Adam Scott prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Adam Scott P Columbus Clippers

Age 30 LHP 6'4" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%19.6%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	0	22	91	33	6	1	0%	2.0	36.3%	6.6%	29.7%	1.1%	1.21	1.48	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	0	22	91	33	6	1	0%	2.0	36.3%	6.6%	29.7%	1.1%	1.21	1.53	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	133	564	148	41	13	100%	5.1	20.7%	8.2%	12.6%	3.3%	3.73	4.17	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	133	564	148	41	13	100%	5.1	26.2%	7.3%	19.0%	2.3%	3.73	3.07	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	15	64	274	77	30	9	100%	4.2	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	3.4%	4.52	4.53	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	15	64	274	77	30	9	100%	4.2	28.1%	10.9%	17.2%	3.3%	4.52	3.93	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	37	13	75	350	84	45	13	35%	2.0	21.1%	13.5%	7.6%	4.1%	6.33	5.27	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	37	13	75	350	84	45	13	35%	2.0	24.0%	12.9%	11.1%	3.7%	6.33	4.91	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	23	10	46	240	45	46	3	43%	2.0	16.1%	17.2%	-1.1%	1.3%	5.83	4.65	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	23	10	46	240	45	46	3	43%	2.0	16.1%	17.2%	-1.1%	1.3%	5.83	4.65	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	23	10	46	240	45	46	3	43%	2.0	18.8%	19.2%	-0.4%	1.2%	5.83	4.98	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CLE	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.6%	12.9%	6.7%	2.9%	5.04	5.04	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CLE	4	4	25	105	21	14	3	100%	6.2	19.5%	12.8%	6.7%	3.1%	5.09	5.17	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	CLE	2	2	9	38	7	5	1	100%	4.5	19.5%	12.8%	6.7%	3.1%	5.09	5.17	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	39	8	5	1	100%	4.6	19.5%	12.8%	6.7%	3.1%	5.09	4.79	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	175	109	22	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.8%	6.7%	3.1%	5.09	4.79	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		112	64	340	1519	325	173	46	57%	3.0	21.4%	11.4%	10.0%	3.0%	4.57	4.40	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	38	200	893	191	102	27	57%	3.0	21.4%	11.4%	10.0%	3.0%	4.57	4.40	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Scott (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	19.6%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.17	19.5%	6.7%	25	+0.13	—	—	—
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	78
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	70
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	66
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	66
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	65
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	65
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	60
Andy Otero L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	30	SW	4.36	14.5%	8.9%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	200	57
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	57
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	56
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	55
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	55
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	54
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	54
Daniel Camarena L 2023 · 4.94 FIP	30	SP-	4.94	14.0%	5.6%	4.2%	.342	6.81	13.2%	2.4%	51	+1.87	3.76	674	54
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	54
Mike Kickham L 2019 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.311	5.98	18.8%	8.7%	61	+1.86	3.00	397	53
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	53
Logan Darnell L 2019 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP-	3.97	12.8%	6.1%	2.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	454	53
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	52

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.6%	12.9%	1.16	5.06
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44