Luis Barroso prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Luis Barroso P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 165 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%19.5%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	12	11	43	183	35	9	0	92%	3.6	13.0%	6.1%	6.9%	0.0%	2.08	2.78	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 1	12	11	43	183	35	9	0	92%	3.6	19.1%	4.9%	14.2%	0.0%	2.08	2.11	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	14	6	56	229	67	9	5	43%	4.0	19.9%	4.9%	15.0%	3.1%	3.54	3.72	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	14	6	56	229	67	9	5	43%	4.0	29.3%	3.9%	25.3%	2.2%	3.54	2.35	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Blue	1	0	1	7	0	1	1	0%	1.0	0.0%	14.3%	-14.3%	14.3%	27.00	12.75	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Royals Blue	1	0	1	7	0	1	1	0%	1.0	0.0%	14.3%	-14.3%	14.3%	27.00	19.10	—
2022	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	36	0	52	223	59	14	6	0%	1.4	19.6%	7.4%	12.2%	3.1%	5.23	4.07	—
2022	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	36	0	52	223	59	14	6	0%	1.4	26.5%	6.3%	20.2%	2.7%	5.23	3.14	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	48	210	26	14	8	4%	2.1	8.3%	7.8%	0.5%	4.8%	5.59	6.03	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	48	210	26	14	8	4%	2.1	8.3%	7.8%	0.5%	4.8%	5.59	6.03	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	1	48	210	26	14	8	4%	2.1	12.4%	6.7%	5.7%	3.8%	5.59	5.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	KC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.5%	8.7%	10.8%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	KC	22	0	24	99	20	9	3	0%	1.1	19.7%	8.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	KC	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	8.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	7	3	1	0%	1.1	19.7%	8.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	70	23	0%	1.1	19.7%	8.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		86	18	200	852	130	56	25	21%	2.3	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.27	4.25	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	18	200	851	130	56	25	21%	2.3	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.27	4.25	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Barroso (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	19.5%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.66	19.7%	10.9%	24	+0.05	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	81
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	81
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Cristhian Martinez R 2009 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.1%	6.2%	1.8%	.294	3.46	19.8%	14.7%	177	-0.05	3.09	204	78
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	78
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	76
Lance Carter R 2002 · 3.63 FIP	27	SU	3.63	17.7%	5.1%	2.5%	.220	4.80	11.6%	6.3%	216	+1.17	3.63	248	76
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	76
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	76
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	76
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	75
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	75
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	75
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	75
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	75
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	75
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	74