Ernesto Jaquez

P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	21	13	76	6.13	5.13	21.7%	13.1%	—	K 16.5% · BB 15.2% · FIP 6.27
2023	24	A+CWS	21	0	37	5.30	4.87	19.1%	13.0%	—	K 14.7% · BB 14.9% · FIP 5.83
2024	25	A+CWS	15	0	22	8.72	5.32	23.7%	18.4%	—	K 18.2% · BB 21.2% · FIP 6.45
2027PROJ	28	MLBCWS	12	0	13	4.84	4.84	22.4%	12.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	29	MLBCWS	6	0	6	4.87	4.92	22.3%	12.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Thad Weber (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%22.4%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.8%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	5	2	13	59	16	8	1	40%	2.7	18.4%	16.9%	1.5%	2.4%	1.35	4.99	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	5	2	13	59	16	8	1	40%	2.7	27.1%	13.6%	13.6%	1.7%	1.35	3.48	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	14	5	53	192	70	14	1	36%	3.8	24.8%	9.1%	15.7%	0.7%	0.51	2.56	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	14	5	53	192	70	14	1	36%	3.8	36.5%	7.3%	29.2%	0.5%	0.51	1.50	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	37	179	47	28	8	0%	1.4	19.8%	18.3%	1.5%	4.9%	7.05	6.46	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	37	179	47	28	8	0%	1.4	26.3%	15.6%	10.6%	4.5%	7.05	5.64	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	76	350	76	46	13	62%	3.6	16.5%	15.2%	1.3%	4.8%	6.13	6.27	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	13	76	350	76	46	13	62%	3.6	21.7%	13.1%	8.6%	3.7%	6.13	5.13	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	21	0	37	162	31	21	5	0%	1.8	14.7%	14.9%	-0.2%	3.8%	5.30	5.83	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	21	0	37	162	31	21	5	0%	1.8	19.1%	13.0%	6.2%	3.1%	5.30	4.87	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	22	114	27	21	3	0%	1.4	18.2%	21.2%	-2.9%	4.0%	8.72	6.45	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	22	114	27	21	3	0%	1.4	18.2%	21.2%	-2.9%	4.0%	8.72	6.45	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	15	0	22	114	27	21	3	0%	1.4	23.7%	18.4%	5.3%	2.6%	8.72	5.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CWS	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.6%	9.8%	3.0%	4.84	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.87	4.92	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.87	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.87	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.87	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		102	20	239	1056	196	162	39	20%	2.3	18.6%	15.3%	3.3%	3.7%	4.86	5.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	17	200	885	164	136	33	20%	2.3	18.6%	15.3%	3.3%	3.7%	4.86	5.51	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ernesto Jaquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	22.4%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.92	22.3%	9.8%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	75
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	75
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	72
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	72
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	72
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	72
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	72
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	72
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	72
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	71
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	71
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	71
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	71