Tyler Zuber — OGILVIE

Tyler Zuber P Miami Marlins

Age 31 RHP 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10799vR 91

ERA4.28

FIP4.34

K%23.4%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p3623.3%

p6525.0%

xwOBA vs

p730.290

SI (12%)

FB (40%)

CH-0.8 (7%)

SL-1.7 (45%)

CT-2.6 (8%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	27	127	39	10	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	8.0%	15.5%	0.0%	3.62	2.12	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	27	127	39	10	0	0%	1.4	30.7%	7.9%	22.8%	0.0%	3.62	1.34	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	51	211	70	11	5	0%	1.2	24.9%	6.1%	18.8%	3.1%	3.88	3.47	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	51	211	70	11	5	0%	1.2	33.2%	5.2%	28.0%	2.4%	3.88	2.28	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	215	68	14	2	0%	1.3	24.9%	7.4%	17.5%	1.2%	1.79	2.61	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	55	215	68	14	2	0%	1.3	31.6%	6.5%	25.1%	0.9%	1.79	1.87	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	23	0	22	99	30	19	4	0%	1.0	30.3%	19.2%	11.1%	4.4%	4.09	5.37	-0.2
2020	25	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	23	0	22	99	30	19	4	0%	1.0	30.3%	19.2%	11.1%	4.0%	4.09	5.33	-0.2
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	56	239	68	29	9	0%	0.9	26.3%	12.4%	13.9%	4.1%	4.50	4.68	-0.1
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	56	239	68	29	9	0%	0.9	28.5%	12.1%	16.3%	3.8%	4.50	4.31	+0.2
2023	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	16	0	21	90	18	10	3	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.0%	6.6%	3.6%	5.23	4.95	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	16	0	21	90	18	10	3	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.0%	6.6%	3.6%	5.23	4.95	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	16	0	21	90	18	10	3	0%	1.3	20.0%	11.1%	8.9%	3.3%	5.23	4.70	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	41	189	51	22	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.0%	6.37	4.16	+0.2
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	41	189	51	22	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.0%	6.37	4.16	+0.2
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	41	189	51	22	6	0%	1.1	27.0%	11.6%	15.3%	3.2%	6.37	4.12	+0.2
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	50	230	53	23	8	5%	1.2	20.2%	9.2%	10.9%	4.0%	6.84	4.77	-0.1
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	50	230	53	23	8	5%	1.2	20.2%	9.2%	10.9%	4.0%	6.84	4.77	-0.1
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	2	50	230	53	23	8	5%	1.2	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.5%	6.84	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			106	0	100	452	112	52	22	0%	0.9	24.8%	11.5%	13.3%	4.9%	5.74	5.27	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	60	1	63	283	82	26	14	2%	1.1	26.4%	8.6%	17.8%	5.3%	4.97	4.88	-0.2
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	60	1	63	283	82	26	14	2%	1.1	26.4%	8.6%	17.8%	5.3%	4.97	4.88	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	MIA	20	1	28	127	43	16	6	5%	1.4	33.9%	12.6%	21.3%	4.7%	5.20	4.43	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	MIA	40	0	36	156	39	10	8	0%	0.9	25.0%	6.4%	18.6%	5.1%	4.79	4.62	-0.0
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	MIA	40	0	36	156	39	10	8	0%	0.9	25.0%	6.4%	18.6%	5.1%	4.79	4.62	-0.0
ROS	31	MLB MLE	MIA	5	0	5	22	5	2	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.5%	14.0%	3.7%	4.28	4.34	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	MIA	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	9.5%	14.0%	3.7%	4.28	4.34	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	69	305	87	28	15	—	—	28.6%	9.2%	19.4%	4.9%	4.92	4.84	-0.2
FULL	31	MLB A+C	MIA	—	—	41	173	87	28	15	—	—	50.4%	16.3%	34.2%	8.6%	8.24	5.60	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIA	56	0	58	247	54	23	10	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.6%	4.2%	4.98	5.10	-0.4
2028	33	MLB MLE	MIA	51	0	54	226	47	22	10	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	4.5%	5.22	5.38	-0.5
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIA	52	0	55	232	50	21	10	0%	1.1	21.7%	9.2%	12.6%	4.2%	4.98	5.10	-0.3
2028	33	MLB CTX	MIA	49	0	51	215	45	21	10	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	4.5%	5.22	5.38	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		212	0	212	924	213	96	42	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.4%	12.6%	4.6%	5.38	4.98	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	871	201	91	40	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.4%	12.6%	4.6%	5.38	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		341	3	387	1683	407	162	56	1%	1.1	24.2%	9.6%	14.6%	3.4%	4.56	4.11	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		176	2	200	871	211	84	29	1%	1.1	24.2%	9.6%	14.6%	3.4%	4.56	4.11	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Zuber (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	21.2%	9.8%	3.6%	—	5.23	21.3%	11.9%	112	+0.35	—	—	—
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	80
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	79
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	75
Logan Ondrusek R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	33	SU	5.51	23.8%	7.4%	6.3%	.353	5.51	17.5%	9.2%	120	+0.00	4.34	138	73
Aaron Barrett R 2019 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	23.0%	8.1%	3.0%	.246	4.56	19.9%	6.4%	38	+0.75	1.86	119	73
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	73
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	72
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	72
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	72
Daniel Hudson R 2018 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.3%	8.6%	2.9%	.246	3.69	28.8%	20.4%	145	-0.22	1.68	468	71
Rubby De La Rosa R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	30	SU	4.21	27.7%	8.0%	4.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	281	71
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	71
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	70
Pedro Beato R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.22	3.47	295	69
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	69
Craig Stammen R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	32	SU	4.04	17.0%	3.7%	3.5%	.333	3.27	23.9%	18.6%	241	-0.77	1.82	407	69
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	68
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	68
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	21.3%	9.5%	1.57	5.00
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47