Brett Schulze prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brett Schulze P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%24.5%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%12.3%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	2	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	1.5	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.95	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	2	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	1.5	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	26	107	34	11	2	0%	1.2	23.8%	12.5%	11.3%	2.6%	3.16	4.10	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	0	26	107	34	11	2	0%	1.2	31.8%	10.3%	21.5%	1.9%	3.16	2.75	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	57	249	80	40	5	2%	1.2	26.6%	15.7%	10.9%	2.2%	4.26	4.07	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	57	249	80	40	5	2%	1.2	26.6%	15.7%	10.9%	2.2%	4.26	4.07	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	1	57	249	80	40	5	2%	1.2	32.1%	16.1%	16.1%	2.0%	4.26	3.54	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.5%	12.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	36	0	38	159	38	19	5	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.63	4.68	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	11	0	12	51	12	6	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.63	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	12	6	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.63	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	34	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.63	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		70	1	86	367	95	53	8	1%	1.2	25.8%	14.6%	11.2%	2.3%	3.78	4.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	2	200	857	221	125	19	1%	1.2	25.8%	14.6%	11.2%	2.3%	3.78	4.01	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brett Schulze (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	24.5%	12.2%	3.0%	—	4.68	24.2%	12.0%	38	+0.11	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	85
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	85
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	85
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	84
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	82
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	81
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	80
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	80
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Greg Aquino R 2006 · 4.41 FIP	28	SU	4.41	23.2%	10.0%	3.6%	.331	4.39	17.4%	5.6%	30	-0.02	4.10	154	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	24.4%	12.2%	1.17	4.60
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17