Austin Cox
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 29
LHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 169 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126135vR 144
ERA5.36
FIP5.59
K%18.0%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP169
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 169 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p1018.4%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.370
CU (18%)
CT-2.5 (3%)
SL-2.7 (33%)
FB-6.7 (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 9 | 9 | 33 | 143 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 1.0% | 3.78 | 3.25 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 9 | 9 | 33 | 143 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 35.7% | 10.5% | 25.2% | 0.7% | 3.78 | 1.78 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 131 | 534 | 129 | 38 | 11 | 96% | 5.4 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 2.76 | 4.18 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 131 | 534 | 129 | 38 | 11 | 96% | 5.4 | 24.2% | 7.1% | 17.0% | 2.1% | 2.76 | 3.09 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 16 | 68 | 291 | 60 | 30 | 11 | 94% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.10 | 5.18 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 16 | 68 | 291 | 60 | 30 | 11 | 94% | 4.0 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 4.10 | 4.76 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 29 | 24 | 147 | 648 | 105 | 50 | 20 | 83% | 5.1 | 14.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.21 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 29 | 24 | 147 | 648 | 105 | 50 | 20 | 83% | 5.1 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.46 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 12 | 83 | 344 | 72 | 38 | 14 | 33% | 2.3 | 19.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.01 | 5.61 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 12 | 83 | 344 | 72 | 38 | 14 | 33% | 2.3 | 20.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 4.01 | 4.93 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 5 | 61 | 269 | 65 | 40 | 8 | 12% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 16.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 4.92 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 5 | 61 | 269 | 65 | 40 | 8 | 12% | 1.4 | 24.2% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 4.65 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 61 | 280 | 58 | 24 | 14 | 5% | 1.4 | 19.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 5.87 | 5.54 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 61 | 280 | 58 | 24 | 14 | 5% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 5.87 | 5.35 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 167 | 0 | 175 | 739 | 133 | 81 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.36 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 157 | 0 | 164 | 695 | 123 | 76 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.49 | 5.67 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 146 | 0 | 153 | 648 | 112 | 72 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.63 | 5.79 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 45 | 28 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.49 | 5.67 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 62 | 40 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.63 | 5.79 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 4 | 202 | 863 | 162 | 92 | 37 | 2% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 5.74 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 4 | 200 | 855 | 160 | 91 | 37 | 2% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 5.74 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 201 | 91 | 584 | 2509 | 453 | 253 | 91 | 45% | 2.9 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.84 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 31 | 200 | 859 | 155 | 87 | 31 | 45% | 2.9 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Cox (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.59 | 18.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% | — | 5.73 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 318 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 73 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 72 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 70 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 68 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 67 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 65 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 65 |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 64 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2025 · 6.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.63 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 179 | 63 |
| Colten Schmidt L 2024 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 163 | 62 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.80 | 19.5% | 14.8% | 4.5% | .394 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 307 | 62 |
| Kyle Hart L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.32 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .286 | 4.42 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 196 | -0.90 | 3.64 | 856 | 61 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 60 |
| Miguel Pena L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.94 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 282 | 60 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .336 | 4.86 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 69 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 523 | 59 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 59 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 59 |
| Josh Outman L 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 59 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2024 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 58 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.79 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | .334 | 5.49 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 92 | +0.70 | 2.82 | 845 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 164 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 1.62 | 5.49 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |