Edgar Escobar
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 220 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%22.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 19 | 0 | 22 | 81 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.7% | 3.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% | 1.21 | 1.15 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 19 | 0 | 22 | 81 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.7% | 2.5% | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1.21 | 0.41 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 59 | 239 | 72 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 2.58 | 2.89 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 59 | 239 | 72 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.1% | 9.2% | 20.9% | 0.4% | 2.58 | 2.00 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 0 | 41 | 177 | 53 | 15 | 12 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 5.88 | 6.79 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 0 | 41 | 177 | 53 | 15 | 12 | 0% | 1.7 | 29.9% | 8.5% | 21.5% | 6.8% | 5.88 | 5.40 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 28 | 20 | 124 | 556 | 98 | 50 | 23 | 71% | 4.4 | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.73 | 5.54 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 28 | 20 | 124 | 556 | 98 | 50 | 23 | 71% | 4.4 | 17.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 6.73 | 5.13 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 7 | 65 | 284 | 55 | 36 | 7 | 28% | 2.6 | 15.7% | 13.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.82 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 25 | 7 | 65 | 284 | 55 | 36 | 7 | 28% | 2.6 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 4.82 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | STL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 27 | 313 | 1337 | 244 | 139 | 48 | 20% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 17 | 200 | 855 | 156 | 89 | 31 | 20% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgar Escobar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.63 | 22.2% | 12.1% | 42 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 83 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 78 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 76 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 76 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 75 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 75 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 75 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 75 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 74 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.01 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 264 | 74 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 73 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 73 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .358 | 2.87 | 25.2% | 19.1% | 34 | -1.69 | 2.87 | 138 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 1.19 | 4.50 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |