Jake Miller — OGILVIE

Jake Miller P Columbus Clippers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%15.8%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	9	9	34	137	43	10	7	100%	3.7	23.2%	8.6%	14.6%	6.5%	4.81	5.82	—
2022	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	9	9	34	137	43	10	7	100%	3.7	31.4%	7.3%	24.1%	5.1%	4.81	4.14	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	20	80	14	9	1	62%	2.5	7.5%	18.0%	-10.5%	2.3%	3.15	6.02	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	20	80	14	9	1	62%	2.5	7.5%	18.0%	-10.5%	2.3%	3.15	6.02	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	5	20	80	14	9	1	62%	2.5	17.5%	11.2%	6.2%	1.2%	3.15	3.70	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	21	4	42	185	37	16	6	19%	2.0	15.4%	9.9%	5.5%	3.4%	5.83	4.93	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	21	4	42	185	37	16	6	19%	2.0	15.4%	9.9%	5.5%	3.4%	5.83	4.93	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	21	4	42	185	37	16	6	19%	2.0	20.0%	8.6%	11.4%	3.2%	5.83	4.35	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	66	270	56	22	4	5%	1.6	16.9%	8.1%	8.7%	1.7%	2.86	3.64	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	66	270	56	22	4	5%	1.6	16.9%	8.1%	8.7%	1.7%	2.86	3.64	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	66	270	56	22	4	5%	1.6	20.7%	8.1%	12.6%	1.5%	2.86	3.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	38	0	49	223	41	31	10	0%	1.3	15.3%	12.5%	2.7%	4.9%	7.35	6.10	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	38	0	49	223	41	31	10	0%	1.3	15.3%	12.5%	2.7%	4.9%	7.35	6.10	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	CLE	38	0	49	223	41	31	10	0%	1.3	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	4.5%	7.35	5.77	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CLE	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	15.8%	8.4%	7.4%	2.7%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	55	248	45	33	11	—	—	18.1%	13.3%	4.8%	4.3%	7.06	5.95	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	291	48	25	8	0%	1.0	16.6%	8.5%	8.0%	2.8%	4.67	4.69	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	282	48	25	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.70	4.75	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	CLE	61	0	64	270	46	24	8	0%	1.0	17.0%	9.0%	8.1%	3.1%	4.78	4.85	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	28	0	29	122	20	10	3	0%	1.0	16.6%	8.5%	8.0%	2.8%	4.67	4.69	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	40	0	42	177	30	15	5	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.70	4.75	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CLE	45	0	47	198	34	18	6	0%	1.0	17.0%	9.0%	8.1%	3.1%	4.78	4.85	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	84	44	15	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.72	4.39	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	142	74	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.72	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		118	20	210	895	146	95	33	17%	1.8	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	3.7%	4.84	5.07	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	19	200	851	139	90	31	17%	1.8	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	3.7%	4.84	5.07	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	15.8%	8.4%	2.7%	—	4.76	16.8%	8.1%	200	+0.07	—	—	—
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	92
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	90
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	89
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	88
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	88
Raul Fernandez R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	13.6%	9.3%	2.2%	.270	5.54	20.4%	6.2%	38	+1.19	4.03	165	87
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	87
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	87
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	86
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	86
Derek Self R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	15.1%	8.1%	1.8%	.331	4.73	13.7%	9.0%	189	+0.89	3.82	302	86
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	86
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	86
Tyler Higgins R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	15.5%	7.2%	2.9%	.312	5.24	23.0%	16.1%	81	+0.96	3.53	290	85
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	85
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	85
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	85
JC Ramírez R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	26	SU	3.75	16.6%	8.6%	1.8%	.285	4.41	17.1%	10.0%	226	+0.66	3.75	369	85
Junior Lopez R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	15.7%	9.9%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	128	85
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	16.6%	8.6%	1.11	4.71
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78