Tommy Romero
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 222 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.07
FIP5.07
K%18.8%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-1.1
FB-6.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 2 | 43 | 164 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 15% | 3.3 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.76 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 2 | 43 | 164 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 15% | 3.3 | 31.1% | 9.1% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 1.78 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 25 | 25 | 128 | 523 | 131 | 51 | 11 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 2.95 | 4.39 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 25 | 25 | 128 | 523 | 131 | 51 | 11 | 100% | 5.1 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 2.95 | 3.37 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 125 | 488 | 104 | 38 | 5 | 79% | 5.2 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 2.15 | 3.46 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 125 | 488 | 104 | 38 | 5 | 79% | 5.2 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 1.0% | 2.15 | 2.87 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 110 | 435 | 145 | 31 | 10 | 91% | 4.8 | 28.1% | 7.6% | 20.5% | 2.5% | 2.61 | 3.08 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 110 | 435 | 145 | 31 | 10 | 91% | 4.8 | 33.3% | 7.1% | 26.2% | 2.3% | 2.61 | 2.49 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 17 | 94 | 400 | 79 | 43 | 23 | 52% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.91 | 5.19 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 17 | 94 | 400 | 79 | 43 | 23 | 52% | 2.9 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.91 | 5.96 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 36 | 10 | 88 | 401 | 82 | 60 | 11 | 28% | 2.4 | 18.0% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 5.06 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 36 | 10 | 88 | 401 | 82 | 60 | 11 | 28% | 2.4 | 20.4% | 15.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 19 | 8 | 72 | 299 | 66 | 37 | 8 | 42% | 3.8 | 19.4% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.14 | 4.69 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 19 | 8 | 72 | 299 | 66 | 37 | 8 | 42% | 3.8 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 3.14 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 11 | 75 | 321 | 58 | 36 | 10 | 61% | 4.2 | 15.3% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.40 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 11 | 75 | 321 | 58 | 36 | 10 | 61% | 4.2 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 5.40 | 4.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 52 | 218 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 48 | 205 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 6.9 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 45 | 191 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 42 | 176 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 7.0 | 18.6% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 28 | 118 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 7.0 | 18.6% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 13 | 79 | 344 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 87% | 5.3 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.83 | 6.01 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 32 | 200 | 867 | 159 | 116 | 43 | 87% | 5.3 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.83 | 6.01 | -1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 191 | 113 | 736 | 3031 | 588 | 336 | 77 | 59% | 3.9 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 3.40 | 4.25 | +9.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 824 | 160 | 91 | 21 | 59% | 3.9 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 3.40 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.0% | — | 5.32 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 136 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 71 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 69 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 68 |
| Mark Appel R 2027 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 67 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 67 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 67 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 67 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 66 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 66 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 66 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 66 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 65 |
| Aaron Brooks R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.78 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .281 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 8.8% | 70 | -0.48 | 3.61 | 879 | 65 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 65 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 65 |
| Scott McGregor R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 65 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 65 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 18.8% | 12.1% | 1.29 | 5.18 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |