Tyler Zuber
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 31
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
ERA7.34
FIP4.73
xFIP4.36
SIERA4.00
K%22.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.2%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL2020
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p1119.8%
K%
p5823.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.387
SI (12%)
FB (40%)
CH-0.8 (7%)
SL-1.7 (45%)
CT-2.6 (8%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | 19 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 3.62 | 2.12 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 43 | 0 | 51 | 211 | 70 | 11 | 5 | 24.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.88 | 3.49 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 43 | 0 | 55 | 215 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 24.9% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 1.79 | 2.62 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 23 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 30.3% | 19.2% | 4.1% | 4.09 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 59 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 68 | 29 | 9 | 26.3% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 4.50 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 16 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 37 | 0 | 41 | 189 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 23.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 6.37 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 41 | 2 | 50 | 230 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 21.0% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 6.84 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 6 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 28.8% | 18.2% | 8.5% | 7.84 | 7.62 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 22.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 7.73 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 51 | 222 | 56 | 29 | 10 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 7.75 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 22.2% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 6.14 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 5.55 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 21.0% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 5.38 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 20.3% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 5.39 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 5.51 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 287 | 3 | 334 | 1452 | 353 | 154 | 45 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.11 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 2 | 200 | 870 | 212 | 92 | 27 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.11 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Zuber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 22.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | — | 5.20 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 111 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 81 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 76 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 76 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .246 | 3.65 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.24 | 1.69 | 468 | 74 |
| Yu Darvish R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 27.2% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .282 | 3.52 | 30.5% | 24.0% | 421 | -1.04 | 1.99 | 1,253 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 71 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 69 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 69 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.01 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .276 | 3.38 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.63 | 3.38 | 129 | 69 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 69 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.48 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .293 | 3.45 | 27.6% | 18.2% | 147 | -1.03 | 3.02 | 363 | 69 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.33 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 200 | 69 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.08 | 25.0% | 17.0% | 3.5% | .292 | 4.53 | 27.3% | 16.6% | 53 | -0.55 | 2.55 | 266 | 69 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.89 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 332 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 68 |
| Jeff Manship R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 68 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 133 | 67 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 67 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.51 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | .268 | 4.51 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 136 | -0.00 | 2.86 | 596 | 67 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.16 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .301 | 7.43 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.27 | 2.91 | 334 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.