Clayton Andrews
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 29
LHP
5'6" / 160 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION19 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
xFIP10.70
SIERA2.62
K%23.8%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%12.0%
IP19
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
CH (60%)
SL (20%)
SI (13%)
FB-1.6 (20%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 19 | 0 | 33 | 132 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 29.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.18 | 3.13 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 39 | 0 | 59 | 242 | 77 | 25 | 5 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 3.19 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 7 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 4.82 | 4.00 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 9 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 42.2% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 7.84 | 1.50 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 52 | 1 | 60 | 260 | 78 | 32 | 7 | 27.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% | 3.88 | 3.72 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 23 | 1 | 26 | 121 | 31 | 23 | 5 | 22.8% | 20.4% | 2.8% | 7.52 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 23.4% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.66 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 149 | 2 | 199 | 842 | 229 | 106 | 21 | 27.2% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 2 | 200 | 848 | 231 | 107 | 21 | 27.2% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Clayton Andrews (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.73 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 81 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 79 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 77 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 77 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 77 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 77 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 76 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 76 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 75 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 75 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 3.67 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.64 | 1.52 | 350 | 74 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 74 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 74 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.1% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 160 | 74 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 686 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 73 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 73 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.27 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 32 | -0.55 | 3.80 | 158 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.