.8%	35	+0.52	5.28	129	68
Nelson Figueroa R 2002 · 5.41 FIP	28	SW	5.41	12.4%	7.5%	4.4%	.250	5.52	12.5%	4.6%	64	+0.11	3.71	499	67
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	67
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	67
Kaleb Roper R 2022 · 5.67 FIP	26	SW	5.67	17.3%	11.8%	4.6%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	146	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	13.2%	14.3%	1.26	5.92
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*