Jake Miller
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%16.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 9 | 9 | 34 | 137 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 100% | 3.7 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 4.81 | 5.77 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 9 | 9 | 34 | 137 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 100% | 3.7 | 31.4% | 7.3% | 24.1% | 5.1% | 4.81 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 5 | 20 | 80 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 62% | 2.5 | 7.5% | 18.0% | -10.5% | 2.2% | 3.15 | 5.95 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 5 | 20 | 80 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 62% | 2.5 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 3.15 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 21 | 4 | 42 | 185 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 2.0 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.83 | 4.67 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 21 | 4 | 42 | 185 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 2.0 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 5.83 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 66 | 270 | 56 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 2.86 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 66 | 270 | 56 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 1.6 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 1.5% | 2.86 | 3.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 28 | 0 | 38 | 171 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 16.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.39 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 108 | 467 | 83 | 53 | 14 | — | — | 17.9% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.09 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 16.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 48 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 0 | 78 | 330 | 56 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 79 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 20 | 199 | 843 | 144 | 96 | 27 | 19% | 1.8 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 20 | 200 | 846 | 145 | 96 | 27 | 19% | 1.8 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.78 | 16.9% | 7.6% | 136 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 92 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.76 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .320 | 4.36 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.60 | 3.76 | 399 | 89 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 89 |
| David Martinez R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .284 | 4.80 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 297 | 87 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.42 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.3% | .270 | 5.61 | 20.4% | 6.2% | 38 | +1.19 | 3.95 | 165 | 87 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 86 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.15 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.27 | 3.73 | 154 | 85 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.58 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.70 | 3.50 | 219 | 85 |
| Junior Lopez R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 1.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 128 | 85 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 85 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 84 |
| Jacob Wosinski R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 15.2% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .291 | 5.39 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 26 | +1.48 | 3.91 | 181 | 84 |
| Michael Lorenzen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.86 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .286 | 3.52 | 23.0% | 13.7% | 146 | -0.34 | 3.20 | 1,151 | 84 |
| Anthony Bass R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.73 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .285 | 4.52 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 226 | +0.79 | 3.73 | 369 | 84 |
| Scott Burke R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 84 |
| Tyler Higgins R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.07 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .312 | 5.46 | 23.0% | 16.1% | 81 | +1.39 | 3.58 | 290 | 84 |
| Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.69 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | .338 | 5.27 | 14.2% | 5.1% | 63 | +0.58 | 3.97 | 345 | 84 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .248 | 4.51 | 14.4% | 5.2% | 85 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 291 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 16.6% | 9.3% | 1.07 | 4.76 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |