J.C. Correa — OGILVIE

J.C. CorreaSS Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .278 / .329

PA151

HR2

K%21

BB%6

ISO106

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	448	417	106	22	2	5	25	81	4	10	9	254	303	353	655	98	303	18	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	448	407	126	32	2	9	35	59	4	10	9	310	370	464	834	155	343	13	8	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	493	451	113	21	1	8	30	62	3	1	2	251	302	355	656	104	269	13	6	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	493	440	137	29	1	8	41	42	3	1	2	311	374	436	810	125	323	9	8	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	452	419	92	14	1	4	25	64	1	8	3	220	265	286	552	67	246	14	6	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	452	399	101	15	1	6	45	51	1	8	3	253	330	341	671	88	272	11	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	162	38	8	0	2	7	28	0	3	0	235	266	321	587	86	267	16	4	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	159	38	8	0	2	10	22	0	3	0	239	284	327	611	88	261	13	6	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	HOU	—	151	139	31	6	1	2	10	32	1	3	1	223	280	324	604	101	273	21	7	275	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	HOU	27%	212	195	45	9	1	4	14	45	1	3	1	231	286	349	634	118	274	21	7	279	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.1
2028	29	MLB	HOU	37%	265	243	56	11	1	5	18	57	2	4	1	230	289	346	635	115	275	22	7	280	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2029	30	MLB	HOU	43%	302	276	62	12	1	5	21	66	2	4	1	225	284	330	614	105	275	22	7	280	73	-9	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.1
2027	28	MLB	HOU	27%	57	53	11	2	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	208	263	302	565	94	277	21	7	277	70	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB	HOU	37%	98	90	20	4	0	2	7	21	1	1	0	222	286	333	619	111	278	21	7	279	72	-3	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB	HOU	43%	130	119	27	5	1	2	9	28	1	2	0	227	287	336	623	109	278	22	7	278	71	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	285	262	58	11	1	5	20	61	2	4	0	221	282	328	610	107	269	21	7	278	71	-9	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	132	25	2	11	46	139	5	9	0	221	282	324	607	104	269	21	7	278	71	-21	+2	-4	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2495	2302	543	103	8	35	150	435	14	36	18	236	287	333	620	97	273	17	6	275	68	-89	+0	-4	+27	+71	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	141	27	2	9	39	113	4	9	5	235	287	332	618	97	272	17	6	275	68	-23	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	193	185	58	13	0	4	7	29	0	3	2	314	339	449	787	135	353	15	4	347	124	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	255	222	68	19	2	5	28	30	4	7	7	306	394	477	871	171	335	12	11	386	154	+16	-1	—	—	+7	2.2
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	453	404	125	29	1	8	37	36	3	1	2	309	372	446	817	136	317	8	8	358	132	+17	-1	—	—	+13	2.9
2022	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	40	36	12	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	333	400	333	733		400	15	10	341	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	398	357	88	13	1	6	33	48	1	7	2	246	312	339	651	92	265	12	8	292	81	-8	+1	—	—	+11	0.4
2023	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	54	42	13	2	0	0	12	3	0	1	1	310	463	357	820	48	333	6	22	387	154	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	159	38	8	0	2	10	22	0	3	0	239	284	327	611	88	261	13	6	272	66	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	289	5	4	228	283	339	+3	+3	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	12	10	228	283	339	+7.1	+6.9	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.C. Correa (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	224/278/329	105	273	2	3	21%	6%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	41	42→50	49→40	49	203/284/306	102	254	10	6	23%	8%	66	-0.6	210/295/336	126	275	13	5	27%	9%	79	+0.3	195/291/323	129	254	15	1	28%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	43→45	51→50	44	212/275/327	115	284	10	8	28%	7%	66	-0.6	204/281/300	96	277	8	10	27%	9%	63	-0.9	195/278/275	80	264	6	10	26%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Cody Clark 2009 · AA	27	42	43→45	47→40	41	212/259/318	106	257	11	6	23%	4%	58	-1.2	225/273/352	127	262	13	5	20%	5%	72	-0.2	223/271/346	123	258	12	1	18%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2012 · AA	27	42→43	44→45	45	45	209/272/323	114	256	11	6	23%	6%	65	-0.7	213/288/314	101	260	8	11	20%	7%	69	-0.4	192/299/242	50	227	0	23	13%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	43→44	44→50	50→45	43	216/267/332	116	267	12	8	24%	6%	64	-0.8	207/254/344	137	259	16	9	26%	5%	62	-0.9	194/237/339	145	237	18	7	27%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	27	45→42	43→45	47→30	42	222/265/326	104	274	11	6	24%	6%	62	-0.9	262/297/411	149	294	20	6	18%	4%	98	+1.6	288/318/439	151	312	24	2	16%	3%	109	+1.3
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Kramer Robertson 2022 · AAA	27	43→51	46→45	51→55	49	216/295/344	127	267	13	13	24%	8%	80	+0.4	202/300/294	92	268	9	22	26%	10%	70	-0.3	184/296/254	71	251	7	26	26%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Erick Monzon 2008 · AA	26	42→43	44→45	50	45	209/262/326	117	261	11	9	24%	7%	60	-1.0	193/244/293	100	269	11	12	31%	6%	44	-2.1	167/217/250	84	236	11	14	33%	6%	18	-1.6
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Steve Holm 2006 · AA	26	42	42→50	47→40	43	209/268/311	102	266	11	6	25%	6%	59	-1.1	226/294/375	149	273	18	4	24%	7%	88	+0.9	229/306/383	154	269	18	2	22%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Nick Dini 2019 · AAA	26	44	42→50	50	39	219/261/320	101	263	11	11	22%	4%	59	-1.1	224/274/374	150	264	19	11	23%	5%	79	+0.3	193/273/349	156	222	22	10	25%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→50	47→30	43	202/267/321	119	264	10	6	27%	7%	63	-0.9	218/278/353	135	306	15	6	32%	7%	75	-0.0	206/269/340	134	293	18	0	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Lloyd Turner 2007 · AA	27	41→47	45	50	44	209/270/334	125	258	13	13	24%	6%	66	-0.6	207/265/327	120	263	12	12	25%	6%	63	-0.9	185/242/294	109	231	11	12	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Seth Bynum 2008 · AA	27	43→44	40→55	47→50	42	210/266/303	92	281	8	9	27%	6%	56	-1.3	217/261/363	146	295	18	8	32%	5%	70	-0.3	209/253/364	155	284	20	8	33%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2015 · AA	26	47→43	43→45	47→50	42	228/282/347	119	293	10	10	25%	6%	74	-0.1	220/279/312	92	319	7	9	31%	6%	64	-0.8	205/272/275	71	312	6	8	34%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	43→45	48→45	44	225/272/337	112	274	11	10	22%	6%	67	-0.5	220/251/309	89	275	7	11	22%	4%	50	-1.7	217/239/287	70	269	5	9	21%	3%	37	-1.6
✕T.J. White 2018 · AA	26	43→44	45	47→45	43	215/279/342	127	275	12	7	26%	6%	72	-0.2	208/266/337	129	285	14	7	31%	6%	66	-0.6	134/183/231	97	186	14	3	36%	3%	0	-1.3
✕Davis Stoneburner 2012 · AA	27	47→49	44→45	52→50	41	232/285/355	123	296	11	14	25%	5%	78	+0.2	202/259/290	88	277	5	15	27%	6%	50	-1.8	158/216/212	54	229	0	17	29%	5%	8	-2.7