Tommy Romero
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 222 lbs
AAA
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
xFIP7.51
SIERA6.89
K%18.8%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%6.9%
IP74
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4545
SL-1.1
FB-6.5
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 2 | 43 | 164 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.76 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 25 | 25 | 128 | 523 | 131 | 51 | 11 | 18.5% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 2.95 | 4.44 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 24 | 19 | 125 | 488 | 104 | 38 | 5 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 1.1% | 2.15 | 3.41 | +2.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 23 | 21 | 110 | 435 | 145 | 31 | 10 | 28.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 2.61 | 3.09 | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 33 | 17 | 94 | 400 | 79 | 43 | 23 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 3.91 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 36 | 10 | 88 | 401 | 82 | 60 | 11 | 18.0% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 5.15 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 19 | 8 | 72 | 299 | 66 | 37 | 8 | 19.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 3.14 | 4.71 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 18 | 11 | 75 | 321 | 58 | 36 | 10 | 15.3% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 59 | 37 | 10 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 72 | 302 | 58 | 36 | 10 | 19.1% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 5.07 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 69 | 292 | 56 | 34 | 9 | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 5.07 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 53 | 33 | 9 | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 63 | 267 | 50 | 32 | 9 | 18.9% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 5.18 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 47 | 31 | 9 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 43 | 29 | 9 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 5.39 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 40 | 28 | 8 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 5.52 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 191 | 113 | 736 | 3031 | 588 | 336 | 80 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 4.31 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 824 | 160 | 91 | 22 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 4.31 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.12 | 19.1% | 7.4% | 207 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Jeffress R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.70 | 17.3% | 10.2% | 3.2% | .309 | 2.99 | 25.0% | 16.6% | 152 | -1.71 | 2.41 | 343 | 86 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 79 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 78 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 77 |
| Chris Roycroft R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.34 | 18.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 231 | 77 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 77 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 77 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 76 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.70 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 215 | 76 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 75 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 75 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 75 |
| Jeurys Familia R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.24 | 23.0% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.25 | 23.3% | 12.7% | 130 | +0.01 | 2.04 | 455 | 74 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 74 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.45 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 162 | 74 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.38 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 173 | 74 |
| Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.23 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.20 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -1.03 | 3.20 | 116 | 74 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.