Jake Miller
P
Columbus Clippers
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.6%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%10.0%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 9 | 9 | 34 | 137 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.81 | 5.81 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 8 | 5 | 20 | 80 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 7.5% | 18.0% | 2.3% | 3.15 | 6.03 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 21 | 4 | 42 | 185 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 5.83 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 2 | 66 | 270 | 56 | 22 | 4 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 2.86 | 3.70 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 6 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.10 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 43 | 20 | 6 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 60 | 256 | 51 | 25 | 6 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 4.91 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 43 | 20 | 6 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.49 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 43 | 20 | 6 | 19.7% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 42 | 20 | 6 | 19.7% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 39 | 19 | 6 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 19.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 18.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 17.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 20 | 168 | 703 | 120 | 73 | 22 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.23 | 4.65 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 102 | 24 | 200 | 837 | 143 | 87 | 26 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.23 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.52 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 156 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 91 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 91 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 90 |
| Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.51 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.5% | .311 | 3.64 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | +0.13 | 3.51 | 101 | 90 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 89 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 89 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 89 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 89 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.38 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .279 | 4.03 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 92 | +0.65 | 2.43 | 225 | 89 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 88 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 88 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.53 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.78 | 3.42 | 219 | 88 |
| Sean Donatello R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.64 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 141 | 87 |
| Anthony Bass R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.43 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 2.83 | 432 | 87 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.80 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .285 | 4.32 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 226 | +0.52 | 3.80 | 369 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 87 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.17 | 2.57 | 167 | 87 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 87 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 86 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.