Frank German prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Frank German P Louisville Bats

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%23.7%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%13.5%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

SL-1.4

FB-2.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	1	1	2	6	3	0	0	100%	2.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	1	1	2	6	3	0	0	100%	2.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	81	348	87	38	10	95%	4.3	19.5%	12.4%	7.1%	3.6%	4.11	5.01	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	81	348	87	38	10	95%	4.3	25.0%	10.9%	14.1%	2.9%	4.11	3.96	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	24	18	84	380	72	30	12	75%	3.5	15.3%	8.7%	6.7%	4.2%	5.12	5.22	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	24	18	84	380	72	30	12	75%	3.5	18.9%	7.9%	11.1%	3.2%	5.12	4.31	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	54	220	68	23	4	0%	1.1	26.8%	11.1%	15.7%	1.6%	3.86	3.10	+0.9
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	54	220	68	23	4	0%	1.1	30.9%	10.5%	20.5%	1.8%	3.86	2.82	+1.1
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	134	41	23	6	0%	1.1	24.5%	13.2%	11.2%	6.1%	7.18	6.08	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	134	41	23	6	0%	1.1	24.5%	13.2%	11.2%	6.1%	7.18	6.08	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	26	134	41	23	6	0%	1.1	30.6%	17.2%	13.4%	4.5%	7.18	5.57	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	4	23	4	4	2	0%	0.8	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	18.00	10.60	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.7%	10.3%	13.5%	3.1%	4.48	4.48	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.4%	13.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.59	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	11	54	11	7	3	0%	0.9	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	5.6%	9.28	6.08	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		211	0	200	952	194	123	53	0%	0.9	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	5.6%	9.28	6.08	-3.6
Career	—	MLE		117	37	247	1088	221	118	40	32%	2.1	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	3.7%	4.69	4.79	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	30	200	880	179	96	33	32%	2.1	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	3.7%	4.69	4.79	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frank German (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	23.7%	10.3%	3.1%	—	4.59	23.5%	13.1%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	72
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	71
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	71
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	71
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	70
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	69
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	69
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	69
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	69
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	68
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	68
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	68
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	68
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	68
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	68
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	68
Cody Poteet R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	28	SW	4.79	18.4%	9.6%	3.7%	.244	3.73	21.1%	13.3%	68	-1.06	3.52	619	68
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	68
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	68