Domingo Gonzalez

P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	45	1	53	2.91	1.94	38.8%	10.3%	—	K 32.5% · BB 10.1% · FIP 2.56
2025	25	AAASEA	46	0	56	4.47	4.17	20.0%	10.8%	—	K 17.2% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.14
2026	26	MIX2 levels	51	0	67	4.05	4.46	21.8%	11.6%	0.1	K 19.7% · BB 10.2% · FIP 4.60
2027PROJ	27	MLBSEA	67	0	70	4.93	4.93	18.8%	11.1%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBSEA	28	0	29	4.92	4.95	19.2%	11.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBSEA	36	0	38	4.97	5.03	19.2%	11.1%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsThad Weber (age 28) · Luis Mateo (age 27) · David Holman (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%18.8%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	16	0	25	117	18	14	0	0%	1.5	10.5%	15.0%	-4.5%	0.0%	5.84	4.11	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	16	0	25	117	18	14	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	12.0%	3.4%	0.0%	5.84	3.34	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	16	8	63	247	76	17	1	50%	3.9	20.9%	8.6%	12.3%	0.6%	2.29	2.73	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	16	8	63	247	76	17	1	50%	3.9	30.8%	6.9%	23.9%	0.4%	2.29	1.70	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	14	87	381	104	37	20	70%	4.4	20.5%	11.3%	9.1%	5.3%	4.95	5.70	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	14	87	381	104	37	20	70%	4.4	27.3%	9.7%	17.6%	5.2%	4.95	4.97	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	11	105	462	103	45	13	38%	3.6	17.0%	10.8%	6.2%	2.8%	4.90	4.59	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	11	105	462	103	45	13	38%	3.6	22.3%	9.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.90	4.04	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	40	1	54	249	76	33	2	2%	1.3	24.7%	14.6%	10.1%	1.2%	4.19	3.53	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	40	1	54	249	76	33	2	2%	1.3	30.5%	13.3%	17.3%	0.8%	4.19	2.60	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	1	53	214	83	22	3	2%	1.2	32.5%	10.1%	22.4%	1.7%	2.91	2.56	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	1	53	214	83	22	3	2%	1.2	32.5%	10.1%	22.4%	1.7%	2.91	2.56	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	1	53	214	83	22	3	2%	1.2	38.8%	10.3%	28.5%	1.4%	2.91	1.94	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	46	0	56	240	48	26	6	0%	1.2	17.2%	9.8%	7.5%	2.3%	4.47	4.14	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	46	0	56	240	48	26	6	0%	1.2	17.2%	9.8%	7.5%	2.3%	4.47	4.14	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	46	0	56	240	48	26	6	0%	1.2	20.0%	10.8%	9.2%	2.5%	4.47	4.17	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	67	293	64	34	9	0%	1.3	19.7%	10.2%	9.6%	3.4%	4.05	4.60	-0.0
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	67	293	64	34	9	0%	1.3	19.7%	10.2%	9.6%	3.4%	4.05	4.60	-0.0
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	67	293	64	34	9	0%	1.3	21.8%	11.6%	10.2%	3.1%	4.05	4.46	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	8	36	5	5	1	0%	1.5	13.9%	13.9%	0.0%	2.8%	4.70	5.45	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	67	0	70	296	56	33	9	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.1%	7.8%	3.0%	4.93	4.93	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	55	32	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	11.0%	8.1%	3.1%	4.92	4.95	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	53	30	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.97	5.03	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	28	0	29	122	23	13	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	11.0%	8.1%	3.1%	4.92	4.95	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	36	0	38	160	31	18	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.97	5.03	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		69	0	75	319	59	36	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.4%	7.2%	3.1%	4.92	4.69	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	0	200	854	158	96	27	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.4%	7.2%	3.1%	4.92	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		263	35	509	2203	451	243	57	13%	1.9	20.5%	11.0%	9.4%	2.6%	4.19	4.18	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	14	200	866	177	95	22	13%	1.9	20.5%	11.0%	9.4%	2.6%	4.19	4.18	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Domingo Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	18.8%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.99	19.2%	8.1%	133	+0.06	—	—	—
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	82
Justin Lehr R 2005 · 4.58 FIP	27	SU	4.58	14.9%	10.4%	2.6%	.252	4.23	16.0%	8.0%	16	-0.35	4.23	148	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	81
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	81
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	80
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Chris Hatcher R 2012 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	15.2%	9.1%	4.8%	.298	2.68	26.4%	20.9%	95	-2.92	2.51	246	79
Rob Scahill R 2014 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	15.3%	9.7%	3.7%	.275	3.59	15.6%	8.6%	141	-1.48	3.06	250	78
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78
Zach Bryant R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	26	SU	4.85	18.0%	9.6%	3.7%	.313	4.87	16.1%	5.0%	106	+0.02	4.51	215	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Ross Wolf R 2010 · 3.95 FIP	27	SU	3.95	16.1%	8.9%	2.0%	.268	4.37	10.1%	3.3%	48	+0.42	3.43	179	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	70	18.9%	11.2%	1.19	4.93
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*