Erick Pinales — OGILVIE

Erick Pinales P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%22.3%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	6	21	90	24	18	0	55%	1.9	18.1%	25.0%	-6.9%	0.0%	3.48	4.74	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	11	6	21	90	24	18	0	55%	1.9	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	3.48	3.39	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	17	8	42	197	30	34	1	47%	2.5	10.4%	21.6%	-11.2%	0.7%	5.53	5.35	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	17	8	42	197	30	34	1	47%	2.5	15.2%	17.3%	-2.0%	0.5%	5.53	4.40	—
2021	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	12	0	17	85	14	18	0	0%	1.4	12.2%	25.0%	-12.8%	0.0%	4.76	5.24	—
2021	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	12	0	17	85	14	18	0	0%	1.4	16.5%	21.2%	-4.7%	0.0%	4.76	4.63	—
2022	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	34	0	43	198	62	44	1	0%	1.3	23.2%	26.2%	-3.1%	0.5%	3.14	4.75	—
2022	23	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	34	0	43	198	62	44	1	0%	1.3	31.3%	22.2%	9.1%	0.5%	3.14	3.59	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	0	38	169	41	25	5	0%	1.1	18.7%	17.0%	1.7%	4.2%	3.76	5.98	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	0	38	169	41	25	5	0%	1.1	24.3%	14.8%	9.5%	3.0%	3.76	4.61	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	34	0	39	190	48	33	3	0%	1.1	19.5%	20.0%	-0.5%	2.2%	6.23	5.21	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	34	0	39	190	48	33	3	0%	1.1	19.5%	20.0%	-0.5%	2.2%	6.23	5.21	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	34	0	39	190	48	33	3	0%	1.1	25.3%	17.4%	7.9%	1.6%	6.23	4.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	DET	22	0	23	97	22	13	3	0%	1.0	22.3%	13.5%	8.8%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	21	0	22	93	21	12	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.96	5.01	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.96	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	7	28	6	4	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.96	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	120	30	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.96	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		143	14	200	929	161	205	14	10%	1.4	17.4%	22.1%	-4.7%	1.5%	4.54	5.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	14	200	927	161	205	14	10%	1.4	17.4%	22.1%	-4.7%	1.5%	4.54	5.24	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erick Pinales (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	22.3%	13.5%	3.0%	—	5.01	22.2%	8.9%	22	+0.07	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	80
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	80
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	80
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	79
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	79
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	79
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	78
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	78
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	78
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	78
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	77