Shay Schanaman

P Columbus Clingstones

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+ATL	43	0	58	4.53	3.00	27.3%	6.6%	—	K 21.0% · BB 7.6% · FIP 4.34
2025	25	MIX2 levels	27	0	32	6.40	4.86	21.3%	15.3%	—	K 14.4% · BB 17.9% · FIP 6.16
2026	26	AAATL	33	7	61	6.08	5.14	21.4%	10.3%	—	K 17.3% · BB 11.4% · FIP 5.99
2027PROJ	27	MLBATL	34	0	36	5.45	5.45	17.9%	11.8%	-0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBATL	12	0	13	5.39	5.42	18.3%	11.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLuis Mateo (age 27) · Scott Proctor (age 27) · David Holman (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%17.9%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	0	16	61	16	5	0	0%	1.6	26.2%	8.2%	18.0%	0.0%	1.15	1.92	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	0	16	61	16	5	0	0%	1.6	26.2%	8.2%	18.0%	0.0%	1.15	2.01	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	43	0	58	242	66	16	6	0%	1.3	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	3.7%	4.53	4.34	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	43	0	58	242	66	16	6	0%	1.3	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	3.7%	4.53	4.34	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	43	0	58	242	66	16	6	0%	1.3	27.3%	6.6%	20.7%	2.5%	4.53	3.00	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	32	150	32	23	4	0%	1.2	14.4%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.6%	6.40	6.16	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	32	150	32	23	4	0%	1.2	14.4%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.6%	6.40	6.16	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	32	150	32	23	4	0%	1.2	21.3%	15.3%	6.0%	2.7%	6.40	4.86	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	33	7	61	271	58	28	12	21%	1.8	17.3%	11.4%	6.0%	5.3%	6.08	5.99	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	33	7	61	271	58	28	12	21%	1.8	17.3%	11.4%	6.0%	5.3%	6.08	5.99	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	33	7	61	271	58	28	12	21%	1.8	21.4%	10.3%	11.1%	4.4%	6.08	5.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ATL	34	0	36	152	27	18	5	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.8%	6.0%	3.6%	5.45	5.45	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	33	0	35	146	27	17	5	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.7%	6.6%	3.6%	5.39	5.42	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	10	6	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.7%	6.6%	3.6%	5.39	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	10	6	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.7%	6.6%	3.6%	5.39	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	92	31	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.7%	6.6%	3.6%	5.39	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		113	7	166	724	135	81	29	6%	1.5	18.7%	11.2%	7.5%	4.0%	5.14	5.13	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	8	200	871	163	98	35	6%	1.5	18.7%	11.2%	7.5%	4.0%	5.14	5.13	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shay Schanaman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	17.9%	11.8%	3.6%	—	5.42	18.3%	6.6%	35	-0.03	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	89
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	89
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	87
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	85
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	85
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	85
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	85
Justin Lehr R 2005 · 4.58 FIP	27	SU	4.58	14.9%	10.4%	2.6%	.252	4.23	16.0%	8.0%	16	-0.35	4.23	148	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Chris Hatcher R 2012 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	15.2%	9.1%	4.8%	.298	2.68	26.4%	20.9%	95	-2.92	2.51	246	83
Fernery Ozuna R 2023 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	19.0%	11.6%	4.9%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	157	83
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	83
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	83
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	18.1%	11.8%	1.40	5.42
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*