Austin Cox
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
AAA
ERA5.65
FIP5.23
xFIP4.01
SIERA3.70
K%20.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.6%
IP60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p1018.4%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.370
CU (18%)
CT-2.5 (3%)
SL-2.7 (33%)
FB-6.7 (36%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 9 | 9 | 33 | 143 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 24.3% | 13.1% | 1.0% | 3.78 | 3.25 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 24 | 23 | 131 | 534 | 129 | 38 | 11 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 2.76 | 4.11 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 17 | 16 | 68 | 291 | 60 | 30 | 11 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 4.10 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 29 | 24 | 147 | 648 | 105 | 50 | 20 | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.21 | 4.81 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 36 | 12 | 83 | 344 | 72 | 38 | 14 | 19.6% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 4.01 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 42 | 5 | 61 | 269 | 65 | 40 | 8 | 21.1% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 3.86 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 44 | 2 | 61 | 280 | 58 | 24 | 14 | 19.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.87 | 5.49 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.91 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 59 | — | 59 | 247 | 45 | 26 | 10 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 5.62 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 56 | — | 56 | 239 | 43 | 25 | 10 | 17.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 5.53 | 5.52 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 40 | 25 | 9 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 5.54 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 37 | 24 | 9 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.61 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 16.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 5.73 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 5.87 | 5.97 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 14.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 6.03 | 6.13 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 201 | 91 | 584 | 2509 | 453 | 253 | 88 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 3.96 | 4.79 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 31 | 200 | 859 | 155 | 87 | 30 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 3.96 | 4.79 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Cox (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.54 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | — | 5.54 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 169 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 78 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 78 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 78 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 77 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 77 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 76 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.88 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 200 | 74 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 72 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.62 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | .256 | 3.71 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 90 | -1.91 | 2.38 | 306 | 71 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.28 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 3.9% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.28 | 128 | 71 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 71 |
| Brian Duensing L 2029 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 70 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 70 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.72 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .329 | 3.96 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.76 | 1.36 | 350 | 70 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.50 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 188 | 70 |
| Tyler Webb L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .178 | 4.71 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 60 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 337 | 69 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.03 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | .317 | 4.78 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.78 | 327 | 69 |
| Travis Wood L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.56 | 18.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .211 | 5.71 | 14.9% | 4.6% | 94 | +1.15 | 3.08 | 256 | 69 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.14 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 182 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.