Daniel Juarez

P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 26 LHP 5'11" / 155 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	33	2	57	2.37	2.82	27.0%	8.0%	—	K 21.4% · BB 8.9% · FIP 3.68
2024	23	AANYM	34	0	35	5.09	4.12	20.6%	13.1%	—	K 16.7% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.00
2025	24	MIX2 levels	22	0	31	6.75	5.48	20.5%	9.6%	—	K 17.0% · BB 10.2% · FIP 6.57
2027PROJ	26	MLBNYM	16	0	17	4.99	4.99	19.4%	10.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBNYM	10	0	10	4.94	4.96	19.7%	10.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsKevin Chapman (age 26) · Hector Mercado (age 26) · Nick Hagadone (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%19.4%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	16	1	34	145	53	17	3	6%	2.1	24.9%	14.7%	10.2%	2.9%	3.74	4.45	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	16	1	34	145	53	17	3	6%	2.1	36.6%	11.7%	24.8%	2.1%	3.74	2.62	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	32	125	46	19	2	6%	1.9	25.6%	19.2%	6.3%	2.5%	2.56	4.75	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	32	125	46	19	2	6%	1.9	36.8%	15.2%	21.6%	1.6%	2.56	2.82	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	43	173	59	24	2	0%	1.4	27.1%	16.2%	10.9%	1.8%	1.66	3.85	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	43	173	59	24	2	0%	1.4	34.1%	13.9%	20.2%	1.2%	1.66	2.64	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	57	226	61	18	4	6%	1.7	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	2.3%	2.37	3.68	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	2	57	226	61	18	4	6%	1.7	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	1.8%	2.37	2.82	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.4%	2.3%	2.7%	5.09	5.00	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.4%	2.3%	2.7%	5.09	5.00	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.1%	7.5%	1.9%	5.09	4.12	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	17.0%	10.2%	6.7%	6.6%	6.75	6.57	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	17.0%	10.2%	6.7%	6.6%	6.75	6.57	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	20.5%	9.6%	11.0%	4.8%	6.75	5.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	NYM	16	0	17	72	14	8	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.7%	8.7%	3.3%	4.99	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	26	0	27	115	23	12	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.94	4.96	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	10	42	8	4	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.94	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	5	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.94	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	98	20	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.94	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		153	4	232	975	215	131	30	3%	1.5	22.0%	13.5%	8.5%	3.0%	3.46	4.61	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	3	200	842	185	113	25	3%	1.5	22.0%	13.5%	8.5%	3.0%	3.46	4.61	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Juarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	19.4%	10.7%	3.3%	—	4.96	19.7%	9.1%	27	-0.03	—	—	—
Kevin Chapman L 2014 · 4.63 FIP	26	SU	4.63	19.6%	11.3%	3.2%	.297	3.30	22.3%	12.4%	137	-1.33	3.01	194	91
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	88
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	86
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	86
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	85
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	84
George Sherrill L 2004 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	15.4%	7.7%	2.9%	.273	2.90	28.3%	18.2%	105	-1.46	2.74	323	84
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	83
Doug Slaten L 2007 · 4.08 FIP	27	SU	4.08	17.2%	8.6%	2.5%	.316	3.81	17.6%	8.2%	73	-0.27	3.22	139	83
Mike Gosling L 2007 · 4.67 FIP	26	SU	4.67	19.5%	12.2%	3.0%	.346	5.66	11.4%	2.6%	25	+0.99	4.44	116	83
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	82
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	82
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	82
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	81
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	81
John Grabow L 2005 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	18.9%	10.4%	2.7%	.265	4.01	19.9%	10.6%	197	-0.29	3.66	471	81
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	81
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	81