Omar Cruz

P San Antonio Missions

Age 28 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	34	7	86	3.96	2.22	32.3%	9.9%	—	K 26.8% · BB 9.6% · FIP 2.77
2025	26	MIX2 levels	33	11	87	4.76	4.31	23.4%	14.6%	0.2	K 20.0% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.53
2026	27	MIX2 levels	21	2	33	5.23	3.74	35.2%	10.3%	—	K 30.9% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.79
2027PROJ	28	MLBSD	56	0	59	4.67	4.67	23.4%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSD	17	0	18	4.72	4.77	23.2%	12.3%	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBSD	26	0	27	4.82	4.91	22.9%	12.4%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control35Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMatt Whitehouse (age 28) · Chad Bell (age 28) · Tommy Vail (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%23.4%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5555

FB+0.8 (62%)

CU (11%)

SL (1%)

CH-1.1 (26%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	5	5	20	89	30	6	0	100%	4.0	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	0.0%	1.80	2.23	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 1	5	5	20	89	30	6	0	100%	4.0	33.7%	6.7%	27.0%	0.0%	1.80	1.00	—
2019	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	10	10	49	199	62	13	1	100%	4.9	23.1%	7.7%	15.3%	0.6%	2.76	2.44	—
2019	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	10	10	49	199	62	13	1	100%	4.9	31.2%	6.5%	24.6%	0.5%	2.76	1.63	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	99	419	98	36	10	100%	4.7	18.6%	9.6%	9.0%	2.8%	3.44	4.27	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	99	419	98	36	10	100%	4.7	23.4%	8.6%	14.8%	2.4%	3.44	3.52	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	23	5	63	284	69	28	9	22%	2.7	19.7%	10.8%	8.8%	3.5%	5.03	4.74	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	23	5	63	284	69	28	9	22%	2.7	24.3%	9.9%	14.4%	3.2%	5.03	4.11	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	1	48	216	44	30	2	4%	1.8	16.5%	15.3%	1.2%	1.0%	3.94	4.19	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	27	1	48	216	44	30	2	4%	1.8	20.4%	13.9%	6.5%	0.9%	3.94	3.68	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	26.8%	9.6%	17.3%	1.3%	3.96	2.77	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	26.8%	9.6%	17.3%	1.3%	3.96	2.77	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	32.3%	9.9%	22.5%	1.1%	3.96	2.22	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	20.0%	13.1%	6.9%	2.7%	4.76	4.53	+0.0
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	20.0%	13.1%	6.9%	2.7%	4.76	4.53	+0.0
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	2.3%	4.76	4.31	+0.2
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	33	145	51	15	6	10%	1.6	30.9%	8.4%	22.5%	4.1%	5.23	3.79	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	33	145	51	15	6	10%	1.6	30.9%	8.4%	22.5%	4.1%	5.23	3.79	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	33	145	51	15	6	10%	1.6	35.2%	10.3%	24.8%	4.1%	5.23	3.74	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	4	18	5	3	0	0%	1.8	27.8%	16.7%	11.1%	0.0%	4.91	2.83	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SD	56	0	59	249	58	31	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.4%	11.0%	2.9%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	56	237	55	29	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.77	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	SD	50	0	53	223	51	28	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.4%	10.5%	3.3%	4.82	4.91	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	17	0	18	76	18	9	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.77	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	SD	26	0	27	114	26	14	4	0%	1.0	22.9%	12.4%	10.5%	3.3%	4.82	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	48	207	48	26	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.79	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	0	200	855	198	107	25	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.79	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		174	62	485	2114	458	226	46	36%	2.8	21.7%	10.7%	11.0%	2.2%	4.01	3.82	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	872	189	93	19	36%	2.8	21.7%	10.7%	11.0%	2.2%	4.01	3.82	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Omar Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	23.4%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.84	23.0%	10.7%	109	+0.17	—	—	—
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	80
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	76
Tommy Vail L 2024 · 3.65 FIP	25	SW	3.65	27.5%	15.3%	1.7%	.237	5.19	19.5%	2.9%	99	+1.54	3.65	168	76
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	73
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	72
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	71
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	70
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	69
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	67
Colton Turner L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	28	SW	4.23	22.4%	9.2%	3.4%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	325	67
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	66
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	66
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	66
Hector Mercado L 2002 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	23.1%	13.3%	1.2%	.278	6.59	17.4%	3.4%	19	+3.12	3.47	125	65
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	65
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	64
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	64
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	64
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	63
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	23.3%	12.5%	1.16	4.74
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12