Williander Moreno prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Williander Moreno P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%18.1%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	19	9	57	234	47	14	4	47%	3.0	13.7%	7.5%	6.2%	2.4%	3.61	4.21	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	19	9	57	234	47	14	4	47%	3.0	20.1%	6.0%	14.1%	1.7%	3.61	3.10	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	7	0	8	41	5	7	2	0%	1.2	12.2%	17.1%	-4.9%	4.9%	5.40	6.91	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	7	0	8	41	5	7	2	0%	1.2	12.2%	17.1%	-4.9%	4.9%	5.40	7.54	—
2021	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	2	57	245	67	21	8	8%	2.3	20.2%	10.1%	10.1%	4.5%	3.16	5.16	—
2021	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	2	57	245	67	21	8	8%	2.3	27.3%	8.6%	18.8%	3.3%	3.16	3.68	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	71	308	70	16	6	20%	2.4	17.6%	6.0%	11.5%	1.5%	3.18	3.20	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	71	308	70	16	6	20%	2.4	22.7%	5.2%	17.5%	1.9%	3.18	2.90	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	14	71	336	43	24	11	45%	2.3	9.6%	7.7%	1.9%	5.0%	6.18	5.99	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	14	71	336	43	24	11	45%	2.3	9.6%	7.7%	1.9%	5.0%	6.18	5.99	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	14	71	336	43	24	11	45%	2.3	12.8%	7.1%	5.7%	3.3%	6.18	4.91	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	DET	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.1%	8.4%	9.7%	3.1%	4.71	4.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	44	0	47	197	36	17	6	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.72	4.76	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	42	0	45	188	35	17	6	0%	1.1	18.6%	8.9%	9.7%	3.3%	4.79	4.86	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	16	0	17	72	13	6	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.72	4.76	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	24	0	25	106	20	9	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.9%	9.7%	3.3%	4.79	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	0	42	176	33	15	6	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.8%	9.7%	3.3%	4.76	4.44	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	72	29	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.8%	9.7%	3.3%	4.76	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		112	31	265	1164	173	94	40	28%	2.4	14.8%	8.0%	6.8%	3.4%	4.15	4.75	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	23	200	880	131	71	30	28%	2.4	14.8%	8.0%	6.8%	3.4%	4.15	4.75	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Williander Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	18.1%	8.4%	3.1%	—	4.81	18.5%	9.8%	91	+0.10	—	—	—
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	88
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	87
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	83
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	82
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	81
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	81
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	81
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	77
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	77
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	77
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	76
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	76
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	76
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	76
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2018 · 4.86 FIP	27	SU	4.86	14.1%	8.3%	3.5%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	237	75
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	18.4%	8.6%	1.23	4.74
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41