Jose Betances prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Betances P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%22.8%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	5	0	3	18	1	8	0	0%	0.5	5.6%	44.4%	-38.9%	0.0%	3.38	8.26	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	5	0	3	18	1	8	0	0%	0.5	5.6%	44.4%	-38.9%	0.0%	3.38	11.35	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	10	0	11	53	6	9	0	0%	1.1	7.7%	21.2%	-13.5%	0.0%	6.75	5.14	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	10	0	11	53	6	9	0	0%	1.1	11.3%	17.0%	-5.7%	0.0%	6.75	4.51	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	18	0	19	116	17	35	1	0%	1.1	10.0%	37.7%	-27.7%	1.2%	11.64	7.70	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	18	0	19	116	17	35	1	0%	1.1	14.7%	30.2%	-15.5%	0.9%	11.64	7.44	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	0	39	192	53	37	4	0%	1.6	20.4%	22.7%	-2.3%	2.3%	6.75	5.52	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	0	39	192	53	37	4	0%	1.6	27.6%	19.3%	8.3%	2.1%	6.75	4.57	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	48	244	67	47	2	0%	1.3	21.5%	21.4%	0.2%	1.1%	5.62	4.59	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	48	244	67	47	2	0%	1.3	27.5%	19.3%	8.2%	0.8%	5.62	3.79	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	85	18	20	2	0%	1.0	18.7%	25.4%	-6.7%	1.7%	8.79	5.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	85	18	20	2	0%	1.0	18.7%	25.4%	-6.7%	1.7%	8.79	5.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	14	85	18	20	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	23.5%	-2.4%	2.4%	8.79	6.59	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.68	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	106	27	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		107	0	134	708	124	180	10	0%	1.2	17.6%	25.5%	-7.9%	1.4%	7.20	5.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	1059	186	270	15	0%	1.2	17.6%	25.5%	-7.9%	1.4%	7.20	5.62	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Betances (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	22.8%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.68	22.8%	11.3%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	84
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	84
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	84
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	83
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	83
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	83
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	83
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	82
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	82
Manny Acosta R 2007 · 4.05 FIP	26	SU	4.05	23.7%	14.0%	2.1%	.196	4.23	19.0%	9.1%	130	+0.18	3.08	350	82
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	81
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	81
Pedro Villarreal R 2014 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	19.4%	9.7%	1.5%	.233	3.86	15.3%	11.4%	102	+0.35	3.32	116	81
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	81