Moises Diaz — OGILVIE

Moises Diaz P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 27 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%21.4%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 1	10	0	21	89	14	5	1	0%	2.1	10.7%	7.0%	3.7%	1.6%	3.43	3.95	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 1	10	0	21	89	14	5	1	0%	2.1	15.7%	5.6%	10.1%	1.1%	3.43	3.10	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 1	14	14	63	278	41	19	4	100%	4.5	10.0%	8.5%	1.5%	2.0%	4.57	4.44	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 1	14	14	63	278	41	19	4	100%	4.5	14.7%	6.8%	7.9%	1.4%	4.57	3.53	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	15	0	17	69	13	5	0	0%	1.1	12.8%	9.1%	3.8%	0.0%	2.12	3.17	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	15	0	17	69	13	5	0	0%	1.1	18.8%	7.2%	11.6%	0.0%	2.12	2.45	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	41	173	30	13	5	0%	1.8	12.2%	9.0%	3.1%	4.1%	2.83	5.45	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	41	173	30	13	5	0%	1.8	17.3%	7.5%	9.8%	2.9%	2.83	4.16	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	56	225	41	15	0	0%	1.6	13.0%	8.4%	4.6%	0.0%	1.93	3.07	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	56	225	41	15	0	0%	1.6	13.0%	8.4%	4.6%	0.0%	1.93	3.07	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	56	225	41	15	0	0%	1.6	18.2%	6.7%	11.6%	0.0%	1.93	2.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	WSH	26	0	27	114	24	10	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	2.9%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	25	0	27	112	24	10	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	3.0%	4.43	4.45	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	3.0%	4.43	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	9	4	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	3.0%	4.43	4.07	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	83	21	0%	1.1	21.6%	9.0%	12.6%	3.0%	4.43	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		98	14	198	834	97	71	14	14%	2.0	11.6%	8.5%	3.1%	1.7%	3.13	4.12	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	14	200	841	97	71	14	14%	2.0	11.6%	8.5%	3.1%	1.7%	3.13	4.12	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Moises Diaz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	21.4%	8.9%	2.9%	—	4.45	21.6%	12.6%	27	+0.03	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	83
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	82
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	82
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	82
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	82
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	82
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	82
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	82
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	81
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	81
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	81
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	81
Jon Rauch R 2005 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.236	3.67	21.6%	15.8%	250	-0.11	2.87	595	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	81
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	80
Madison Younginer IV R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	26	SU	4.22	23.0%	9.8%	3.3%	.370	4.73	14.0%	-5.3%	27	+0.51	3.08	219	80
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	80
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	80
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.5%	9.0%	1.15	4.42
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23