Nick Sandlin
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 29
RHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA3.98
FIP4.27
K%25.9%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (9%)
FB-0.8 (22%)
SL-0.9 (54%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 0 | 24 | 96 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 37.5% | 3.1% | 34.4% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 0.33 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 25 | 0 | 24 | 96 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 37.5% | 3.1% | 34.4% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 0.48 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.2% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 4.4% | 2.39 | 4.17 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.9% | 11.6% | 22.3% | 3.6% | 2.39 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 34 | 0 | 34 | 141 | 48 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.0% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 1.4% | 2.94 | 2.53 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 34 | 0 | 34 | 141 | 48 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.0% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 1.4% | 2.94 | 2.54 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 44 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 2.79 | 3.27 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 44 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 2.79 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 61 | 0 | 60 | 239 | 66 | 23 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 5.0% | 3.75 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 61 | 0 | 60 | 239 | 66 | 23 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 5.0% | 3.75 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 1 | 59 | 250 | 68 | 26 | 12 | 1% | 0.9 | 27.6% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 4.9% | 3.68 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 1 | 59 | 250 | 68 | 26 | 12 | 1% | 0.9 | 27.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.68 | 4.77 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 4% | 0.8 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 4% | 0.8 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 4.50 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 36 | 0 | 46 | 200 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.86 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | LAA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | LAA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 93 | 397 | 97 | 47 | 12 | — | — | 24.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.21 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 55 | 234 | 97 | 47 | 12 | — | — | 41.5% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 5.2% | 7.42 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 53 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 4.83 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 46 | 0 | 49 | 205 | 48 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 5.09 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.34 | 5.51 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 4.83 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 5.09 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.34 | 5.51 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 412 | 1 | 405 | 1697 | 434 | 188 | 64 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 3.8% | 4.10 | 4.40 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 0 | 200 | 837 | 214 | 93 | 32 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 3.8% | 4.10 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 324 | 2 | 317 | 1328 | 365 | 139 | 41 | 1% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.55 | 3.80 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 1 | 200 | 837 | 230 | 87 | 26 | 1% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.55 | 3.80 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Sandlin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 26.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% | — | 5.25 | 23.6% | 12.1% | 146 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 78 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.54 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.28 | 4.26 | 258 | 74 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 74 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 74 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 73 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 73 |
| Cody Allen R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.22 | 27.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .281 | 7.59 | 25.0% | 7.8% | 23 | +3.37 | 1.58 | 295 | 73 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 73 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 72 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 72 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 72 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 72 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 71 |
| Jacob Barnes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .303 | 3.55 | 23.1% | 15.1% | 101 | -1.50 | 1.88 | 551 | 71 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.35 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 158 | 71 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.01 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 264 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 24.3% | 11.3% | 1.57 | 4.87 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |