Tyler Zuber
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 31
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 51 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.54
FIP4.68
K%23.0%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p5022.2%
xwOBA vs
p510.311
SI (12%)
FB (40%)
CH-0.8 (7%)
SL-1.7 (45%)
CT-2.6 (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 3.62 | 2.12 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.7% | 7.9% | 22.8% | 0.0% | 3.62 | 1.34 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 51 | 211 | 70 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 6.1% | 18.8% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 3.59 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 51 | 211 | 70 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.2% | 5.2% | 28.0% | 2.4% | 3.88 | 2.28 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 215 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 7.4% | 17.5% | 1.4% | 1.79 | 2.70 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 215 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 6.5% | 25.1% | 0.9% | 1.79 | 1.87 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 23 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 4.09 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 23 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.09 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 68 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 68 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 4.50 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 16 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 5.06 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 16 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 4.70 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 41 | 189 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 6.37 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 41 | 189 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 6.37 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 50 | 230 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 5% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 6.84 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 50 | 230 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 5% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 6.84 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 34 | 1 | 40 | 181 | 55 | 19 | 8 | 3% | 1.2 | 27.5% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 4.8% | 4.76 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | MIA | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 49 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 91 | 397 | 105 | 44 | 16 | — | — | 26.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 4.1% | 4.64 | 4.72 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 63 | 266 | 105 | 44 | 16 | — | — | 39.2% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 6.1% | 6.67 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 56 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 52 | 27 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 46 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 5.24 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 49 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 44 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 5.24 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 230 | 0 | 234 | 1015 | 228 | 120 | 42 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.25 | 4.96 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 867 | 195 | 102 | 36 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.25 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 315 | 3 | 363 | 1581 | 388 | 164 | 51 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.12 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 2 | 200 | 871 | 214 | 91 | 28 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Zuber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 3.7% | — | 5.30 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 112 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 81 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 78 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 77 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 73 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 71 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 70 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.46 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 136 | +0.17 | 2.78 | 596 | 70 |
| Tyler Thornburg R 2025 · 6.13 FIP | 30 | SU | 6.13 | 23.1% | 14.3% | 5.8% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 33 | -2.24 | 2.67 | 301 | 70 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 70 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 69 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 69 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 69 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2028 · 5.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.45 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | .353 | 5.61 | 17.5% | 9.2% | 120 | +0.16 | 4.35 | 138 | 68 |
| Jeff Manship R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.88 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 114 | 68 |
| Austin Adams R 2027 · 6.16 FIP | 32 | SU | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 162 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 21.2% | 11.3% | 1.49 | 5.08 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |