Devin Sweet — OGILVIE

Devin Sweet P Worcester Red Sox

Age 29 RHP 5'11" / 183 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%21.6%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†5050

SL-0.7

FB-0.7

CH-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	11	49	13	3	1	0%	1.3	26.5%	6.1%	20.4%	2.0%	5.56	2.76	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	11	49	13	3	1	0%	1.3	26.5%	6.1%	20.4%	2.0%	5.56	2.75	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	15	127	509	152	27	9	44%	3.7	22.2%	6.2%	16.0%	2.3%	2.76	3.29	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	15	127	509	152	27	9	44%	3.7	29.9%	5.3%	24.6%	1.8%	2.76	2.27	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	13	80	345	93	29	18	52%	3.2	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	7.0%	4.74	6.28	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	25	13	80	345	93	29	18	52%	3.2	27.0%	8.4%	18.6%	5.2%	4.74	4.79	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	43	0	58	248	68	23	9	0%	1.3	22.2%	10.2%	12.0%	4.8%	5.28	5.15	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	43	0	58	248	68	23	9	0%	1.3	27.4%	9.3%	18.1%	3.6%	5.28	3.96	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	53	218	63	17	8	0%	1.2	28.0%	6.5%	21.5%	1.0%	3.59	2.12	+1.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	53	218	63	17	8	0%	1.2	28.0%	6.5%	21.5%	1.0%	3.59	2.12	+1.5
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	53	218	63	17	8	0%	1.2	28.9%	7.8%	21.1%	3.7%	3.59	3.65	+0.6
2024	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	28.2%	9.6%	18.5%	4.7%	3.91	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	28.2%	9.6%	18.5%	4.7%	3.91	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	33.9%	10.7%	23.2%	3.4%	3.91	3.44	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	17.6%	10.5%	7.1%	4.0%	5.08	5.15	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	17.6%	10.5%	7.1%	4.0%	5.08	5.15	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	21.2%	11.7%	9.5%	3.5%	5.08	4.79	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	9	43	6	6	4	0%	1.2	14.0%	14.0%	0.0%	9.3%	10.38	9.79	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	42	8	61	279	49	35	10	19%	1.5	14.6%	11.3%	3.3%	3.9%	4.99	5.46	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	42	8	61	279	49	35	10	19%	1.5	14.6%	11.3%	3.3%	3.9%	4.99	5.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	BOS	42	8	61	279	49	35	10	19%	1.5	17.6%	12.5%	5.0%	3.6%	4.99	5.17	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	BOS	6	0	6	24	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.0%	10.7%	3.5%	4.98	4.98	-0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	67	303	54	38	11	—	—	17.9%	12.4%	5.5%	3.6%	4.99	5.42	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	272	58	30	10	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.7%	5.02	5.09	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	BOS	57	0	60	254	54	29	10	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.3%	9.9%	3.9%	5.13	5.23	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	BOS	23	0	24	101	22	11	4	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.7%	5.02	5.09	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	BOS	31	0	33	139	30	16	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.3%	9.9%	3.9%	5.13	5.23	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	66	285	58	33	13	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.6%	8.6%	4.6%	5.78	5.40	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	864	176	100	39	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.6%	8.6%	4.6%	5.78	5.40	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		294	42	518	2206	491	193	87	14%	1.8	22.3%	8.8%	13.5%	3.9%	4.16	4.49	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	16	200	852	190	75	34	14%	1.8	22.3%	8.8%	13.5%	3.9%	4.16	4.49	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Devin Sweet (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	21.6%	11.0%	3.5%	—	5.16	21.3%	10.1%	125	+0.18	—	—	—
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	77
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	76
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	76
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	332	75
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	75
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	75
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	74
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	74
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	73
Vinny Nittoli R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	19.0%	6.9%	3.3%	.302	3.86	26.9%	20.4%	93	-0.32	3.66	331	73
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	73
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	73
Neftalí Feliz R 2017 · 5.59 FIP	29	SU	5.59	18.9%	10.7%	5.0%	.240	4.74	16.2%	2.5%	92	-0.85	3.54	291	73
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	72
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	72
Jose Cuas R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	24.3%	12.0%	2.9%	.309	3.81	21.1%	9.0%	127	-0.32	2.71	340	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	21.4%	11.1%	1.42	5.04
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33