Jack Mahoney P Lansing Lugnuts
Age 27 LHP 6'8" / 230 lbs A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%21.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.27 (44 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202526A+Lansing Lugnuts20034161342110%1.716.3%15.0%1.3%0.9%5.294.13
202526A+Lansing Lugnuts20034161342110%1.721.1%13.0%8.1%0.6%5.293.34
▸ 2026 Season
202627A+Lansing Lugnuts21024112211430%1.114.4%14.4%0.1%3.3%4.505.54-0.3
ROS27MLBOAK190208518920%1.121.7%10.7%11.0%2.7%4.514.51+0.0
ROS27MLBOAK021.7%10.7%11.0%2.7%4.514.51
2026 TOT27MLBOAK441973923520.0%11.7%8.3%2.7%4.505.07-0.3
2026 FULL27MLBOAK0000021.7%10.7%11.0%2.7%4.514.13+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBOAK190208418920%1.121.7%10.7%11.0%2.9%4.544.58-0.0
202728MLBOAK707306310%1.021.7%10.7%11.0%2.9%4.544.58-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.121.7%10.7%11.0%2.9%4.544.20+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418881270%1.121.7%10.7%11.0%2.9%4.544.20+2.8
Career41058273424050%1.415.5%14.7%0.8%1.9%4.974.71-0.1
/ 200 IP1410200941146139180%1.415.5%14.7%0.8%1.9%4.974.71+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jack Mahoney (OGILVIE) 4.51 21.7%10.7%2.7% 4.58 21.7%11.0%20 +0.07
Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 17.8%9.7%1.5%.321 3.39 19.2%13.8%66 -0.23 2.95 101 82
Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 81
Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.32 FIP 27 SU 3.32 21.9%11.1%1.2%.368 3.66 21.7%11.5%100 +0.34 3.04 153 81
Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 23.8%9.0%2.2%.259 5.31 16.5%-3.3%54 +1.85 3.46 154 81
Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 81
Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP 25 SU 4.08 18.6%10.8%2.2%.317 3.85 104 81
Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP 26 SU 3.97 19.3%9.6%2.4%.197 4.72 14.9%1.0%46 +0.75 3.97 133 80
Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 80
Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 79
Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP 26 SU 4.66 17.7%14.1%2.3%.318 2.63 25.0%17.4%80 -2.03 1.67 421 79
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 22.9%13.5%1.8%.317 4.79 19.4%6.7%129 +0.91 3.88 269 79
Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 79
Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.49 FIP 29 SU 3.49 24.1%13.0%1.4%.225 3.53 23.7%14.0%86 +0.04 2.29 130 78
Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.25 FIP 27 SU 4.25 17.7%11.0%2.3%.289 5.86 19.8%2.0%40 +1.61 4.10 118 78
Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 78
A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 22.7%12.4%1.6%.311 3.64 203 78
Keith Hessler L 2026 · 3.33 FIP 27 SU 3.33 19.0%9.3%1.2%.305 4.87 17.8%5.2%98 +1.54 3.33 228 78
Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 27 SU 4.26 17.9%8.5%2.9%.281 3.91 20.1%10.8%34 -0.35 2.34 338 78
Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 17.9%9.7%2.7%.273 2.91 141 78
Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 27 SU 4.69 24.6%11.0%4.1%.296 2.67 29.5%21.7%40 -2.02 2.51 160 78