Nick Sandlin — OGILVIE

Nick Sandlin P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 29 RHP 5'11" / 175 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA3.99

FIP4.28

K%25.7%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%15.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6060

SI (9%)

FB-0.8 (22%)

SL-0.9 (54%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	0	24	96	36	3	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	3.1%	34.4%	0.0%	3.00	0.33	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	0	24	96	36	3	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	3.1%	34.4%	0.0%	3.00	0.48	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	26	112	38	13	4	0%	1.1	29.2%	8.8%	20.4%	3.7%	2.39	3.79	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	26	112	38	13	4	0%	1.1	33.9%	11.6%	22.3%	3.6%	2.39	3.67	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	34	0	34	141	48	17	2	0%	1.0	34.0%	12.1%	22.0%	1.4%	2.94	2.53	+0.8
2021	24	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	34	0	34	141	48	17	2	0%	1.0	34.0%	12.1%	22.0%	1.4%	2.94	2.54	+0.8
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	48	199	44	24	3	0%	0.9	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	1.1%	2.79	3.27	+0.7
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	48	199	44	24	3	0%	0.9	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	1.5%	2.79	3.58	+0.6
2023	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	61	0	60	239	66	23	12	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.75	4.75	-0.1
2023	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	61	0	60	239	66	23	12	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.75	4.75	-0.1
2023	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	61	0	60	239	66	23	12	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.75	4.65	-0.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.6%	10.2%	17.5%	4.9%	3.68	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.6%	10.2%	17.5%	4.9%	3.68	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.2%	10.4%	16.8%	4.8%	3.68	4.77	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.9%	4.50	4.20	+0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.9%	4.50	4.20	+0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	4.4%	4.50	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			236	1	220	915	245	99	32	0%	0.9	26.8%	10.8%	16.0%	3.5%	3.51	4.11	+1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	45	1	58	244	61	29	6	2%	1.3	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	2.2%	4.21	3.74	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	45	1	58	244	61	29	6	2%	1.3	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	2.2%	4.21	3.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	LAA	37	1	49	204	55	24	4	3%	1.3	27.0%	11.8%	15.2%	2.0%	2.94	3.39	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	LAA	8	0	9	40	6	5	2	0%	1.1	15.0%	12.5%	2.5%	5.0%	11.42	6.16	—
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	LAA	8	0	9	40	6	5	2	0%	1.1	15.0%	12.5%	2.5%	5.0%	11.42	6.16	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	LAA	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.7%	15.0%	3.7%	3.99	4.28	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	LAA	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.7%	15.0%	3.7%	3.99	4.28	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	63	265	66	31	7	—	—	25.1%	11.8%	13.3%	2.6%	4.20	3.78	+0.6
FULL	29	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	14	58	66	31	7	—	—	114.9%	54.1%	60.9%	11.7%	19.21	6.68	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	LAA	50	0	52	220	53	25	9	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.2%	13.1%	4.0%	4.83	5.03	-0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	49	205	48	24	9	0%	1.1	23.6%	11.5%	12.0%	4.2%	5.09	5.26	-0.4
2029	32	MLB MLE	LAA	43	0	45	190	43	23	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	11.9%	10.8%	4.5%	5.34	5.51	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	LAA	47	0	49	207	50	23	8	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.2%	13.1%	4.0%	4.83	5.03	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	LAA	44	0	46	194	46	22	8	0%	1.0	23.6%	11.5%	12.0%	4.2%	5.09	5.26	-0.4
2029	32	MLB CTX	LAA	41	0	43	182	41	22	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	11.9%	10.8%	4.5%	5.34	5.51	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		373	1	364	1521	388	169	57	0%	1.0	25.5%	11.1%	14.4%	3.8%	4.11	4.42	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		205	1	200	836	213	93	31	0%	1.0	25.5%	11.1%	14.4%	3.8%	4.11	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		333	3	329	1372	373	138	41	1%	1.0	27.2%	10.0%	17.1%	3.0%	3.48	3.70	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		203	2	200	835	227	84	25	1%	1.0	27.2%	10.0%	17.1%	3.0%	3.48	3.70	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Sandlin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	26.3%	10.7%	3.7%	—	5.25	23.6%	12.1%	146	+0.62	—	—	—
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	79
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	78
J.J. Hoover R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	27.4%	12.7%	3.5%	.360	6.40	17.2%	8.0%	96	+2.08	4.22	258	78
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	76
Cody Allen R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	27.7%	10.7%	3.8%	.281	7.35	25.0%	7.8%	23	+3.13	1.58	295	76
Jacob Barnes R 2019 · 5.09 FIP	29	SU	5.09	21.9%	10.0%	4.7%	.303	3.54	23.1%	15.1%	101	-1.55	1.84	551	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	74
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	74
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	73
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	73
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	73
Erik Goeddel R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	29	SU	3.45	28.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	2.01	193	73
Justin Miller R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	29	SU	3.74	20.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.353	4.72	22.5%	16.5%	127	+0.98	2.63	279	72
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	72
Zach McAllister R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	29	SU	3.70	26.5%	8.4%	3.2%	.292	4.70	21.4%	16.7%	57	+1.00	2.82	363	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	24.3%	11.3%	1.57	4.87
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05