Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 19 | 1 | 48 | 225 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 5% | 2.5 | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.77 | 4.68 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 19 | 1 | 48 | 225 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 5% | 2.5 | 16.9% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 2.2% | 5.77 | 3.62 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 31 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.75 | 4.10 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 31 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 0.9% | 2.75 | 3.06 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 3 | 48 | 209 | 56 | 21 | 2 | 7% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 0.9% | 4.34 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 3 | 48 | 209 | 56 | 21 | 2 | 7% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 1.0% | 4.34 | 2.62 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 25 | 121 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 17.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 6.39 | 4.68 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 25 | 121 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 6.39 | 5.31 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 66 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 5.62 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 66 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | 5.62 | 3.78 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 14 | 0 | 16 | 71 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 19.2% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 5.17 | 7.77 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 14 | 0 | 16 | 71 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 18.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.17 | 7.44 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.5% | 6.1% | 25.4% | 1.8% | 3.57 | 2.23 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.4% | 6.1% | 30.3% | 1.5% | 3.57 | 1.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 0 | 26 | 118 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 5.54 | 3.52 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 0 | 200 | 902 | 183 | 91 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 5.54 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 4 | 263 | 1180 | 224 | 140 | 26 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 4.76 | 4.20 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 151 | 3 | 200 | 897 | 170 | 106 | 20 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 4.76 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Lane Ramsey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.71 | 23.2% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 76 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 76 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 75 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.85 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .228 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 16.7% | 99 | -0.45 | 2.23 | 367 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 73 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 73 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 73 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 72 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 72 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 72 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 72 |