Ronaldo Alesandro prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Ronaldo Alesandro P Rome Braves

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%22.6%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	8	35	156	47	22	0	73%	3.2	20.5%	17.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.60	3.60	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	8	35	156	47	22	0	73%	3.2	30.1%	14.1%	16.0%	0.0%	2.60	2.29	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	18	4	33	136	45	11	0	22%	1.9	22.5%	10.1%	12.4%	0.0%	2.43	2.48	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	18	4	33	136	45	11	0	22%	1.9	33.1%	8.1%	25.0%	0.0%	2.43	1.39	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	15	0	22	97	37	17	0	0%	1.5	25.9%	21.9%	4.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.68	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	15	0	22	97	37	17	0	0%	1.5	38.1%	17.5%	20.6%	0.0%	2.45	2.05	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	36	152	49	21	2	0%	1.6	24.5%	16.7%	7.7%	0.9%	4.29	3.65	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	36	152	49	21	2	0%	1.6	32.2%	13.8%	18.4%	1.3%	4.29	2.85	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	45	192	50	20	3	0%	1.4	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	2.0%	2.38	4.04	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	45	192	50	20	3	0%	1.4	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	2.0%	2.38	4.04	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	45	192	50	20	3	0%	1.4	26.0%	10.4%	15.6%	1.6%	2.38	3.08	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	10.4%	12.2%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	24	0	26	108	24	11	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.5%	12.0%	3.1%	4.58	4.63	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.5%	12.0%	3.1%	4.58	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	33	7	3	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.5%	12.0%	3.1%	4.58	4.25	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	78	26	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.5%	12.0%	3.1%	4.58	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		99	12	171	733	163	111	5	12%	1.7	22.2%	15.2%	7.1%	0.7%	2.84	3.53	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	14	200	857	191	130	6	12%	1.7	22.2%	15.2%	7.1%	0.7%	2.84	3.53	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronaldo Alesandro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	22.6%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.63	22.4%	12.0%	26	+0.11	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	81
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	79
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	79
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.5%	10.4%	1.18	4.55
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10