Ricky Vanasco

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	39	0	44	2.84	3.37	24.9%	14.2%	0.6	K 22.7% · BB 13.8% · FIP 3.78
2025	26	MIX2 levels	21	1	28	4.76	3.91	31.4%	16.5%	—	K 26.0% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.70
2026	27	MIX2 levels	47	2	61	4.60	3.55	26.2%	14.4%	0.7	K 24.9% · BB 12.9% · FIP 3.14
2027PROJ	28	MLBDET	29	0	30	4.41	4.41	23.7%	12.7%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBDET	10	0	11	4.48	4.53	23.4%	12.6%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJosh Lueke (age 28) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Jason Bulger (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

K%23.7%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

FB+0.5 (64%)

CT (4%)

CU (20%)

SL (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	10	0	9	41	16	5	0	0%	0.9	39.0%	12.2%	26.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.35	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	10	0	9	41	16	5	0	0%	0.9	39.0%	12.2%	26.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.21	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	7	3	25	101	25	13	1	43%	3.5	16.8%	16.1%	0.7%	1.4%	4.38	4.48	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	7	3	25	101	25	13	1	43%	3.5	24.8%	12.9%	11.9%	1.0%	4.38	3.18	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	2	2	11	39	16	3	0	100%	5.3	41.0%	7.7%	33.3%	0.0%	1.69	0.61	—
2019	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	2	2	11	39	16	3	0	100%	5.3	41.0%	7.7%	33.3%	0.0%	1.69	0.94	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	92	409	118	52	14	100%	4.0	23.2%	14.6%	8.5%	3.6%	4.68	4.99	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	92	409	118	52	14	100%	4.0	28.9%	12.7%	16.1%	3.4%	4.68	4.20	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	3	32	141	45	14	3	11%	1.2	25.9%	12.0%	13.8%	2.8%	2.78	3.97	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	3	32	141	45	14	3	11%	1.2	31.9%	9.9%	22.0%	2.1%	2.78	2.82	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	44	197	49	28	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.8%	8.8%	1.5%	2.84	3.78	+0.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	44	197	49	28	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.8%	8.8%	1.5%	2.84	3.78	+0.4
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	44	197	49	28	2	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.2%	10.7%	1.0%	2.84	3.37	+0.6
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	28	121	38	20	3	5%	1.3	26.0%	14.4%	11.5%	3.6%	4.76	4.70	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	28	121	38	20	3	5%	1.3	26.0%	14.4%	11.5%	3.6%	4.76	4.70	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	1	28	121	38	20	3	5%	1.3	31.4%	16.5%	14.9%	2.5%	4.76	3.91	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	2	61	271	71	39	4	4%	1.3	24.9%	12.9%	12.1%	1.0%	4.60	3.14	+1.0
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	2	61	271	71	39	4	4%	1.3	24.9%	12.9%	12.1%	1.0%	4.60	3.14	+1.0
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	2	61	271	71	39	4	4%	1.3	26.2%	14.4%	11.8%	1.5%	4.60	3.55	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			9	0	10	55	5	6	2	0%	1.1	9.1%	10.9%	-1.8%	3.6%	12.19	6.39	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	DET	29	0	30	127	30	16	3	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.7%	11.0%	2.4%	4.41	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	28	0	29	122	29	15	3	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.6%	4.48	4.53	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	10	0	11	46	11	6	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	2.6%	4.48	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	21	100	16	12	3	0%	1.1	15.5%	11.7%	3.9%	3.2%	8.28	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	0	200	953	152	114	29	0%	1.1	15.5%	11.7%	3.9%	3.2%	8.28	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		177	34	302	1320	324	181	30	19%	1.7	24.5%	13.7%	10.8%	2.3%	3.93	4.01	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	22	200	873	214	120	20	19%	1.7	24.5%	13.7%	10.8%	2.3%	3.93	4.01	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricky Vanasco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	23.7%	12.7%	2.4%	—	4.53	23.4%	10.8%	29	+0.12	—	—	—
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	76
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	76
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	76
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	76
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	75
Zach Franklin R 2024 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	26.4%	10.9%	1.8%	.301	4.15	27.5%	18.3%	117	+0.91	3.24	158	74
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	74
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	73
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	73
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	73
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	73
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	21.0%	12.3%	1.05	5.59
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76