Daniel Harper — OGILVIE

Daniel Harper P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%18.6%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	7	0	8	36	7	3	0	0%	1.2	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	0.0%	1.08	2.51	—
2022	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	7	0	8	36	7	3	0	0%	1.2	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	0.0%	1.08	2.50	—
2023	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	34	163	27	25	1	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.1%	-5.8%	0.8%	6.42	4.80	—
2023	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	34	163	27	25	1	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.1%	-5.8%	0.8%	6.42	4.80	—
2023	24	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	34	163	27	25	1	0%	1.5	16.6%	15.3%	1.2%	0.6%	6.42	4.11	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	51	208	61	18	3	0%	1.2	23.0%	9.7%	13.3%	1.7%	2.82	3.30	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	51	208	61	18	3	0%	1.2	23.0%	9.7%	13.3%	1.7%	2.82	3.30	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	51	208	61	18	3	0%	1.2	29.3%	8.7%	20.7%	1.4%	2.82	2.53	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	27	120	28	13	5	0%	1.1	14.4%	10.8%	3.6%	7.7%	6.26	7.50	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	27	120	28	13	5	0%	1.1	14.4%	10.8%	3.6%	7.7%	6.26	7.50	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	27	120	28	13	5	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	4.2%	6.26	4.86	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	41	0	47	212	40	33	7	0%	1.2	15.4%	16.1%	-0.7%	3.9%	5.13	5.99	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	41	0	47	212	40	33	7	0%	1.2	15.4%	16.1%	-0.7%	3.9%	5.13	5.99	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	PHI	30	0	37	158	31	22	6	0%	1.2	19.6%	13.9%	5.7%	3.8%	4.66	5.29	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	PHI	11	0	11	54	9	11	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	20.4%	-3.7%	1.9%	6.75	5.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	16	9	3	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.1%	3.5%	5.13	5.16	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	PHI	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.8%	8.1%	3.5%	5.13	5.16	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	6	3	1	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.1%	3.5%	5.13	4.78	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	80	27	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.1%	3.5%	5.13	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		140	0	168	739	125	100	22	0%	1.2	16.9%	13.5%	3.4%	3.0%	4.67	5.05	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		167	0	200	882	149	119	27	0%	1.2	16.9%	13.5%	3.4%	3.0%	4.67	5.05	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Harper (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	18.6%	10.8%	3.4%	—	5.16	18.9%	8.1%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	87
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	84
Michael Blazek R 2016 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	17.9%	11.9%	3.3%	.336	4.43	17.5%	8.0%	124	-0.49	2.99	221	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	82
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	80
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	80
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	80
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	80
Jonathan Aro R 2018 · 3.97 FIP	27	SU	3.97	17.3%	10.9%	1.7%	.280	3.28	12.7%	9.3%	64	-0.69	2.57	323	80