J.C. Correa — OGILVIE

J.C. CorreaSS Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .281 / .331

PA12

HR0

K%20

BB%6

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	193	185	58	13	0	4	7	29	0	3	2	314	339	449	787	135	353	15	4	347	121	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	255	222	68	19	2	5	28	30	4	7	7	306	394	477	871	171	335	12	11	386	148	+14	-1	—	—	+6	1.9
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	453	404	125	29	1	8	37	36	3	1	2	309	372	446	817	136	317	8	8	358	129	+15	-1	—	—	+10	2.5
2022	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	40	36	12	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	333	400	333	733		400	15	10	341	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	398	357	88	13	1	6	33	48	1	7	2	246	312	339	651	92	265	12	8	292	84	-8	+1	—	—	+9	0.1
2023	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	54	42	13	2	0	0	12	3	0	1	1	310	463	357	820	48	333	6	22	387	148	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	159	38	8	0	2	10	22	0	3	0	239	284	327	611	88	261	13	6	272	70	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	193	187	50	10	0	3	5	39	0	3	2	267	286	369	655	102	319	20	3	280	76	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2021	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	255	230	57	14	2	3	20	41	4	7	7	248	319	365	684	117	287	16	8	302	91	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	453	416	110	22	1	7	25	52	3	1	2	264	311	373	683	108	273	11	6	297	87	-7	-1	—	—	+10	0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	398	367	83	12	1	4	23	56	1	7	2	226	274	297	571	71	244	14	6	250	55	-21	+1	—	—	+9	-1.2
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	162	37	8	0	2	7	27	0	3	0	228	260	315	575	86	251	16	4	247	53	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	448	418	107	24	2	6	24	80	4	10	9	256	303	366	669	110	302	18	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	448	407	126	32	2	9	35	59	4	10	9	310	370	464	834	155	343	13	8	369	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	493	453	119	24	1	7	28	57	3	1	2	263	310	366	676	104	281	12	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	493	440	137	29	1	8	41	42	3	1	2	311	374	436	810	125	323	9	8	357	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	452	418	94	14	1	4	26	63	1	8	3	225	272	292	564	67	251	14	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	452	399	101	15	1	6	45	51	1	8	3	253	330	341	671	88	272	11	10	303	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	162	37	8	0	2	7	27	0	3	0	228	260	315	575	86	257	16	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	159	38	8	0	2	10	22	0	3	0	239	284	327	611	88	261	13	6	272	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	448	417	107	24	2	6	24	80	4	10	9	257	303	367	670	110	301	18	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	493	459	119	24	1	7	28	57	3	1	2	259	310	362	672	102	273	12	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	452	422	94	14	1	4	26	63	1	8	3	223	272	289	561	66	244	14	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	163	37	8	0	2	7	27	0	3	0	227	260	313	573	86	251	16	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	452	422	94	14	1	4	26	63	1	8	3	223	272	289	561	66	244	14	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	163	37	8	0	2	7	27	0	3	0	227	260	313	573	86	251	16	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		272	17	8	277	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	212	195	46	9	1	4	14	42	1	3	1	236	290	354	644	118	274	20	7	281	76	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	HOU	37%	265	243	56	11	1	5	18	54	2	4	1	230	289	346	635	115	274	20	7	282	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	302	276	62	12	1	5	21	63	2	4	1	225	284	330	614	105	274	21	7	282	77	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	57	53	12	2	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	226	281	321	601	94	276	19	7	277	76	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	HOU	37%	98	90	21	4	0	2	7	20	1	1	0	233	296	344	640	111	277	20	7	279	77	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	130	119	27	5	1	2	9	27	1	2	0	227	287	336	623	109	276	21	7	278	77	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	285	262	60	11	1	5	20	58	2	4	0	229	289	336	625	107	275	20	7	278	75	-8	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	136	25	2	11	46	132	5	9	0	227	289	331	620	104	274	20	7	278	75	-18	+2	-4	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2356	2176	523	102	7	33	139	388	13	33	17	240	290	339	629	99	275	16	6	278	75	-22	+1	-4	+8	+17	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	144	28	2	9	38	107	4	9	5	240	290	338	628	98	275	16	6	278	75	-18	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	289	5	4	230	285	341	+3	+3	0.3	0.3
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+6.9	0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.C. Correa (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	227/281/331	104	272	2	3	20%	6%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	42	42→45	49→40	49	204/282/305	101	251	9	6	22%	8%	69	-0.9	205/291/317	112	272	11	5	27%	9%	76	-0.4	186/284/295	109	248	12	1	28%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	27	45→43	42→45	47→30	44	222/268/324	102	272	11	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	252/290/382	130	286	16	6	18%	4%	88	+0.5	270/300/393	123	298	18	2	16%	3%	91	+0.4
✕Cody Clark 2009 · AA	27	42	42→45	47→40	41	211/259/313	102	256	11	6	22%	4%	61	-1.5	224/271/345	121	260	12	5	19%	5%	73	-0.6	221/269/340	119	253	12	1	18%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	44	43→45	50→45	43	217/267/328	112	266	11	8	23%	6%	68	-1.0	205/253/332	127	255	14	9	25%	5%	63	-1.4	191/235/322	131	233	15	7	25%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2011 · AA	26	45→44	43→45	47→45	44	222/278/336	114	274	10	8	22%	6%	74	-0.6	210/281/308	98	254	8	9	20%	7%	69	-0.9	187/270/266	79	224	6	8	18%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Sean Jamieson 2015 · AA	26	48→45	43→45	47→50	44	232/288/348	117	297	9	10	24%	6%	80	-0.2	225/285/316	91	320	7	9	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/284	71	318	5	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Matt Wallach 2013 · AA	27	45	42→45	48→40	49	219/293/321	102	257	11	6	19%	8%	76	-0.4	206/274/291	85	280	8	6	28%	7%	62	-1.4	175/245/230	54	247	7	0	30%	7%	36	-1.5
✕Dominic Miroglio 2021 · AA	26	47	40→45	46→40	45	227/281/321	94	273	7	6	20%	6%	71	-0.8	213/279/346	133	268	13	5	25%	7%	76	-0.4	200/268/342	142	246	15	2	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Davis Stoneburner 2012 · AA	27	48→50	44→45	52→50	42	234/287/357	123	293	11	14	24%	5%	82	-0.0	207/262/296	89	277	5	15	26%	6%	58	-1.7	169/224/228	59	236	0	17	27%	5%	26	-2.4
✕Kramer Robertson 2022 · AAA	27	44→51	44→40	51→55	50	217/299/336	119	268	11	13	23%	9%	82	+0.0	205/307/292	87	273	8	22	25%	10%	76	-0.4	189/303/255	65	260	6	26	26%	11%	64	-1.1
✕Steve Holm 2006 · AA	26	42	42→50	47→40	43	209/269/311	102	266	11	6	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/294/371	145	273	17	4	23%	7%	88	+0.5	229/305/377	149	268	17	2	21%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	42→45	51→50	44	208/272/316	108	281	8	8	28%	7%	67	-1.1	202/279/294	92	275	7	10	27%	9%	65	-1.2	192/275/269	77	260	6	10	26%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→40	44	231/275/327	96	277	10	5	21%	6%	70	-0.9	240/295/377	137	287	14	5	21%	7%	89	+0.5	246/305/407	160	287	16	0	20%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Erick Monzon 2008 · AA	26	42→44	43→45	50	45	209/262/322	113	259	10	9	23%	7%	64	-1.3	193/244/288	95	267	10	12	30%	6%	49	-2.4	167/217/246	79	235	10	14	32%	6%	27	-1.7
✕Nick Trzesniak 2008 · AAA	27	48	42→45	46→50	45	235/284/338	103	288	9	8	22%	6%	76	-0.4	216/264/331	115	311	12	7	33%	6%	67	-1.1	162/202/263	101	261	12	0	42%	3%	26	-1.0
✕Robi Estrada 2016 · AA	27	46	42→40	49→50	48	226/279/332	106	265	9	9	18%	7%	72	-0.7	222/271/323	101	287	9	13	25%	6%	68	-1.0	213/259/299	86	273	8	14	24%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Devin Ivany 2009 · AA	27	45→48	44→50	46→45	40	224/266/336	113	280	12	9	24%	5%	69	-0.9	220/275/345	125	284	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	211/268/330	119	271	12	8	26%	7%	67	-0.4
✕T.J. White 2018 · AA	26	44→46	44→45	47→45	43	218/280/338	121	275	10	7	24%	6%	75	-0.5	210/267/332	122	282	13	7	29%	6%	69	-0.9	143/193/231	88	194	12	3	33%	4%	15	-1.2
✕Caonabo Cosme 2006 · AAA	27	47	45	51→45	47	231/290/354	123	277	12	12	21%	7%	82	-0.0	219/257/340	121	297	13	7	30%	5%	66	-1.1	213/241/328	115	298	13	4	33%	3%	55	-0.8
✕Brian Ward 2013 · AA	27	45	39→40	49→45	50	215/283/296	81	262	6	9	20%	8%	66	-1.1	223/289/302	79	280	6	7	21%	7%	70	-0.9	228/293/287	60	288	4	3	21%	7%	66	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps