Devin Sweet
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 29
RHP
5'11" / 183 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.27
FIP5.27
K%22.9%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-0.7
FB-0.7
CH-2.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 6.1% | 20.4% | 2.0% | 5.56 | 2.76 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 6.1% | 20.4% | 2.0% | 5.56 | 2.75 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 15 | 127 | 509 | 152 | 27 | 9 | 44% | 3.7 | 22.2% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 2.76 | 3.35 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 15 | 127 | 509 | 152 | 27 | 9 | 44% | 3.7 | 29.9% | 5.3% | 24.6% | 1.8% | 2.76 | 2.27 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 25 | 13 | 80 | 345 | 93 | 29 | 18 | 52% | 3.2 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.74 | 6.81 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 25 | 13 | 80 | 345 | 93 | 29 | 18 | 52% | 3.2 | 27.0% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 5.2% | 4.74 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 43 | 0 | 58 | 248 | 68 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 5.28 | 5.44 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 43 | 0 | 58 | 248 | 68 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.4% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 3.96 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.0% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 1.2% | 3.59 | 2.24 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.9% | 7.8% | 21.1% | 3.7% | 3.59 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 52 | 4 | 76 | 327 | 111 | 35 | 11 | 8% | 1.5 | 29.9% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 6.3% | 3.91 | 5.48 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 52 | 4 | 76 | 327 | 111 | 35 | 11 | 8% | 1.5 | 33.9% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 3.4% | 3.91 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 2 | 51 | 231 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 4% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.08 | 5.42 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 2 | 51 | 231 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 4.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 27 | 6 | 41 | 188 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 22% | 1.5 | 15.9% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.31 | 5.95 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 66 | 36 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 109 | 478 | 100 | 59 | 19 | — | — | 21.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 5.29 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 7 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 22.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 61 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 56 | 32 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 5.37 | 5.48 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 5.37 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 68 | 0 | 72 | 312 | 66 | 40 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.93 | 5.55 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 182 | 111 | 41 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.93 | 5.55 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 279 | 40 | 497 | 2115 | 488 | 195 | 96 | 14% | 1.8 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 4.15 | 4.82 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 16 | 200 | 851 | 196 | 79 | 39 | 14% | 1.8 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 4.15 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Devin Sweet (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.27 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 3.9% | — | 5.41 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 125 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.30 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -0.96 | 2.39 | 332 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 75 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 75 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.56 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | .240 | 4.69 | 16.2% | 2.5% | 92 | -0.87 | 3.57 | 291 | 74 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 73 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 73 |
| Jacob Barnes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .303 | 3.55 | 23.1% | 15.1% | 101 | -1.50 | 1.88 | 551 | 72 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 72 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 72 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 71 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 71 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 71 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 71 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2024 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 71 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.23 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.60 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 83 | +0.37 | 2.30 | 523 | 71 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 20.6% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .236 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 179 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.55 | 5.30 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |