Connor Van Scoyoc

Connor Van Scoyoc P Harrisburg Senators

+0.2 WAR

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 234 lbs AA peak 0.7 · 2027

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%14.9%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%6.1%

IP99

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2027

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†3030

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	AZL Angels	12	5	40	199	50	36	1	17.1%	22.6%	0.7%	5.13	4.91	+0.0
2021	21	A	Inland Empire 66ers	12	8	42	202	51	24	2	18.1%	14.4%	1.1%	6.48	4.03	+0.4
2022	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	23	22	120	506	140	39	10	20.5%	9.1%	2.9%	4.28	4.13	+1.6
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	23	23	128	538	114	45	14	16.6%	9.5%	3.1%	3.80	4.59	+1.0
2024	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	23	22	115	489	73	43	12	12.1%	9.7%	3.2%	4.46	5.08	+0.3
2025	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	41	0	86	368	46	29	6	11.0%	8.3%	1.8%	4.19	4.19	+1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	4	0	9	37	10	7	0	—	—	—	1.04	—	—
ROS	26	MLB	WSH	18	18	99	418	52	41	11	12.5%	9.8%	2.6%	5.10	5.10	+0.2
2026 Total	26	MLB	WSH	—	—	108	455	62	48	11	13.7%	10.6%	2.4%	4.77	4.69	+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	27	MLB	WSH	19	19	102	432	58	42	12	13.5%	9.6%	2.7%	5.02	5.03	+0.3
2028	28	MLB	WSH	19	19	103	434	61	41	12	14.1%	9.5%	2.7%	4.98	5.00	+0.3
2029	29	MLB	WSH	18	18	100	424	61	40	12	14.3%	9.5%	2.8%	4.98	5.00	+0.3
2030	30	MLB	WSH	18	18	97	411	59	39	12	14.3%	9.6%	2.9%	5.01	5.05	+0.3
2031	31	MLB	WSH	17	17	94	397	56	38	12	14.1%	9.7%	2.9%	5.08	5.12	+0.1
2032	32	MLB	WSH	16	16	90	381	53	37	11	13.8%	9.8%	3.0%	5.16	5.21	+0.0
2033	33	MLB	WSH	16	16	86	364	49	36	11	13.5%	10.0%	3.1%	5.25	5.30	-0.1
2034	34	MLB	WSH	15	15	82	345	45	35	11	13.2%	10.2%	3.2%	5.35	5.41	-0.2
2035	35	MLB	WSH	14	14	77	326	48	31	11	14.8%	9.7%	3.3%	5.30	5.27	-0.1
2036	36	MLB	WSH	13	13	72	304	44	30	10	14.3%	9.9%	3.4%	5.36	5.40	-0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			138	80	540	2339	373	256	57	15.9%	10.9%	2.5%	4.37	4.49	+5.0
/ 200 IP	—			51	30	200	867	138	95	21	15.9%	10.9%	2.5%	4.37	4.49	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Connor Van Scoyoc (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	12.5%	9.8%	2.6%	—	5.01	14.0%	4.4%	305	-0.09	—	—	—
Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	93
Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 4.98 FIP	26	SP-	4.98	13.5%	11.0%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	157	92
Jordan Cooper R 2026 · 4.96 FIP	26	SP-	4.96	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	106	91
Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	26	SP-	4.27	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	118	91
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.27 FIP	27	SP-	5.27	11.6%	9.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	15.3%	5.2%	167	-1.02	3.92	272	91
Mike McCarthy R 2027 · 4.78 FIP	27	SP-	4.78	9.4%	9.1%	2.4%	.280	5.08	6.2%	-3.5%	37	+0.30	4.78	153	90
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.66 FIP	26	SP-	4.66	12.6%	7.3%	3.1%	.314	4.44	18.5%	8.4%	312	-0.22	3.99	748	89
Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	328	88
Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.62	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.82	3.45	378	88
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2026 · 4.11 FIP	26	SP-	4.11	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	107	88
Scott McGregor R 2028 · 4.41 FIP	28	SP-	4.41	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	107	88
Caleb Clay R 2027 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP-	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	87
Colin Bates R 2027 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	86
Scarlyn Reyes R 2026 · 4.53 FIP	26	SP-	4.53	13.9%	11.9%	2.0%	.321	4.88	13.7%	5.3%	70	+0.35	4.17	317	86
Casey Sadler R 2025 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	12.6%	7.9%	3.4%	.250	3.69	15.6%	9.9%	144	-1.21	2.21	385	86
Brannon Easterling R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	26	SP-	4.37	12.7%	8.2%	2.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	334	86
Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	26	SP-	4.32	12.8%	9.5%	2.0%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	367	86
Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	26	SP-	4.31	15.0%	8.7%	2.5%	.297	3.37	18.1%	12.8%	343	-0.94	2.78	536	86
Nick Petree R 2025 · 4.15 FIP	25	SP-	4.15	11.4%	6.9%	2.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	122	86
Mike Augliera R 2025 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP-	4.27	12.0%	7.2%	2.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	114	86

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.