Michael Martinez

P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	22	MIX2 levels	16	23	7.15	4.03	27.8%	13.0%	—	K 20.7% · BB 13.7% · FIP 5.67
2024	25	MIX2 levels	38	42	1.91	2.84	26.7%	13.3%	—	K 20.6% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.69
2025	26	AAMIN	30	40	2.50	3.76	22.7%	15.1%	—	K 18.4% · BB 16.6% · FIP 4.43
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIN	23	24	5.10	5.10	20.4%	14.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBMIN	7	7	5.10	5.15	20.4%	14.0%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Thad Weber (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%20.4%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%6.1%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	18	0	21	99	18	18	1	0%	1.2	12.4%	22.7%	-10.4%	1.4%	2.14	5.71	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Robinson	18	0	21	99	18	18	1	0%	1.2	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	1.0%	2.14	4.58	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	10	4	27	121	28	16	1	40%	2.7	15.7%	16.5%	-0.8%	1.2%	4.00	4.50	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	10	4	27	121	28	16	1	40%	2.7	23.1%	13.2%	9.9%	0.8%	4.00	3.29	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	23	108	30	14	3	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.7%	6.9%	4.7%	7.15	5.67	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	23	108	30	14	3	0%	1.4	27.8%	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	7.15	4.03	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	180	48	24	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	0.7%	1.91	3.69	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	180	48	24	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	0.7%	1.91	3.69	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	42	180	48	24	1	0%	1.1	26.7%	13.3%	13.3%	0.6%	1.91	2.84	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	30	0	40	172	39	26	2	0%	1.3	18.4%	16.6%	1.7%	1.4%	2.50	4.43	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	30	0	40	172	39	26	2	0%	1.3	18.4%	16.6%	1.7%	1.4%	2.50	4.43	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	30	0	40	172	39	26	2	0%	1.3	22.7%	15.1%	7.6%	1.2%	2.50	3.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIN	23	0	24	101	21	14	3	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.2%	6.1%	2.8%	5.10	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	21	0	22	95	19	13	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.0%	6.5%	3.0%	5.10	5.15	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.0%	6.5%	3.0%	5.10	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.0%	6.5%	3.0%	5.10	4.77	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	114	29	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.0%	6.5%	3.0%	5.10	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		112	4	153	680	122	114	12	4%	1.4	18.0%	16.7%	1.3%	1.7%	3.24	4.63	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	5	200	891	160	149	15	4%	1.4	18.0%	16.7%	1.3%	1.7%	3.24	4.63	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	20.4%	14.2%	2.8%	—	5.15	20.4%	6.5%	22	+0.05	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	90
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	87
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	81
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	79
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	79
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	79
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	79
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	78