Nick Sandlin
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.1
WAR
Age 29
RHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.13
FIP4.52
xFIP5.66
SIERA4.79
K%25.3%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%15.3%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF6565
CTRL3535
CMD5050
K†6060
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p9035.7%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
SI (9%)
FB-0.8 (22%)
SL-0.9 (54%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 25 | 0 | 24 | 96 | 36 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 29.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 2.39 | 3.74 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 34 | 0 | 34 | 141 | 48 | 17 | 2 | 34.0% | 12.1% | 1.4% | 2.94 | 2.49 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 51 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 44 | 24 | 3 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 1.3% | 2.79 | 3.34 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 61 | 0 | 60 | 239 | 66 | 23 | 12 | 27.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.75 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 69 | 1 | 59 | 250 | 68 | 26 | 12 | 27.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 3.68 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 24 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.50 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.62 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.14 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 34 | 144 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.49 | 3.54 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 27 | — | 27 | 113 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 4.49 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 295 | 2 | 279 | 1163 | 323 | 116 | 35 | 27.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 3.39 | 3.67 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 1 | 200 | 834 | 232 | 83 | 25 | 27.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 3.39 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Sandlin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% | — | 4.72 | 24.5% | 14.0% | 27 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 80 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.40 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 74 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 74 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 74 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 72 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 264 | 72 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 72 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 71 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.60 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .328 | 4.66 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.06 | 2.39 | 676 | 71 |
| Cody Allen R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.10 | 27.7% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .281 | 7.47 | 25.0% | 7.8% | 23 | +3.37 | 1.58 | 295 | 71 |
| Erik Goeddel R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.43 | 28.4% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.02 | 193 | 71 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 71 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 158 | 70 |
| Andrew Triggs R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.76 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.66 | 242 | 70 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.